Derby Trail Forums - 8/17: Saratoga (Day 23; $38k C/O)

Wet Monday was a tale of two halves at Saratoga, as first five of the day were largely formful ahead of surprises that generated a $38k P6 carry into Wednesday. Early P4 and a solid $82.75 triple in the 5th keyed by Spina made it a decent afternoon before giving some back on the late quad and in the feature. The Special was annexed by Michael Matz with Union Rags who won off by himself as the field spread out all the way down the stretch. That was the best example of what regularly occurs on sloppy track days as virtually every winner from the 5th-9th, as the ongoing rain made the track as sea of slop, took control of their heat early and wired. Fields in races like Monday's get strung out as some runners spin their wheels and other hate the splosh. Wednesday sequence features 6 maiden events, and we'll have to wait and see about the 5 events scheduled for the lawn...

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Malibu Artiste 9-2 WON ($5.50)
Next Best: #9 Does It Every Time 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Iberian Gate 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Margaret Smile 6-1 2nd

2nd: CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

If Curatolo can break sharp from the tricky post with Power King, he has a chance to find himself alone on the lead..

Best Value: #1 Power King 10-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Mad for Smarty 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 After Shock 7-2 6th
Super Add: #7 Fudge the Books 4-1 5th

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P3, DD)

Not a lot to go on here, but Hennig and Dattt seem to annually produce a juvenile winner at a square price and this Injun Chuck has the recipe..

Best Value: #5 Dattts Happy 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Rockin Boogie 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Voodoo Daddy 4-1 WON ($7.40)

4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Sortilege 7-5 3rd
Next Best: #6 Rockport Lover 3-1 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #5 Honey Mou 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Dixieland Cowgirl 8-1 4th

5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Patrioticandproud 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Grand Encounter 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Reserved Quality 7-2 WON ($6.20)

P4 Play:

2: 1-2-8
3: 3-5
4: 5-6-8
5: 3-4-5-6

3x2x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $35

6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Doublespeak 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Chardsey 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Raffie's Choice 5-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Imaspeedyguy 8-1 3rd

7th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Readthebyline 5-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Goodtime Boy 9-2 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Juniors Tribute 12-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Pure Grit 4-1 3rd

8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1a Keep It a Secret 6-1 WON ($4.50)
Next Best: #3 Cap the Thunder 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #13 Money Magnet 12-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Viv's Tiara 30-1 3rd

9th: 8th Troy, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Just six but interestingly matched; Expect this will stay on the turf..

Most Likely: #6 Bridgetown 1-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #1 Pachito the Che 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Yield Bogey 9-2 5th

10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #10 Pure Home Brew 4-1 WON-Via DQ ($7.10)
Best Value: #6 Solid d'Oro 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Mr. Starr's Report 5-2 --
Super Add: #2 Getinitalltogether 6-1 3rd

<$200 P6 Play:

5: 4-6
6: 5-7
7: 3-6
8: 1
9: 1-3-5-6
10: 5-6-10

2x2x2x1x4x3 = 96 x $2 = $192

$2 Pick 6 (3/7,11,12,13,14,15,16/3/1,4,5,6,7,11,12/6,7/10) Paid $15.60 x 2 = $31.20 (5OF6)

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-6-7
8: 1-3
9: 1-3-5-6
10: 2-5-6-7-8-10

3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/1,4,5,6,7,11,12/6,7/10) Paid $38.62

Good luck!
Steve