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-   -   SAT - Arlington (Entire Card) - Million Day (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=48023)

Bogey 08-18-2012 07:28 AM

SAT - Arlington (Entire Card) - Million Day
 
Arlington Park - Million Day POST SCRATCHES - POLY / GOOD


R1 - Straight Line 65k

#7 Afford (5-1) - Freshened up and ready with blinkers off.
#8 Hammers Terror (9-5) 4TH
#5 Hogy (4-1) 3RD
#4 Francois (9-2) WON $11.20

R2 - OC 40k/N2X (Turf 8.5F)

#2 McLard (10-1) - Could steal this.
#9 Cool C Note (7-2) - Will have 1st run turning for home. 3RD
#3 Godard (8-1) - Consistent sort should be coming late. 4TH
#1 Minister Colin (10-1) - Looks to uncork a late rally.

R3 - Clm 7.5k N2L

#4 Royal Alluvial (9-2) - The cut back and drop should wake her up.
#3 Blarney d'Or (7-2) - Off the pace threat. 4TH
#10 Debinator (15-1) - Speed and fade candidate looks to hold on.
#6 Reno Star (4-1) - The drop should help.

R4 - MSW 40k (Turf 2yo 8F)

#1 Proctor Entry (6-1) - Both have a big shot and impressive pedigrees. 4TH
#4 Aud Eddie (10-1) - Ward gets them ready early.
#6 My Bourbon Bay (12-1) - Took money in OFF Turf event.
#8 Lifes Reward (5-2) - $200k purchase meant to be a good one. 3RD

R5 - Hatoof 65k (Turf 8.5F)

#9 Nayarra (Ire) (9-5) - Should handle this field first time for Motion. 2ND
#3 Zapper Belle (10-1) - Takes another step forward. 3RD
#6 Awesome Gisel (6-1) - Lots of upside potential.
#5 La Tia (9-2) - A question mark on the lawn. 4TH

R6 - IL Alw 44k N1X

#8 Jaguar Ridge (5-1) 3RD
#9 Devils Tower (8-1) 4TH
#3 Mr Num Num (12-1)
#6 Prince of Speed (9-2)

PK4 - 3 4 / 1 4 6 8 / 3 6 9 / 3 6 8 9 = $48 for $.50

R7 - American St. Leger (Turf 13.5F) - Start of the $100k PK5

#8 Jakkalberry (Ire) (9-5) - Comes in fresh and gets an easier bunch. WON $5.20
#5 Lake Drop (8-1) - Motion successful 1st time in North America. 4TH
#1 Vertiformer (10-1) - Might enjoy the long journey.
#4 Lumberyard Jack (30-1) - Cali shipper has won going long.

R8 - G1 Secretariat (Turf 3yo 10F)

#7 Bayrir (Fr) - Group 2 Euro winner is on the improve with each start. WON $8.40
#8 Silver Max (9-5) - Going for 7th straight and handled 10F in Virginia Derby.
#6 Daddy Long Legs (6-1) - On preferred surface and should give Silver Max some company on the front end.
#3 Cozzetti (10-1) - If they get to quick on the front, this big gray will be running them all down.

R9 - Hatoof 65k (Turf 8.5F)

#3 Lady Candidate (6-1) BEST BET - Has shown some talent and is in sharp barn.
#1 Imposing Grace (12-1) - Catalano has a lightly raced wildcard here.
#8 Freedom Rights (Ire) (9-2) - Looks to come off the pace. 2ND
#2 Leading Astray (4-1) - IL bred likes this course. WON $6.80

R10 - G1 Beverly D (Turf 9.5F)

#5 Mysitical Star (6-1) - Showed some serious grit holding off Aruna in NY.
#10 Joviality (GB) (9-2) - Classy Euro filly a logical choice. 3RD
#7 Aruna (7-2) - This is the right distance for her.
#3 Romacaca (15-1) - She'll be forwardly placed and fade for a minor award.

R11 - G1 Arlington Million (Turf 10F)

#1 Rahystrada (8-1) - 3rd attempt at Million, but has never proven at this level.
#2 Boisterous (4-1) - Quality runner for sharp connections should be considered underneath.
#3 Afsare (GB) (6-1) - Euro is in career form after just missing in Group 2.
#4 Little Mike (6-1) - This time Ramon will ride and not sit back (Turf Classic). The plan is let him go as far as he can.
#5 Colombian (Ire) (8-1) - Exits massive race and Gosden has had Million success.
#6 Treasure Beach (GB) - Can make amends for disappointing 2012 campaign.
#7 Wilcox Inn (12-1) - Sharp return and loves this course. Is he this caliber?
#8 Wigmore Hall (Ire) (12-1) - Comes over again and has kept strong company in Europe.
#9 Crackerjack King (Ire) (5-1) - Has dominated in Italy (7 for 7) and is coming off a dull race in Great Britain. Mixed feelings.
#10 Cherokee Lord (30-1) - Know him early as he fades away in late stages.
#11 Vertiformer (20-1) - Better chance in American St Leger.

Selections

#5 Colombian (Ire) (8-1) DH 3RD
#6 Treasure Beach (6-1)
#7 Wilcox Inn (12-1)
#3 Afsare (GB) (6-1) 2ND

PK5 - 5 8 / 3 6 7 8 / 1 2 3 8 / 5 7 10 / 5 6 = $96 for $.50

R12 - Clm 7.5k N2L

#12 R. Campfire (7-2)
#5 Backdoc (6-1)
#10 Caro King Destiny (10-1) 4TH
#1 Costly King (6-1) 3RD

PK6 - 8 / 7 8 / 1 2 3 8 / 5 10 / 5 6 / 5 12 = $64

PK4 - 1 2 3 4 8 / 5 7 8 / 5 6 / 5 10 12 = $45 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

jms62 08-18-2012 08:05 AM

Good Luck Gus. Question, considering that the Turf Course will be good. How does speed fare in those conditions at Arlington?

Scav 08-18-2012 08:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 884272)
Good Luck Gus. Question, considering that the Turf Course will be good. How does speed fare in those conditions at Arlington?

Main thing today is they split the course with an inner and outer yet never tell you. Big 4 run in Million Lane which is outer

I used to hate betting speed on turf but this meet you have had to be close. But recent rain has helped even the course out.

Polytrack was very quick yesterday cause of cool temps and rain. Expecting it same again as it will be a perfect day for racing.

Catalano has been heard saying that Lady Michela is an absolute freak and one of the best horses he has ever trained. He almost never brings them back this quick but Ive been told that she was barely breathing after her win 7 days ago. Im expecting her to run huge today

Couldnt have a more different opinion in Million then Gus as I think its Asfare or Boisterous with a litlr bit of Crackrrjack King. I dont like Columbianian (along for ride with Joviality imo) or Treasure Beach at all.

Bogey 08-18-2012 08:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 884272)
Good Luck Gus. Question, considering that the Turf Course will be good. How does speed fare in those conditions at Arlington?

jms, I assume it will be listed as Good, it usually plays fair to all running styles. Good luck today.

asudevil 08-18-2012 09:54 AM

Let's get this, Bogey! Your day to shine.

Dahoss 08-18-2012 10:19 AM

In the 4th, Mughadiir has big time turf pedigree. Dam was a grade 1 winner on grass. Dam is also a half to BC Turf winner Johar. Second dam was the very good Windsharp, who was a multiple grade 1 winner on grass. He has to beat Beyond Compare IMO, but Mughadiir has every right to run a much improved race this time.

hockey2315 08-18-2012 10:26 AM

Like that horse too, Hoss. . . Thinking the price comes down a bit, though.

South Beach Luv 08-18-2012 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav (Post 884275)
Main thing today is they split the course with an inner and outer yet never tell you. Big 4 run in Million Lane which is outer

I used to hate betting speed on turf but this meet you have had to be close. But recent rain has helped even the course out.

Polytrack was very quick yesterday cause of cool temps and rain. Expecting it same again as it will be a perfect day for racing.

Catalano has been heard saying that Lady Michela is an absolute freak and one of the best horses he has ever trained. He almost never brings them back this quick but Ive been told that she was barely breathing after her win 7 days ago. Im expecting her to run huge today

Couldnt have a more different opinion in Million then Gus as I think its Asfare or Boisterous with a litlr bit of Crackrrjack King. I dont like Columbianian (along for ride with Joviality imo) or Treasure Beach at all.

Looks like Lady Micaela is a SCR

http://www.arlingtonpark.com/racing-...rogram-changes

GL today.


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