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-   -   Over/Under Belmont Field Size? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=46803)

clambeau 05-19-2012 06:29 PM

Over/Under Belmont Field Size?
 
Seven ? I'm just asking....

santana 05-19-2012 07:20 PM

I will take the over....I couldnt tell you who possibly the new shooters could be at this point...
This looks like a legit TC threat.....Till bodie goes wire to wire.

pmayjr 05-19-2012 07:24 PM

I think Bode doesn't go to the Belmont. I just hope they don't retire him. But I'll still take the over.

clambeau 05-19-2012 07:44 PM

Jeff Siegel (HRTV) says Paynter a Preakness possible...Union Rags, Dullahan...that's four...Does Zito have anything lurking in the wings? I think I'm going with the "under" (mind you, I made the "line" so not sure if I can pick)

Last Three TC Field Sizes

1973 - 5
1977 - 8
1978 - 5

So much for the "good ol days" of great big field sizes

South Beach Luv 05-19-2012 08:07 PM

At least Union Rags will take some $. I'll Have Another will be the favorite for the first time in his racing career but he won't be 1/5.

3kings 05-19-2012 08:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by clambeau (Post 862419)
Jeff Siegel (HRTV) says Paynter a Preakness possible...Union Rags, Dullahan...that's four...Does Zito have anything lurking in the wings? I think I'm going with the "under" (mind you, I made the "line" so not sure if I can pick)

Last Three TC Field Sizes

1973 - 5
1977 - 8
1978 - 5

So much for the "good ol days" of great big field sizes

I think you will get at least 8. Things are different now, people will run truely hopeless horses just to say they had a runner in the triple crown.

clambeau 05-19-2012 08:21 PM

"For What it's Worth Dept. ...
Here's rundown of last 3 Triple Crowns of # horses defeated by TC winner

1973 Secretariat - KD Beat 12 horses; Preakness-4; Belmont-4 TOT=20
1977 Seattle Slew - KD-14; PS-8; BEL-4; TOT=26
1978 Affirmed - KD-10; PS-6; BEL-4 TOT=20

2012 IHA - KD-19; PS-10 TOT (so far) = 29

clambeau 05-19-2012 08:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by South Beach Luv (Post 862427)
At least Union Rags will take some $. I'll Have Another will be the favorite for the first time in his racing career but he won't be 1/5.


Might be the last Grade I race he runs in if he keeps running "95's" (Union Rags, that is)

helicopter11 05-19-2012 08:58 PM

any fillies that can fill some spots?

South Beach Luv 05-19-2012 08:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by clambeau (Post 862434)
Might be the last Grade I race he runs in if he keeps running "95's" (Union Rags, that is)

That is doubtful, unless he is retired.

pmayjr 05-19-2012 09:02 PM

Ok...

I'll Have Another, Dullahan, and Union Rags are in.

I think Baffert/Zayat will enter Paynter in the Belmont instead of Bodemeister.

Does Hansen try? Prospective?

What about the top 2 or 3 from the Peter Pan- Mark Valeski, Right to Vote, and Street Life

Does Asmussen get crazy and contemplate entering Isn't He Clever?

I think there will be over 7

helicopter11 05-19-2012 09:06 PM

dont forget optimizer. Lukas is on a Graded stakes win high after today

pmayjr 05-19-2012 09:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by helicopter11 (Post 862445)
dont forget optimizer. Lukas is on a Graded stakes win high after today

Ugggh... Send him to the turf already

deltagulf 05-19-2012 09:18 PM

yes baffert already said bode won't run in belmont

dylbert 05-19-2012 09:20 PM

FROM LEFT FIELD: If no one but IHA entered, would walkover qualify as winning Triple Crown?

FROM PADDOCK: Vanity drives TC field size now. So, I would take OVER.

FROM WINNER'S CIRCLE: I have been Bode-DNB supporter who is now on-board IHA express. IHA looked like he could have gone an additional 3/16 today and no one would have closed into him. Might the TC drought finally end in 21 days?

clambeau 05-19-2012 09:22 PM

Oh, there will be a lot of guys contemplating running, but with Belmont's purses so juicy, and Saratoga coming soon, if you have a really good horse, dont ruin him (or her) just to "enter" the Belmont, with little or no chance of winning.

Just thought it would be "fun" for something to think about this week before the REAL madness starts, and I will take the "under" to keep my losing streak alive

Fulla Sheets 05-19-2012 09:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by clambeau (Post 862419)
Jeff Siegel (HRTV) says Paynter a Preakness possible...Union Rags, Dullahan...that's four...Does Zito have anything lurking in the wings? I think I'm going with the "under" (mind you, I made the "line" so not sure if I can pick)

Last Three TC Field Sizes

1973 - 5
1977 - 8
1978 - 5

So much for the "good ol days" of great big field sizes


Last Five Attempted Triple Crown Field Sizes

1999- 12
2002- 11
2003- 6
2004- 9
2008- 9

Alan07 05-20-2012 12:01 AM

O/U at attendance - 100,000

clambeau 05-20-2012 12:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan07 (Post 862471)
O/U at attendance - 100,000

counting the horses?

clambeau 05-20-2012 12:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by clambeau (Post 862475)
counting the horses?

YES!

I'D SAY 150+


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