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6/15: Belmont (6th-9th); Arlington (6th-9th)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) About half of this field appear capable.. Most Likely: #1 Superstrella 4-1 4th Best Value: #7 Lion Prince 12-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Br. Alexander 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Volcano Run 5-1 WON ($8.20) 7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD) Typical turf sprint hodge-podge with droppers, first off claims, surface switches, et al.. Best Value: #7 Departures 12-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Decision Point 5-1 6th Exotics Use: #3 Freud's Debut 5-1 2nd Super Add: #6 Luigi P 8-1 5th 8th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (DD) Most Likely: #6 Ullapool 8-5 WON ($3.00) Best Value: #2 Bid a Moon 5-1 3rd Next Best: #1a Miss Woods 6-1 5th Super Add: #3 Princess Mara 4-1 2nd 9th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT I'm a big fan of hard-hitting 7yo Fisherman's Wharf, but without much pace involved here, Shmooz Talker could be very dangerous on front end while adding Napravnik.. Most Likely: #2 Fisherman's Wharf 4-1 3rd Best Value: #4 Shmooz Talker 5-1 WON ($9.20) Next Best: #7 Beckham Bend 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #6 Congo 8-1 7th <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-3-5-7-10-12 7: 3-6-7-8 8: 1-2-6 9: 2-4 6x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 ARLINGTON PARK POST-SCRATCHES 6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #1 Ginny's Classic 9-2 2nd Next Best: #3 Go Gladys Go 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #7 Lady Kitten 5-2 WON ($13.00) Super Add: #5 Soaring Goddess 5-1 4th 7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD) Best Value: #1 High Flying Jake 8-1 WON ($11.20) Next Best: #6 Lead the Way 2-1 4th Exotics Use: #8 Sahm Like It Hot 9-2 3rd Super Add: #4 Bandini's Dream 5-1 6th 8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD) Proctor's #7 Squad (5-2) too short to take off long break. Big Tom better 2nd/off anyway. Not impossible, but.. Best Value: #5 Amazing Results 10-1 10th Next Best: #2 Triple Check 8-1 9th Exotics Use: #1 All Stormy 9-2 3rd Super Add: #8 Bwana Brave 8-1 4th 9th: CLM/N1Y, F&M-3+, 1m (Jackpot Hi-5) Best Value: #6 J S P Pals Forever 6-1 5th Next Best: #8 Tribecky 2-1 8th Exotics Use: #10 Darkest Hour 5-1 4th Super Add: #4 Neverrguwithrichie 10-1 WON ($10.00) Hi-5 Play: #11 Lil Carmelita 6-1 3rd <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-3-7 7: 1-6-8 8: 1-2-5-7-8 9: 6-8-10 3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50 Good luck! Steve |
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Cardinal Rule #17: Using a handful of horses in difficult-looking races guarantees win by one of the obvious short prices..
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steve- well said and so true
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Yes which is why I avoided that race and the pick 4. Couldn't stand the 3 and 5 but knew they had a shot. Loved the 7 and knew it would figure a way to lose.
Which leaves a caveman pick 3 to try and beat the favorite in the 8th. |
Ratpiss..
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steve- well said and so true
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steve- nice call on the #4 (shmooz talker)
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double ditto. thanks to steve and andy. i'm vacationing in maine and had to stop by the otb to bet the horse. now the Mainiacs up here think i'm some type of guru. thanks again
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5-1 was surprising on the Kitten filly there..
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