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-   -   8/15: Saratoga (Day 22; Saratoga Special) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=43488)

Kasept 08-15-2011 06:09 AM

8/15: Saratoga (Day 22; Saratoga Special)
 
Long-promised rain finally arrived Sunday evening and has steadily come down throughout the night. Expecting to be off the turf (3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th, 9th) and at least sloppy to start the day. Many scratches anticipated, so I'll thumbnail the card for now and see about the turf races after ATR (12p)...

P6 carryovers at Spa and Del Mar were highly lucrative Sunday as New York sextet brought back $142k to 2 patrons while just one on-track punter took down the Cali jackpot for $756k on a $2,688 ticket. Winners/contenders at Saratoga were generally identifiable Sunday, but the hits that came were modest and it felt like another 'treading water' kind of afternoon. Hope you did well.


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: S/HCP, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Speight of Hand 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Caixa Electronica 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Starforaday 7-2 4th


2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

This is a very competitive group for $35k maidens. And several here are bred through the eyes for off going..

Most Likely: #2 My Piano Man 7-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Mr. Haywood 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Big City Deputy 5-2 WON ($4.80)


3rd: CLM, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2b W. W.'s Lady's Man 2nd
Next Best: #12 My Golden Opinion 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Game Token WON ($11.00)


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Miss Vindictive WON ($6.10)
Next Best: #3 Poppy Day 4th
Exotics Use: #10 High Strider 7th
Super Add: #9 Sister Berta 5th


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Devilish Silver 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Spina 8-5 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Kissa Melissa 4-1 DNF
Super Add: #8 Judicial Leader 10-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4-5
3: 2-6-12
4: 1-3-10
5: 3-5-6-8

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$.50 P4 (1,5,6/6/1,4,6,7,11,12/1,3) Paid $114.40


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Late SCR
Next Best: #5 Roderick 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Pawnee Red 4th
Super Add: #2 Bail Out the Cat 5th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Indian Tale 2nd
Next Best: #11 Shared Heart 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Heavenly Landing 4th
Super Add: #13 Victoria Lynn 8th


8th: 106th Saratoga Special (G2), 2yo, 6.5f (DD)

May be reckless, but I'll go against Pletcher's Stat (7-5) within the race and save with him in the multis..

Most Likely: #6 Trinniberg 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Banner Bill 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Indian Evening 5-1 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (Super)

Best Value: #13 Chive Blossom 7th
Next Best: #3 My Fast One 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Late SCR
Super Add: #4 Slamming WON ($9.30)


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4/SCR-5
7: 5-9-11
8: 2-3-4-6
9: 3-4-7/SCR-13

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 08-15-2011 10:52 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

Remember distance changes from 8.5f-T to 9f and 1m-IT to 7f...

RACE 3-OFF TURF @ 5 1/2 FUR
RACE 4-OFF TURF @ 1 1/8 MI
RACE 6-OFF TURF @ 5 1/2 FUR
RACE 7-OFF TURF @ 7 FUR
RACE 9-OFF TURF @ 5 1/2 FUR

Kasept 08-15-2011 05:06 PM

$38,865 Carryover Wednesday


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