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-   -   8/12: Saratoga (Day 19: Hall of Fame; $80k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=43452)

Kasept 08-12-2011 04:50 AM

8/12: Saratoga (Day 19: Hall of Fame; $80k C/O)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

FYI, Philly shipper #8 Quiet All American (5-1) WON has been announced as a gelding..

Most Likely: #6 Power King 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 River City Reel 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Successful Score 5-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Cave's Valley 7-2 3rd


2nd: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Tough hard knockers with droppers, returnees, stretchouts, et al..

Most Likely: #7 Almoradi 7-2: The dropper.. 4th
Best Value: #1 (POE) The Vin Man 6-1: The returnee.. 5th/8th
Exotics Use: #5 Glacier Bay 2-1: The horse to beat.. 2nd
Super Add: #4 Ever a Friend 5-1: The stretch-out.. WON ($9.40)


3rd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Top three all out of stake-winning dams..

Most Likely: #1 Hard Mystery 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Miss Caterina 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Smokin' Alice 3-1 4th


4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$80k P6 C/O starts here..

Top tab Inner Truth a sneaky wire threat under Kent who is making the most of his few mounts here..

Best Value: #1 Inner Truth 12-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Senora Dubai 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Hookshot 5-2 6th
Super Add: #5 Stray Bullet 4-1 3rd


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Starsilhouette 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Settling Seas 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #7 Ba Ba's Bunch 8-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Miss Stilleto 5-2 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-5-7
3: 1-4-5
4: 1-3-5-6
5: 1-4-7-9

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th:MSW, 3+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Gaudy fig for Soultown in debut tough to get past here. Top one from that race -- Brueggemann LA-bred Southern Dude (101 Beyer) -- yet to run back, though one winner has exited the event. Likely legit in Margo's hands..

Most Likely: #3 Soultown 2-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Show Me the Way 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Rothko 4-1 WON ($10.00)
Super Add: #4 Perfect Slam 8-1 3rd


7th: 27th Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

As the Sword Dancer came up a solid alternative for those not of Arlington Million quality, this standard is a solid assembly of lesser light soph talent for those not up to the Secretariat. Outside quartet have lots of pace interest making it likely that the inside trio get to them in the late stages. (And note that the turf courses are finally playing completely fair after being speed-friendly the first third of the stand)..

Best Value: #2 Rustler Hustler 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Crimson China 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Humble and Hungry 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Street Game 8-5 7th


8th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Diane Balsalmo goes to the well a 3rd time (!) here with the indefatiguable System Restore. Can Gary Gullo snap a losing streak for 90+ starts with grass runners? VERY difficult turf dash..

Best Value: #8 Saints Alive 10-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Mitigation 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Coronation Day 7-2 6th
Super Add: #5 Count Catamount 8-1 2nd


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Debuting Roca Del Norte, by good turf sire Dehere, (remember Argentine Talisman?)..

Most Likely: #9 English Ivy 5-2
Best Value: #7 Lemme 8-1
Next Best: #5 Hoopskirt 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 Roca Del Norte 12-1
Super Add: 10 Another Please 5-1


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 1
5: 1-4-7-9
6: 3
7: 2-3-5-7
8: 8
9: 5-7-9

1x4x1x4x1x3 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3
7: 2-3-5-6-7
8: 4-8-10
9: 1-3-5-7-9

2x5x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve

pb72vett 08-12-2011 05:52 AM

Steve-p 4
 
Steve ,may want to check race 8 numbers! pb 72

Kasept 08-12-2011 11:37 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

knickslions2 08-12-2011 12:04 PM

FYI, Philly shipper #8 Quiet All American (5-1) has been announced as a gelding..

There you go

ADJMK 08-12-2011 12:31 PM

Stab at p6 carryover:

5/9/1,3,4,7/2,3,7/1,5,10/5 --$72


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