Derby Trail Forums - 4/29: Belmont Park (7th-10th); Hollywood (6th-9th; $36k Hi-5 C/O)

Having trouble finding end zones the past week and deep, difficult races starting the Belmont meet a contributing factor. Other than To Honor and Serve's facile Westchester score, could not get a quality read on the day's heats in Elmont. Three turf sprints to end the Sunday slate won't make the going any easier, either.

Had some nice success at Hollywood later Saturday but left the Carla Gaines nightcap winner off the P4 play which cost the close out. All the winners were somewhere in the P6 sequence but it was the kind of play where you needed some luck connecting the dots and score-o's returned a worthwhile $13k. Good P4 at Inglewood Sunday which includes the the G3 Wilshire.

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Fascinating group includes debuting Bernstein half sis to Gio Ponti (#8 Antonia Autumn) and second out, dirt/turf half to Harmonious from Jimmy Jerkens (#5 Evening Garden). Note Kimmel back with FTS #2 Passeporta who sports similarly long string of drills as Saturday 27-1 stunner Coexist..

Most Likely: #9 Debase the Dollar 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Madame Giry 12-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Antonia Autumn 3-1 WON ($8.90)
Exotics Use: #5 Evening Garden 12-1 8th

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Zellwegger 4-1 8th
Best Value: #11 Missysmoonlitmagic 10-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Nice Stuff 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Manero 7-2 6th

9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Fun betting race with no reason to be intimidated by faves Runflatout (3-1) or King Arthur (4-1)..

Most Likely: #1 New Yawker 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Fisherman's Wharf 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Deerslayer 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Galaxy Kat 15-1 4th

10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

#4 Dita (2-1) is another vulnerable favorite..

Most Likely: #11 Rennina 3-1 10th
Best Value: #5 Red Code 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Dita 2-1 9th
Exotics Use: #12 Fall Into Faith 30-1 7th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-8-9
8: 6-7-9-11
9: 1-5-10
10: 4-5-11

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

HOLLYWOOD PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Many of these take turns beating each other, so perhaps Cassidy interloper from stakes company is the way to lean..

Best Value: #1 Fifth Commandment 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Linda Lou 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Nice Meidel 7-2 6th
Super Add: #2 Missdealornodeal 3-1 WON ($8.20)

7th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Imperial Pride 3-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Dancing at Dark 12-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Star Nicholas 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 My Man Sumo 7-2 5th

8th: 51st Wilshire H. (G3), F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Briecat 6-1 DH-2nd
Next Best: #7 Up in Time 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Nereid 5-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Wild Mia 4-1 5th

9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

$36k Super Hi-5 C/O here..

Most Likely: #2 Running Isabella 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #9 Red Intrigue 15-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Late SCR (RIP)
Exotics Use: #6 Secret Genius 5-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #5 Nifty Dream 5-1 3rd

<$75 Hi-5 Play: 2 with 6-8-9 with 6-8-9 with 5-6-8-9 with All (1x3x2x2x5 = $60)

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-5-7
7: 1-5-9-10
8: 1-3-4-5-7
9: 2

5x4x5x1 = 100 x .50 = $50

Good luck!
Steve