Derby Trail Forums - 6/3: Belmont ($49k C/O); Woodbine (6th-10th)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$49k P6 C/O starts here..

Modest group with 7 having had their chances and 4 yet to be labeled career maidens. Wouyld love to lean on #6 Chasing Piper (4-1), but Levine barn couldn't be going any worse (29/1-2-3 on meet). Galluscio, good with firsters and even better unveiling them in MCLM company, offers #5 Nobody Cares (6-1) who may not need not to be much to best this set. Barbara debuts #9 Carpi Clements (8-1) here as well. Tricky start to challenging P6..

Most Likely: #6 Chasing Piper 4-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Nobody Cares 6-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Sunday to Remember 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Briolette 15-1 WON ($58.00)

6th: 6th Cupecoy's Joy-NY, 3yo-F, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Very well-matched state bred gals with there's no shortage of speed types signed on. My Jopia SCRATCHED, from the Galloping Grocer team, ran her best by far when shifted to the lawn. I think you have to trust Dominguez to utilize her properly. If there's a collapse, I Bet Toni Knows looks like the one picking them up late..

Best Value: #3 Mah Jong Maddnes 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Manero 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 I Bet Toni Knows 6-1 WON ($17.20)
Super Add: #7 Stock Fund 8-1 2nd

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Albertrani finally gets Randal homebred Draw It (Tapit), 2nd to Awesome Feather in G1 Gazelle when last seen, back to the races. Tough spot though with several emergent missies present including first out aces Moment in Dixie (Toner/Phillips) & Resonating (J. Jerkens/Wygod) who are asked to stretch out a quarter mile from their debut scores. Mott returns Forbidden Gift who broke her maiden in the BEL mud at this trip. By A.P. Indy, she is the daughter of Private Gift, the Howard-trained Farish-Elkins filly that was famously left behind the Philly Park gate when the 2005 PA Oaks field was sent on their way..

Best Value: #2 Forbidden Gift 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Moment in Dixie 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Draw It 7-5 3rd
Super Add: #4 Resonating 10-1 2nd

8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Another maddening turf sprint. Other than the 30-1 and 50-1 'shots, no one would be a surprise..

Most Likely: #1 Cash Bear 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 War Hitch 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #4 Torment 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Dual Mandate 8-1 4th

9th: 7th Spectacular Bid-NY, 3yo, 7f-T (DD)

Like the Cupecoy's Joy earlier, a compelling group. 8-1 is generous on King Kreesa who may need to be used a little early by Ortiz to gain position. 2-1 ML fave Sportswriter broke his maiden turf sprinting at Spa last year, but got much better on main as a 3yo. Disco On (8-1) and Western Tryst (5-1) are others that broke their maidens on grass. Reformed claimer Exciting Missle (20-1) won here on yielding turf 4/27 and can juice exotics with similar effort..

Best Value: #11 King Kreesa 8-1 WON ($9.60)
Next Best: #5 Sportswriter 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Disco On 8-1 9th
Super Add: #10 Exciting Missle 20-1 8th

10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #12 No Three Words WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #4 Youwontseeme 7th
Exotics Use: #14 Comity 6th
Super Add: #11 Prizemm 3rd

<$150 P6 Play:

5: 5-6-8-11
6: 2-3-9
7: 1-2-5
8: 1
9: 5-11
10: 12

4x3x3x1x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144

$2 Pick 6 (8/9/5/3,7,10,12/11/2,3,5,8,9,10,12,13) Paid $444.00 (5OF6)

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-5
8: 1-4-7-8
9: 4-5-8-9-10-11
10: 4-12

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (5/3,7,10,12/11/2,3,5,8,9,10,12,13) Paid $94.12

WOODBINE

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 11th Alywow, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (.20 P3)

Tu Endie Wei is 8-5 making first turf start. Doesn't have to win..

Best Value: #7 Blue Heart 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Tu Endie Wei 8-5 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Dene Court 3-1 WON ($8.50)

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (.20 P4, .20 P3, .20 Super)

Most Likely: #3 Bear Mademoiselle 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Forest Gamble 3-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #8 Sisterdini 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Crane Beach 7-2 2nd

8th: 69th Plate Trial-CND, 3yo, 9f (.20 P3, .20 Super)

Most Likely: #5 Big Creek 6-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Drago's Best 10-1 11th
Next Best: #6 Beeker Street 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Menlo Castle 8-1 9th

9th: 57th Woodbine Oaks-CND, 3yo-F, 9f (DD, .20 Super)

Most Likely: #6 Dixie Strike 6-5 5th
Next Best: #4 Northern Passion 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Irish Mission 6-1 WON ($20.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Awesome Fire 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (8-4) Paid $43.40
$1 Trifecta (8-4-3) Paid $583.60

10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (.20 Super)

Most Likely: #7 Miami Deco 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Diamondsdiplomat 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Dubai Echo 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Bowman's Causeway 3-1 5th

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-7-8
8: 5-6-7-9
9: 4-6
10: 3-5-7-8

3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

Good luck!
Steve