Derby Trail Forums - 8/18: Saratoga (Day 24; $100k P6)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N2L, 4+, 19f-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Late SCR
Next Best: #4 Port Morseby 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Parker's Project 10-1 WON ($30.40)
Super Add: #5 Brave Prospect 12-1 DNF

2nd: Walsh Novice, 4+, 19f-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 All Together 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1e Sheppard entry 4-1 WON ($6.30)/4th
Best Value: #2 Here Comes Art 8-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Demonstrative 7-2 2nd

3rd: CLMN/N2L, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Settle for Medal 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Cooper River 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Gospel Lesson 4-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Launch N Relaunch 4-1 2nd

4th: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Stud Muffin 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Coljak 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 J L Bernstein 7-2 WON ($8.50)
Super Add: #1 Sheraguska 6-1 4th

5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$100k Guaranteed P6 starts here..

Maddeningly competitive group including 15-1 overlay Loyal Shadow who is the 4yo half-sister of the City Zip colt My Pal of Pals that Dee Tee shares with their breeder Dr. Paul Giacopelli..

Most Likely: #8 Resoundingly 7-2 6th
Best Value: #9 Loyal Shadow 15-1 WON ($31.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Ouchy Night 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Royal Order 15-1 4th

6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Tricky anchor to early quad given status of free-falling fave Papa Bear (5-2) and Hushion's gaudy 2nd/break stat (46%; $2.74)..

Best Value: #8 No Questions 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 My Man Marty 7-2 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #5 Papa Bear 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Thisonesforruthie 6-1 6th

<$50 P4 Play:

3: 3-7
4: 3-4-5
5: 2-6-7-8-9
6: 1-5-8

2x3x5x3 = 90 x .50 = $45

7th: CLM, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Red Leader 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Jimanator 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Show Trial 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Hurricane Heat 12-1 6th

8th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Free Brave 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Sumfun 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Tahoe Warrior 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Sly 6-1 5th

9th: 32nd West Point-NY, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Lubash 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Compliance Officer 5-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Ichabad Crane 3-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Pocket Cowboys 6-1 3rd

10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #6 Holy Spice 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Singmeasong 3-1 -th
Exotics Use: #3 Rennina 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Simsational 7-2 WON ($8.90)

<$200 P6 Play:

5: 7-8-9
6: 1-8
7: 8-12
8: 8
9: 1-5
10: 3-4-6-9

3x2x2x1x2x4 = 96 x $2 = $192

$2 Pick 6 (9/1/1,2,4,7,12/2/1/9) Paid $1,362.00 (5OF6)

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 8-10-12
8: 5-6-8
9: 1-5-8-10
10: 3-4-6-9

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve