How did you find your BV pick Clear Pasaj?
 

Sorry for being a newbie here, this is my first post, but I located this forum after trying to figure out how to ask "my guru", Mr. Byk, how he possibly got the #8 Clear Pasaj as his BV pick for the first leg of the pick 4 at Belmont last Sunday? I was very happy with myself to have figured out the 7, Erin Enchanted, who got me the pick 4 in an excrutating head bob. I just couldn't believe in the Clear Pasaj pick, but it would have been a monster exacta to have played the 7-8. Long story short, what possible clues did you have to unlock Clear Pasaj? I can't find her even after the race!

Thanks for everything, you are the best!

Green Gazelle
Thistledown town

GG,

Essentially, I thought Clear Pasaj deserved attention getting a first try on dirt. At the big price, her turf sprint tries established her as a viable player and with any improvement on the main, I thought she had an outside chance to win.

Welcome. No apology necessary for starting out. Thanks for the kind post.

Steve

Clear Pasaj step up on dirt
 

Steve,

Thanks for the reply, I appreciate the pointer.

I thought a little about the turf to dirt angle, but felt like there was too far for her to step up. Now that I have an Xpress bet account, I tend to rely on the Equibase figures mostly, and often use Brisnet as well, with the occasional Thorograph.

Do you have a general guideline you tend to use to say how much of a bump a horse can get going first to dirt or first to turf? A 5 to 10% increase over what their pattern might otherwise lead to?

Thanks again, have a great weekend At the Races!

J Green