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-   -   10/6: Belmont Park ($30k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=43991)

Kasept 10-06-2011 07:00 AM

10/6: Belmont Park ($30k C/O)
 
BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Tough set to start the P6 sequence. Some may live or die with Goldberg/Dominguez fave, but decisions are made harder due to presence of 'vicinity' types like Tropical Jetset that always seem to win when you leave them off tickets. Roses for Star will be a big number and should snap right back returning to lawn under notorious turf pilot..

Most Likely: #3 Take Her tothe Top 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #11 Roses for the Star 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Another Please 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Tropical Jetset 7-2 2nd


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Ooof. Rough group..

Most Likely: #8 Gin Cat 3-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Neat Lightening 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Suave Ending 5-2 8th
Super Add: #5 Sky Fever 6-1 4th


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Surf Road 3-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Believe in You 10-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Light de Night 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Praying for Mike 7-2 4th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Day's best race is made attractive by vulnerability of favored Humble and Hungry given questionable rating of the race he exits (G2 Hall of Fame). Can certainly win and draws cozy slot, but doesn't deserve your money at 5-2. Mr. Enrico did wonders for my bankroll and many readers/listeners last out at 27-1, but you have to swing to another vine after an effort like that, and freshened Ribaudo player Eternal Ruler has the look..

Best Value: #3 Eternal Ruler 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Hyper 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Humble and Hungry 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Midnight Billy 20-1 10th


8th: CLM, 3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

NOTE: Will add #9 Retire to What (3-1) should AE-13 Sam Hillic not make the field..

UPDATE: Sam Hillic DOES draw in..

Best Value: #13 Sam Hillic 12-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Hollywood Left 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Foralltheglory 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Retire to What 3-1 11th


9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-Moved to Widener Turf (Super)

Best Value: #2 Scootles 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Silver Meeting 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Simply Delightful 10-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Allumeuse 5-2 5th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 3-11
5: 4-8
6: 4-5-9
7: 3-5
8: 2-13
9: 2-4

2x2x3x2x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-5-9
7: 2-3-5
8: 2-4-8-9-13
9: 2-4-5

3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50


Good luck!
Steve

hockey2315 10-06-2011 09:53 AM

I really like Eternal Ruler too, Steve.

Kasept 10-06-2011 10:22 AM

BEL SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 10-06-2011 04:30 PM

$103k Double C/O

ADJMK 10-06-2011 04:32 PM

May as well bring out the dart board lately

arizonadave 10-06-2011 06:56 PM

Belmont has been tough lately.

Kasept 10-07-2011 05:18 AM

Wet tracks/off turf and less than firm footing when on turf contribute to chaos. Then there certainly has been some kooky horses and strangely run races to add to it.. Dig in the heels!

mclem0822 10-07-2011 05:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 809687)
Wet tracks/off turf and less than firm footing when on turf contribute to chaos. Then there certainly has been some kooky horses and strangely run races to add to it.. Dig in the heels!

I agree Steve. Weather looks great for the weekend, should be some great turf racing! Good Luck!


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