10/8: Belmont Park (4th-10th); Keeneland (2nd-10th)
 

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Inny Minnie 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #5 Harmony Hills 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Tapajo 7-2 6th
Super Add: #6 Callmenancy 8-1 3rd


3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Odds On 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Mobilizer 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Al Muhtasib 3-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Ioya Bigtime 6-1 WON ($13.80)


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Trading Paint 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Annaclone 5-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Coasting 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Cypress Point 15-1 6th


5th: 15th Woodford (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Typically wide open lawn dash..

Best Value: #2 Country Day 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Great Attack 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Streakin Mohican 8-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Havelock 12-1 WON ($12.40)


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-5-6-7
3: 1-2-3-4
4: 3-4
5: 2-3-4-5

4x4x2x4 = 128 x .50 = $64


6th: 31st TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Switch 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Dances With Ashley 15-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Shotgun Gulch 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Devil by Design 12-1 9th


7th: First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Terrific group..

Most Likely: #12 Never Retreat 6-1 WON ($10.00)
Best Value: #1 Bay to Bay 12-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Wasted Tears 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 C. S. Silk 8-1 7th


8th: 98th Breeders' Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Shared Property 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Motor City 15-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Majestic City 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Take Charge Indy 5-1 4th


9th: Shadwell Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Wise Dan 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Zoffany 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Gio Ponti 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #3 Dance And Dance 8-1 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-6-9-10
7: ALL
8: 7
9: 4-7

4x12x1x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Lady Aspen 12-1 DNF
Exotics Use: #3 Miss Woods 15-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Enchante 3-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Corleone 5-2 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #7 Royal Order 15-1 6th


<$75 P5 Play:

6: 10
7: 1-8-12
8: 4-5-7-8
9: 4-5-7
10: 2-3-4-9

1x3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-6-7-8-9-12
8: 4-7
9: 4-7
10: 2-3-4-7-9

7x2x2x5 = 140 x .50 = $70



BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Superb betting race with price play Mutiny (15-1) making ideal key..

Best Value: #3 Mutiny 15-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Kid Curry 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Hanson Heights 4-1 7th
Super Add: #11 Djokovic 12-1 3rd

.10 SUPER: Key 3 in 1st/2nd with 2-5-7-11-16 (1x5x4x3 + 5x1x4x3 = 60 + 60 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Very intriguing MDN event here with Dendrite (20-1) and Rock Harder exiting 9/17 affair that is sending Pletcher/Repole's Our Entourage to today's Breeders' Futurity and Motion/West Point's Gold Megillah to Sunday's Bourbon. Additionally, Punctual Jeff (4-1) and Super Saturday (6-1) ran behind Kitten's Kid (2nd in Pilgrim last week) on 9/3, and Two Months Rent (7-2) has chased both State of Play (With Anticipation winner) and Optimizer (Breeders' Futurity). All, as well as firster Star Channel (10-1 and half to MSW on turf Changing World) can win this..

Best Value: #2 Rock Harder 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Super Saturday 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Punctual Jeff 4-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Star Channel 10-1 10th


6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Miraculum 15-1 12th
Next Best: #8 Lemons to Lemonade 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Ready Love 3-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Sasta Go Lucky 6-1 4th


7th: 62nd Jamaica H. (G1), 3yo, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Race will come down to trip as any are possible with favorites solid but unimposing..

Best Value: #5 Western Aristocrat 10-1 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #6 Brilliant Speed 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Wilkinson 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Casino Host 2-1 6th


8th: 64th Frizette (G1), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Top pair seem to have rest of group over a barrel..

Most Likely: #1 My Miss Aurelia 7-5 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #3 Stopshoppingmaria 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Spare Change 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Miss Netta 8-1 3rd


9th: 140th Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Again, top pair (Alpha, Union Rags) seem very solid into this, but next 3-4 including overlaid Invocation (20-1) are not without chance..

Most Likely: #5 Alpha 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Invocation 20-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Union Rags 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Power World 8-1 7th

.10 SUPER: 5-6-8 with 5-6-8 with 3-4-5-6-7-8 with ALL = 3x2x4x5 = 120 x .10 = $12.00

.10 Super (6-5-7-3) Paid $15.00


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Best Value: #7 Toccet's Image 12-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Twojohnsandajack 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Ocean Seven 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Fore Pals 15-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-4-5-6-8
8: 1-3
9: 5-6-8
10: 2-4-7-10

6x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

BEL SCR/CHG'S

KEE SCR/CHG'S

Steve,

In the 4th @ Belmont, did you mean to omit the #11 Djokovic from your Super play? You had him earlier, but changed with the scratch of the #10.

Thanks in advance,and best of luck today with the full card!!

Thx for catch.. Restored. G/L today/this weekend!

Bel 4
50 wps...5

Had to take the shot at 6/1...

Leparoux might be the first guy to clinch a Keeneland jockey title after two days.

:tro:


I laughed..

Punctual Jeff 8/5?? :eek:

Corey Nakatani has won 4 of the first 5 races and Belmont and his mount scratched in the only race he hasn't won. Is there a full moon out there? :eek:

Beneficiaries in the "Flattery Derby" (via result in Belmont 5th) are Optimizer (upcoming Breeders' Futurity) and State of Play who have previously bettered Two Months Rent..

Further from the 5th as Andy just tweeted, Romans' Cozzetti had variety of trouble that denied him the win..

Nakatani riding as hot at Belmont (4 W's) as Leparoux is at Keeneland (3)..

Interesting how Shotgun Gulch took the money between she and Musical Romance. I leaned that way too with the Madison win to her credit, but surprised at the 6-1 to 11-1 spread..

Here comes those damn Kittens again...

Nakatani is putting on a clinic at Belmont today. Maybe he needs to be tested.

Let him keep it going at least another 3 mounts: My Miss Aurelia, Rubber Duck and... Ausable Chasm.

;)

He could easily win with his last two mounts. What is the record at Belmont?

A few have won 6 in one day in New York, but at Belmont, Jorge Velasquez is the only one to win on all of his day's mounts (7/9/81). Ramon Dominguez is the most recent to net 6 at Belmont (6/5/11).

How tough is Never Retreat!?! :tro:

There is no stopping Nakatani, you can only hope to contain him.

Not really sure what Castellano was thinking with that strategy.