Derby Trail Forums - 11/30: Aqueduct ($31k C/O)

AQUEDUCT

PRE-SCRATCHES

4TH & 6TH OFF THE TURF; 8TH REMAINS ON 'SOFT' LAWN

4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Stanford Dolly 8-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Famous Rose 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #13 Judicial Leader 4-1 WON ($12.20)

5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value:#6 King Rock 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Our Brave Warrior 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Anew 6-5 7th
Super Add: #3 American Classic 8-1 ($23.20)

6th: CLM, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Only 1-3-6-10 from original entrants and 12-13-14 from MTO's run. As Andy Serling mentioned on ATR Tuesday, Grausmark's Take Down Two was going to be as attractive as the MTO's if it came off the grass..

Most Likely: #6 Take Down Two 4th
Next Best: #14 High Stakes Player WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #13 Stud Muffin 2nd

7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

What's so special about Honey Mou for us to take 9-5 on her?

Best Value: #3 Simple Exchange 10-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Justleavemealone 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Beautifulnightmare 4-1 WON ($8.30)
Super Add: #1 Readygetsgold 8-1 3rd

8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Soft turf a mitigating factor here..

Best Value: #9 Abilio 5-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #4 One Note Samba 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 War Hoot 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Glacier Bay 8-1 7th

9th: CLM, 3+, 1m (Super)

Before singling the favorite here, recall Serling's Formulator stat from Tuesday that Linda Rice enters the '11 winter meet 1 for 30+ going turf to AQU Inner (#8 Storm Island/3-1)..

Best Value: #4 Jitalian 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Prince Dubai 7-2 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Storm Island 3-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Merlin Bay 12-1 9th

<$150 P6 Play:

4: 7-12
5: 2-5-6
6: 6
7: 3-7
8: 4-9
9: 4-6-8

2x3x1x2x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 6-13-14
7: 1-3-4-7
8: 1-4-9
9: 4-5-6-8

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (14/4/9/6) Paid $290.00

Good luck!
Steve