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-   -   8/6: Saratoga (Day 16; $73k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=47804)

Kasept 08-06-2012 06:46 AM

8/6: Saratoga (Day 16; $73k C/O)
 
Wonderful Whitney-Vanderbilt weekend despite weather and messy card hiccup Sunday. C/O into Monday on very difficult srquence. The 10# bug in the Spa pp's today is Dylan Davis, son of Robbie and termed a natural by respected eyes. On 2 for Wes Ward. Best of luck as he launches his following in his dad's and sisters footsteps. Hope everyone did OK this weekend and have room for another afternoon of wagering frolic.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


TURF YIELDING; 3RD/10TH ARE OFF


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dreaming of Julia 5-2 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #6 Paper Kite 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Form Fitting 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Sensationalize 12-1 4th


2nd: OC/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Terrific group..

Best Value: #5 Hangover Kid 8-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #7 Animal Spirits 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Situational Ethics 6-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Solitaire 6-1 2nd


3rd: CLM, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Ea WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #12 Sumo 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Sr. Henry 4th


4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Itsnottheright 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 Grey Foose 12-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Black Rhino 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Heavy Duty 5-1 7th


5th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$73k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #3 Everything Sweet 7-2: Half to speedy juvy Ad Litem.. 5th
Next Best: #8 Fierce 5-2: Bug Davis gives Ward 2nd timer 10# edge.. 8th
Best Value: #5 Over the Counter 5-1: Sold well at OBS; Win early connections.. WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #6 My Kinda Party 4-1: Another Ocala buy from sharp team.. 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-4-5-7
3: 7-11-12
4: 5-8
5: 3-4-5-6-8

5x3x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Port Conway 7-2 5th
Best Value: #7 Artist Colony 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Box Office 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Just for Today 5-1 WON ($10.00)


7th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Non-descript group of Empire babies..

Best Value: #6 Ultimate Empire 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Lucci the Lion 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #8 Collaborator 10-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Maintainer 3-1 2nd


8th: Waya-R, F&M-3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Insanely competitive three-turner with too many appetizing prices..

Most Likely: #7 Kissable 8-1 WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #5 Pinch Pie 12-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Sikara 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Sky Willow 15-1 5th


9th: OC/C, 4+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Air Support 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 A Diehl 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Late SCR (11:44a)
Exotics Use: #9 Beau Choix 12-1 2nd


10th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 7f-OFF THE TURF

Check the SCR's to see who stays and who goes in this off-turfer..

Most Likely: #6 Fun and Gains 4-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Kaitlyns Cat 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Dark Nebula 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #13 Los Ojitos 5-1 WON ($8.40)


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 3-5-6-8
6: 2
7: 4-5-6-8
8: 5-7
9: 2
10: 1-4-6

4x1x4x2x1x3 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

7: ALL (4)
8: 4-5-7
9: 2
10: 1-4-6-13

8x3x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Capote3 08-06-2012 07:30 AM

Steve, today is 8/6. I didn't think my b-day was until Wednesday but had to double check. Good luck today.

Kasept 08-06-2012 10:09 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

Bigsmc 08-06-2012 11:42 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Next Best: #4 Lucci the Lion 5-2
One of my alltime favorites....
Attachment 2035

pointman 08-06-2012 12:57 PM

Steve, FYI, in your pick 6 play in the 6th, I believe you meant to single the 2, not the 3.

Kasept 08-06-2012 01:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc (Post 880882)
One of my alltime favorites....
Attachment 2035

That's so great.. Will ask Mike Caruso (Bethlehem Stables) the association. He names a lot of the horses he has with Dubb. Grace Hall from Lehigh where Caruso was All American wrestler, etc..

Kasept 08-06-2012 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 880911)
Steve, FYI, in your pick 6 play in the 6th, I believe you meant to single the 2, not the 3.

Thanks Nick! G/L today..


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