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-   -   8/24: Saratoga (Day 29; Albany) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=43601)

Kasept 08-23-2011 08:36 PM

8/24: Saratoga (Day 29; Albany)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Majestic Hope 7-2 WON ($11.80)
Next Best: #5 Actlikeyoumeanit 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Worth a Buck 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Magnet Cove 10-1 7th


2nd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Crypto Kitten 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Notell 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Strikealinethruit 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Tulane Up 8-1 4th


3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Big SCR of heavy fave #2 All of the Above; No Show or Tri..

Next Best: #4 Isn't He Perfect 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1e Zito entry 5-1 3rd/4th
Exotics Use: #3 Most Happy Fella 4-1 WON ($7.20)


4th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Victorious Leader 6-1 9th
Next Best: #8 One Note Samba 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Just Playin Around 7-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Dubai Rainbow 5-1 8th


5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Bunker's Ledge 4-1 4th
Next Best: #8 My Wahoo 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 SCR
Super Add: #4 Malibu Wave 5-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-5-8-9
3: 1-3-4
4: 2-5-7-8-9
5: 2-8

5x3x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75


6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 She Drives Me Wild 2-1 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #4 Eleven of Hearts 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Sasta Go Lucky 7-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Isabella Bella 15-1 7th


7th: Albany-NY, 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Preachintothedevil 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Socialsaul 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Alstom 8-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Sailmate 7-2 4th


8th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Dynazapper 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 The Underling 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Ailalea 5-2 2nd


9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Grace and Courage 3-1 WON ($9.10)
Next Best: #7 Molly Molly Molly 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Lakeside Chapel 5-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Dracup 6-1 2nd


10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 9f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #5 Last Out of Panama 3-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Griffin Rock 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Alvito 12-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Forty Tears 6-1 3rd


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-6-7
8: 2-3-4-5
9: 6-7
10: 5-8-10-11

3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 08-24-2011 10:26 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

ADJMK 08-24-2011 12:32 PM

race 2 .50 p4

2,3,7,8,9/all/2,7,8,9/8 - $40

knickslions2 08-24-2011 01:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 802585)
race 2 .50 p4

2,3,7,8,9/all/2,7,8,9/8 - $40

Bring it home!!

Princess Doreen 08-24-2011 01:55 PM

Bad spill in 2nd races - couple horses and their jockeys went down. I don't have any other details. Not at track - saw it on tv. Looked pretty bad.

ADJMK 08-24-2011 01:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 802611)
Bring it home!!

3 horse opens at 9/5. Could be in big trouble?

knickslions2 08-24-2011 02:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 802614)
3 horse opens at 9/5. Could be in big trouble?

Tough one.. I was worried when I saw Hannibal Lector bet way down.

ADJMK 08-24-2011 02:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 802625)
Tough one.. I was worried when I saw Hannibal Lector bet way down.

And instead of betting the 3 to win as a cover I bet a $40 exacta 3/8 to get a bigger kick in the head.

MaTH716 08-24-2011 03:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 802628)
And instead of betting the 3 to win as a cover I bet a $40 exacta 3/8 to get a bigger kick in the head.

Ahhh, you live, you learn.
Nice run at it though.

One question, what made you like the 8 in the last so much in the last leg, enough to single him in the sequance?

ADJMK 08-24-2011 03:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 802631)
Ahhh, you live, you learn.
Nice run at it though.

One question, what made you like the 8 in the last so much in the last leg, enough to single him in the sequance?

Margolis's stats for 2nd starts(29%) & MSW to MCL((31%) and Beyer that towered over field. Who knew the 3 was so alive until the board opened. That is the problem betting P4 with a maiden race in the sequence.

jms62 08-24-2011 03:26 PM

Guess who i singled in the late P4. Yet another beat in the last 10 yds for a single. That will be 5 in a row:zz:

dagolfer33 08-24-2011 05:48 PM

Handicapping question to myself: David why do you constantly waste money on pk 4s when you can't even hit a pk 3?

Answer: I guess I'm just plain stupid.

BigBlue 08-24-2011 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dagolfer33 (Post 802667)
Handicapping question to myself: David why do you constantly waste money on pk 4s when you can't even hit a pk 3?

Answer: I guess I'm just plain stupid.

David,

Thank you for expressing what I've been feeling for a while. It helped to bring clarity to my own situation. I stink.

ADJMK 08-24-2011 10:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dagolfer33 (Post 802667)
Handicapping question to myself: David why do you constantly waste money on pk 4s when you can't even hit a pk 3?

Answer: I guess I'm just plain stupid.

Because we are all greedy looking for the big payoff. Meantime if I had just boxed my horses in the 2nd I would be looking at a $1,381 tri and a $4,463 super.Instead I am waiting to get beat by a first timer. Up for the meet with a couple of nice P4 hits but I am sure I would have been better off investing my P4 and P6 money in other ways.


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