Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   6/15: Belmont (6th-9th); Arlington (6th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=47160)

Kasept 06-15-2012 06:49 AM

6/15: Belmont (6th-9th); Arlington (6th-9th)
 
BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

About half of this field appear capable..

Most Likely: #1 Superstrella 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Lion Prince 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Br. Alexander 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Volcano Run 5-1 WON ($8.20)


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Typical turf sprint hodge-podge with droppers, first off claims, surface switches, et al..

Best Value: #7 Departures 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Decision Point 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Freud's Debut 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Luigi P 8-1 5th


8th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Ullapool 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #2 Bid a Moon 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1a Miss Woods 6-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Princess Mara 4-1 2nd


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT

I'm a big fan of hard-hitting 7yo Fisherman's Wharf, but without much pace involved here, Shmooz Talker could be very dangerous on front end while adding Napravnik..

Most Likely: #2 Fisherman's Wharf 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Shmooz Talker 5-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #7 Beckham Bend 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Congo 8-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-5-7-10-12
7: 3-6-7-8
8: 1-2-6
9: 2-4

6x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72



ARLINGTON PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Ginny's Classic 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Go Gladys Go 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Lady Kitten 5-2 WON ($13.00)
Super Add: #5 Soaring Goddess 5-1 4th


7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 High Flying Jake 8-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #6 Lead the Way 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Sahm Like It Hot 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Bandini's Dream 5-1 6th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Proctor's #7 Squad (5-2) too short to take off long break. Big Tom better 2nd/off anyway. Not impossible, but..

Best Value: #5 Amazing Results 10-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Triple Check 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1 All Stormy 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Bwana Brave 8-1 4th


9th: CLM/N1Y, F&M-3+, 1m (Jackpot Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 J S P Pals Forever 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Tribecky 2-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Darkest Hour 5-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Neverrguwithrichie 10-1 WON ($10.00)
Hi-5 Play: #11 Lil Carmelita 6-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-7
7: 1-6-8
8: 1-2-5-7-8
9: 6-8-10

3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 06-15-2012 10:20 AM

BEL SCR/CHG'S

AP SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 06-15-2012 02:40 PM

Cardinal Rule #17: Using a handful of horses in difficult-looking races guarantees win by one of the obvious short prices..

lazytom 06-15-2012 02:51 PM

steve- well said and so true

Coach Pants 06-15-2012 02:59 PM

Yes which is why I avoided that race and the pick 4. Couldn't stand the 3 and 5 but knew they had a shot. Loved the 7 and knew it would figure a way to lose.

Which leaves a caveman pick 3 to try and beat the favorite in the 8th.

Kasept 06-15-2012 03:10 PM

Ratpiss..

lazytom 06-15-2012 03:12 PM

steve- well said and so true

Kasept 06-15-2012 03:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lazytom (Post 869136)
steve- well said and so true

As we used to say around here years ago, ello elle..

lazytom 06-15-2012 04:14 PM

steve- nice call on the #4 (shmooz talker)

casp0555 06-15-2012 04:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lazytom (Post 869173)
steve- nice call on the #4 (shmooz talker)

ditto :tro:

dino 06-15-2012 04:53 PM

double ditto. thanks to steve and andy. i'm vacationing in maine and had to stop by the otb to bet the horse. now the Mainiacs up here think i'm some type of guru. thanks again

Kasept 06-15-2012 05:44 PM

5-1 was surprising on the Kitten filly there..


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:04 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.