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-   -   9/5: Del Mar (Futurity; $194k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=48278)

Kasept 09-05-2012 06:45 AM

9/5: Del Mar (Futurity; $194k C/O)
 
An outstanding horseplayer summer comes to a complete end Wednesday with Del Mar's meet finale. As much fun as Saratoga was the past 7 weeks, the action at the seaside oval has been equally compelling and it was only fitting that this particular stand close with yet one ultimate carryover sequence. The pool starts with $194k and it won't surprise if the challenging skein generates a total pot of $2 million. Though I officially ended the Spa season down about $1,400 after some aggressive swings at meet's end, I guess I can take another shot and include today's California play into the tally with Del Mar's 2012 action having contributed positively to the summer's overall results.

No matter how any of us did at the windows, the success of the summer seasons at SAR, DMR, AP, MTH and ELP, as indicated by enthusiastic attendance and handle figures, flies in the face of the non-stop brickbatting by the sport's critics. Based on the overwhelmingly positive atmospheres reported by patrons around the country this summer, you have to wonder if the doomsayers actually ever go to a racetrack or ever bet. People that seriously play or casually enjoy horse racing wouldn't have time or inclination to negatively spin every racing story that appears on the internet, but the ones that do paint a portrait of a failing sport which the realities completely belie.

Hope you had a great summer and take down a piece of the Del Mar closing day jackpot..


DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: 1st Oak Tree Juvenile Turf, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, D)

$194k 'must distribute' P6 C/O starts here..

Brutal start to sequence with lightly raced group that sees many stretching out and Euro invaders from Mitchell (Caught Napping) and Callaghan (Parisian Prince). Watch board for clues before punching final P6 plays..

Most Likely: #10 Dry Summer 6-1 WON ($16.80)
Best Value: #7 Buckleberry Grey 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Shining Copper 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Power Broker 4-1 2nd


6th: 14th Pirate's Bounty-R, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Deep and somewhat confusing set with some upside types, turnbackers, classy graded stake runners getting relief and more..

Best Value: #1 Sequoia Warrior 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Mensa Heat 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #13 Mobilized 5-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Boxeur des Rues 20-1 4th


7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 El Vino 10-1 11th
Next Best: #11 Floating Feather 7-2 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Magic Beam 5-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Shediak 8-1 10th


8th: 65th Del Mar Futurity (G1), 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Very well-matched and well-connected juveniles with assortment of styles, levels of experience and upside. Even the Biancone filly (who Leparoux comes in to ride) and the 4 maidens have potential for pay slots. One glaring element to the cast is a slight dearth of speed and that gives Bonde's Caballo Del Cielo or Baffert's Rolling Fog a chance at thievery. Terrific end to the La Jolla stakes schedule..

Most Likely: #1 Gabriel Charles 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Know More 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Caballo Del Cielo 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Rolling Fog 6-1 WON ($16.60)


9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Shirreffs & Stanwyck as good a place to stand as anywhere in the sequence..

Most Likely: #3 STANWYCK 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Readyforthecloseup 4-1 7th
Best Value: #6 Chestnut Moon 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Changethechannel 12-1 WON ($15.80)


10th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

No carryover but a mandatory pay Super Hi-5 here..

Best Value: #2 Te Rapa 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Veter 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Quail Hill 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Nextdoorneighbor 6-1 -
Hi-5 Play: #5 Silentio 6-1 WON ($13.60)


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 3-5-6-7-8-10
6: 1
7: 3-7-11
8: 1-5-9-10
9: 3
10: 2

6x1x3x4x1x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-7-11
8: 1-5-9-10-11
9: 3-4
10: 2-3-5-7-10

3x5x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve..

dino 09-05-2012 07:00 AM

Steve,

Thanks for all your hard work this summer.

pucknut 09-05-2012 08:21 AM

steve
well said and for further anecdotal proof i took my 20yo son and nephew to saratoga for the first time and they loved it
we brought food drink people watched oh and we wagered and had a brilliant time they both asked to go again its a fantastic experience especially watching first timers enjoy
the new york times staff should be forced to field trip saratoga before they write their first horse racing article

ADJMK 09-05-2012 01:05 PM

Hi Steve,

You made a typing error in the 10th. Silentio is the #5 not the #6.
On board with your selection on Sequoia Warrior in the 6th. Think he has the most upside and like the fact that he was right there 2 back with John Scott who has been good since then.

Kasept 09-05-2012 01:32 PM

DMR SCR/CHG'S

casp0555 09-05-2012 01:40 PM

Steve,
Thanks for all the hard work and effort you put in this summer and year round :tro:. Let's end the summer on a positive note and cash a few tickets in Cali.

Kasept 09-05-2012 02:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dino (Post 888537)
Steve, Thanks for all your hard work this summer.

Quote:

Originally Posted by pucknut (Post 888548)
steve. well said and for further anecdotal proof i took my 20yo son and nephew to saratoga for the first time and they loved it. we brought food drink people watched oh and we wagered and had a brilliant time. they both asked to go again its a fantastic experience especially watching first timers enjoy. the new york times staff should be forced to field trip saratoga before they write their first horse racing article

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 888577)
Steve, Thanks for all the hard work and effort you put in this summer and year round :tro:. Let's end the summer on a positive note and cash a few tickets in Cali.

Dino, Puck, Billy..

Thx very much.. Anyone paying attention can see it's been a great summer and year to date in racing and everything points to a big fall.

G/L today!

Kasept 09-05-2012 02:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 888570)
Hi Steve,

You made a typing error in the 10th. Silentio is the #5 not the #6.
On board with your selection on Sequoia Warrior in the 6th. Think he has the most upside and like the fact that he was right there 2 back with John Scott who has been good since then.

Thanks for the heads up. Yeah... The John Scott tie-in is a really nice endorsement of Sequoia. I'm going to try three singles (Sequoia, Stanwyck, Te Rapa) and spread in the other three. BOL!

Invasor 09-05-2012 04:21 PM

I was excited about the pick 5 too as I can go deep there.
I "smartly" tossed the favorite number 2 in the 1st, and he scratched 1 mtp.
Then I got beat by a 50 dollar horse.
Maybe it pays 4 out of 5 :D.

ADJMK 09-05-2012 04:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 888595)
Thanks for the heads up. Yeah... The John Scott tie-in is a really nice endorsement of Sequoia. I'm going to try three singles (Sequoia, Stanwyck, Te Rapa) and spread in the other three. BOL!

The more I look at it(this is one tough sequence) I can't single Sequoia. For a Baffert horse he has a pretty light worktab and where is his work between Aug 15 and 29th? Going to go to Mobilzed on thr drop down to make one big run and swoop the field.

Kasept 09-05-2012 04:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 888625)
The more I look at it(this is one tough sequence) I can't single Sequoia. For a Baffert horse he has a pretty light worktab and where is his work between Aug 15 and 29th? Going to go to Mobilzed on thr drop down to make one big run and swoop the field.

I agree about the difficulty... Here's what I ended up playing... 3x2x1x7x1x1 for $84. G/L!

DEL MAR
05 Sep 2012
Race 5

$2 Pick 6 on 5,7,10 with 1,6 with 7 with 1,3,5,8,9,10,11 with 3 with 2

Total Cost: $84

Ticket Number: B0C30-E6746

Kasept 09-05-2012 05:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Invasor (Post 888620)
I was excited about the pick 5 too as I can go deep there. I "smartly" tossed the favorite number 2 in the 1st, and he scratched 1 mtp. Then I got beat by a 50 dollar horse. Maybe it pays 4 out of 5 :D.

The way prices have come there the last 2+ weeks, it's entirely possible. I just heard from a listener that is a co-worker of a 78yo stevedore at Long Beach that is part owner of that Race 1 winner Coo Cachoo. The guy had $100 across on him..

ADJMK 09-05-2012 05:27 PM

Here are my tickets I ended up betting.

09/05/2012 Bet Del Mar, Race 5, $2.00 PK6 8 / 13 / 5 / 1 / 3 / 1-3,6,7 $10.00 85357848

09/05/2012 Bet Del Mar, Race 5, $2.00 PK6 8 / 1,10 / 5 / 1,10 / 3 / 5 $8.00 85292396

09/05/2012 Bet Del Mar, Race 5, $2.00 PK6 8 / 13 / 5 / 1,10 / 4 / 5 $4.00 85157522
l
09/05/2012 Bet Del Mar, Race 5, $2.00 PK6 8 / 13 / 3,5,7,9 / 5,9 / 3 / 5 $16.00 85054600

09/05/2012 Bet Del Mar, Race 5, $2.00 PK6 6-8 / 13 / 3,5,7,9 / 1,10 / 3 / 5 $48.00 84995248 l

Heels1989 09-05-2012 05:51 PM

Last Summer Hurrah

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club 5
$2.00 P6 (PWHL)
6, 8, 10 / 1, 10 / 2, 11 / 5, 9, 10 / 3 / 2, 3

$144.00

Good Luck!!!

dpkovalesky 09-05-2012 05:56 PM

taking a shot as well....

DMR #5 $2 Pick-6 7,​WT,1,2,6,7,9,10,​WT,3,10,​WT,2,​WT,3,​WT,1,2,3, 5,7,9 none $ 144.00

Good luck!

herkhorse 09-05-2012 05:58 PM

2-5/1-9/5-11/1-2-9/3/2 48.00

good luck

Coach Pants 09-05-2012 06:12 PM

Race 5
$4 double
8,10/6,7,8,10

ateamstupid 09-05-2012 06:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 888637)
I agree about the difficulty... Here's what I ended up playing... 3x2x1x7x1x1 for $84. G/L!

DEL MAR
05 Sep 2012
Race 5

$2 Pick 6 on 5,7,10 with 1,6 with 7 with 1,3,5,8,9,10,11 with 3 with 2

Total Cost: $84

Ticket Number: B0C30-E6746

Nice start Steve..

Kasept 09-05-2012 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 888669)
Nice start Steve..

Thx! How about that? Should be a nice exacta too...

Kasept 09-05-2012 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by arizonadave (Post 888655)
My buddy at Del Mar has the 1,3,6,7,8,10 to hit the P5 in the 5th race.

Sweet... $10k+ for .50!


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