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-   -   8/11: Saratoga (Day 18; NY Stallion Stakes) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=43440)

Kasept 08-11-2011 08:31 AM

8/11: Saratoga (Day 18; NY Stallion Stakes)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Mrs. Phipps, F&M-4+, 16.5f-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Opera Heroine 4-1 WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #3 Lonesome Nun 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Upper Gulch 7-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Well Fashioned 4-1 2nd


2nd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Cinder Cone 3-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Summer Share 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Most Happy Fella 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #2 Awesome Review 7-2 3rd


3rd: CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Sharp Tongue Lady 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #3 Henny's Hurricane 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Indian Tale 5-2 WON ($7.20)


4th: OC/C, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Chess match of a race. All seem capable and that's probably a good approach in the P4..

Most Likely: #2 Hillswick 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Mannington 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Law Enforcement 6-1 2nd


5th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Langsyne 4-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Bellamy Roadster 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Lady Gold 6-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Bourbonstreetgirl 8-1 WON ($21.00)


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4-5
3: 1
4: ALL
5: 3-4-6-7

4x1x6x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Golden Tornado 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Won O Won 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Casanova Giant 3-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Forty Tears 12-1 4th


7th: Lucy Scrivner, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Doing Great 5-2 DNF
Next Best: #6 Cascadilla Falls 6-1 WON ($13.00)
Best Value: #8 Tale Untold 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Sunlight Sonata 7-2 3rd


8th: NY Stallion Stakes, 3yo, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Hessonite 7-2 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #6 Lady On the Run 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Freud's Honor 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Darren's Dilemma 7-2 7th


9th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Splendiferous 5-1 WON ($12.20)
Best Value: #2 Knock Rock 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Chanttoomuch 7-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Speightscity 4-1 4th


10th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Midnite Silver 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Cookram Rock 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Leadwithyourchin 7-2 --
Super Add: #2 Turfiste 20-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-6-8
8: 5-6-7
9: 1-2-6-7
10: 6-7-10

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 08-11-2011 10:20 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

ADJMK 08-11-2011 12:03 PM

Race 3-$55,000 purse can only draw 4 racing.Nice chqs for all the entrants. With the short fields yesterday maybe time for the Spa to go 5 days a week? I wouldn't mind the extra day rest.

2nd:
#2 Awesome Review- lone 3 yr old may get setup by 3&4 battling on lead
#4 Cinder Cone -10x winner - only 1 work since last 2 mths ago concern
#5 Summer Share -in the money-only 2-21 lifetime
#3 Most Happy Fella 3-1- hooks up with the 4 in pace duel


3rd:
#3 Henny's Hurricane- knows how to win-5-11 lifetime
#1 Sharp Tongue Lady-throw out high figure slop-not much better than rest
#5 Queen's Harbour- possibly steals 4 horse race

4th:
#2 Hillswick - logical fav-no Sean Avery in here
#6 Mannington- tough trip in last- 1st 2 starts ok
#5 Radiohead - why the drop into claimers?


5th:
#4 Lady Gol- 2nd start - 1st lasix
#2 Ezpz Sqeeze - sharp works in am
#6 Bellamy Roadster - can't leave out any Pletcher firster
#3 Bourbonstreetgirl - dam 2/3 and 1 turf winner
#7 Langsyne - closed well in 1st start

Early p4

2,4,5/1,3/2,6/2,3,4,6,7

Kasept 08-11-2011 05:16 PM

$82k CARRYOVER


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