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-   -   6/17: Belmont (7th-10th); Monmouth (6th-11th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=47183)

Kasept 06-17-2012 07:41 AM

6/17: Belmont (7th-10th); Monmouth (6th-11th)
 
Big Saturday of racing was OK from a quality standpoint but pretty dreadful from the wagering side. At least for me, chalky results dominated when I wanted something clever to emerge and oddball prices jumped in when I was expecting logical winners. Noteworthy on the afternoon and evening was Summer Front's burst in the Hill Prince after an ongoing trouble-laden trip. Quickly re-establishes himself among the top turf 3yo's with Little Mike, et al..

At Churchill, Ron the Greek paired the Stephen Foster with his Santa Anita Handicap win from earlier this year to be the first Breeders' Cup Classic "Win/In" participant in a thriller over Wise Dan. Jose Lezcano, who had to watch erstwhile mount Royal Delta return from her Dubai misstep with a 110 Beyer demolition of the Fleur de Lis, turned in a terrific ride on Ron the Greek while John Velazquez was a bit anxious with Wise Dan. To start the stakes night sequence, Ian Wilkes' and Steven Miles' Neck 'n Neck turned in a very big effort blowing apart 4 solid 3yo's in the Matt Winn. The 102 Beyer establishes the Flower Alley colt as a 2nd half candidate in the major soph stakes.

At Colonial, as discussed on ATR, fearing Turbo Compressor on an easy lead proved out as the Pletcher 4yo waltzed to a facile Turf Cup score under Joe Bravo. After getting blown out of the P4 in the goofy starter handicap that opened the sequence, catching the $120 triple here with Air Support and venerable Rahystrada was a boost. Tom Proctor aced the All Along ahead of the $500k feature as Mrs. Hunter's Snow Top Mountain righted the ship under Paco Lopez for her first win as a 5yo.

All in all, a long day and night of action with close to $400 leaked away when it came time to tally up. Hope you did OK and are willing to come back for some Father's Day action at BEL and MTH.. And on that note, a Happy Father's Day to those with progeny!


BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Bruce Alexander takes over the Freud gelding #6 Dreamsgonewild and he could take to the turf at anice number; #11 Northern Tripp was running late for Ryerson in 28-1 debut; Barker unveils latest Meeses Pieces product, a Freud colt (half to wonderful, ill-fated Meese Rocks) that has worked nicely for bow. Lures Ramon..

Best Value: #6 Dreamsgonewild 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Northern Tripp 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Old Man Meese 10-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Call Up the Chief 20-1 4th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Hooligan's Delight 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Junior Officer 8-1 8th
Best Value: #10 Sam Hillic 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Power Blast 3-1 3rd


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (DD)

Deep and solid set of $20k claimers. Mixing and matching obvious with some pricey notions..

Most Likely: #11 Robert the Bruce 7-2 9th
Best Value: #7 Thomas Hill 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 What's the Record 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Jaded Lover 12-1 7th


10th:CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #10 Tutti Va Bene 10-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Glory in Motion 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Blue Grass Music 7-2 4th
Super Add: #9 SCR


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 6-11
8: 3-5
9: 4/SCR-6-7-10-11-12
10: 3-4-9/SCR-10

2x2x6x4 = 96 x .50 = $48



MONMOUTH PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Happy Choice 3-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Famous 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #8 Cavallo Murano 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Nekkar 6-1 5th


7th: NJ-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Chief Carlson 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #5 Park Slope 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Taylors Tough 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Sinatra's Prince 9-2 5th


8th: Fort Monmouth, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Nicely-matched set. Colony Club won this last year at 11-1..

Most Likely: #9 Classy Zip 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Inspired 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 SCR
Exotics Use: #3 SCR


9th: NJ-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Javerre 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #6 Captain Daddy 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Nicky Red 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Rockstar Life 4-1 6th


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 SCR
Next Best: #6 Westside Corral 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Concert Stage 3-1 WON ($4.20)
Super Add: #8 Winter Now 9-2 5th


<$50 P5 Play:

6: 1-5-8
7: 1-5
8: 2/SCR-3/SCR-8-9
9: 8
10: 2-6-8-9/SCR

3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 5 (1,3/1/8/7,8/2,5,9) Paid $108.05


11th: Pegasus (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Le Bernardin 3-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #7 Good Morning Diva 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Easter Gift 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Innocent Man 5-2 4th

$1 Exacta (3-5) Paid $30.60
$1 Trifecta (3-5-7) Paid $79.90
$1 Superfecta (3-5-7-1) Paid $162.10



Good luck!
Steve

Arletta 06-17-2012 03:04 PM

Could be better :D

cassie 06-17-2012 05:57 PM

tagged along on ur pick 5 $108 for $18 thanks

ADJMK 06-17-2012 07:43 PM

Good call in the Pegasus. Can't believe Le Ber drifted up to 5-1. Needed that to get back all the money wasted at Belmont on those cheap turf sprints.When the smallest payout of the 5 P3's from race 6-10 was $1,428 you know there is not a lot of form to go on. Somebody had a profitable Father's Day.

Kasept 06-18-2012 05:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 869688)
Good call in the Pegasus. Can't believe Le Ber drifted up to 5-1. Needed that to get back all the money wasted at Belmont on those cheap turf sprints.When the smallest payout of the 5 P3's from race 6-10 was $1,428 you know there is not a lot of form to go on. Somebody had a profitable Father's Day.

Thx.. I was surprised Le Bernadin was that price too. Easter Gift got his share of money and looked like a winner late. Hear you on the BEL action. I wasn't close either..


Quote:

Originally Posted by cassie (Post 869678)
tagged along on ur pick 5 $108 for $18 thanks

Nice Cassie. THX.. Worked out well at MTH Sunday (as opposed to Belmont). Went to have a family brunch with my father and am glad I didn't get to do any post-SCR changes. Might have screwed the ticket up!

Hope everyone had a great Father's Day..

casp0555 06-18-2012 11:36 AM

Thanks Steve for the choices on the Monmouth late card, was able to pick up the P5:tro: also, thanks again


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