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-   -   12/10: Gulfstream (7th-11th); Hollywood (7th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=44802)

Kasept 12-10-2011 05:18 AM

12/10: Gulfstream (7th-11th); Hollywood (7th-10th)
 
GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Shaun Washington is right horse, but that's a tough place to run from. The other Jerkens -- Get Right -- adds hood and may get advantageous journey..

Most Likely: #11 Shaun Washington 5-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Silver Max 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Get Right 10-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Optionality 8-1 11th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Heat features return of WinStar's 2010 Sunland Derby winner Endorsement -- now with Eoin Harty..

Original top tab Golden Moka a SCR. I'm finding this to be a very confusing race..

Best Value: #5 Abdel's Ghost 6-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Endorsement 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 The Hunk 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #2 Green Vegas 20-1 8th



9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Hey look.. Buried in the MTO's, it's Santiva!

Best Value: #1 Exeter Road 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 The Paddyman 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 J Isle 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Northern Hammer 8-1 WON ($14.20)


10th: 32nd Sugar Swirl (G3), F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Pomeroys Pistol the horse to beat clearly, so let's try to beat her. Interestingly, every horse other than the Tarrant trainee is coming off a layoff of 7 weeks or more. Sprinters fire fresh as a matter of course, so there is every chance that someone runs off the screen. There's plenty of speed signed on, so off the pace types need to be involved in the play..

Best Value: #6 Strike the Moon 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Pomeroys Pistol 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Indulgence 6-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Roman Treasure 4-1 8th


11th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Deep, tough group..

Most Likely: #1 East of Danzig 4-1 WON ($11.20)
Best Value: #12 Fourseventeen 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Kitten in May 6-1 --
Exotics Use: #9 Houngun 6-1 --
Hi-5 Play: #5 Bwana Brave 8-1 3rd


<$50 P5 Play:

7: 1-11
8: 2-4-5-7
9: 1-5-9
10: 1-6
11: 1-12

2x4x3x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-4-5-7
9: 1-5-9
10: 1-3-5-6
11: 1-8-12

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

One of the firsters will have to be pretty sharp to best those that have already run..

Best Value: #5 Brannaman 9-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Out of Bounds 7-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Where's Henry 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Time to Doubledown 5-1 7th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Nice group. Will mix and match the two faves with two solid-looking prices..

Most Likely: #3 Gab Power 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Reach a Decision 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Holladay Road 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Bailouttheminister 6-1 7th


9th: 31st Hollywood Starlet (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Always a nice way to round out the Cali baby filly season. Just 6 but a nice group..

Most Likely: #1 Weemissfrankie 7-5: Tries to sweep the West Coast G1's.. 4th
Best Value: #6 Self Preservation 5-1: Forgotten missie from BC Juvy Filly heat.. 5th
Next Best: #2 Charm the Maker 9-5: Interchangeable with top tab; This is her Cup.. 2nd


10th: MSN CLM, 2yo, 6.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Idontrollonshabbos 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Fear the Beard 7-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Cloud Top 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 War Politics 5-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #5 Captain Magic 6-1 7th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-5-9
8: 3-6-8-10
9: 1-2-6
10: 2-4-9

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

keithting 12-10-2011 06:51 AM

Any weather update from Gulfstream? It is raining like hell with flooding about 100 miles north of the track.........

jms62 12-10-2011 06:59 AM

I also landed on 6-Strike the Moon however if we get the anticipated wet track, 3-Roman Treasure moves way up

asudevil 12-10-2011 10:45 AM

I love Petey's Time to Doubledown in the 7th at HP.

Kasept 12-10-2011 11:28 AM

GP SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 12-10-2011 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by keithting (Post 823818)
Any weather update from Gulfstream? It is raining like hell with flooding about 100 miles north of the track.........

Main track good, turf good.. Light rain.

golfer 12-10-2011 06:35 PM

Quote:

Original top tab Golden Moka a SCR. I'm finding this to be a very confusing race..

Best Value: #5 Abdel's Ghost 6-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Endorsement 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 The Hunk 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #2 Green Vegas 20-1 8th
So did the jocks. I cannot believe how that race played out, with all the early speed there seemed to be on paper:zz:


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