Derby Trail Forums - 6/24: Churchill Downs ($25k C/O); Prairie Meadows (P4)

Between the post-tornado Churchill card ($25k P6 C/O), Iowa Destival of Racing kick off at Prairie Meadows and a $65k P6 C/O at Hollywood late night, we have some fun Friday night start to the weekend. Saturday has its' usual blend of action of course, and Sunday features a fabulous Queens' Plate card at Woodbine! Hope you enjoy a head-spinningly fast week of ATR and have a big summer season starter weekend!

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Very pleased that Kenneally gets GSW Bucklupbuttercup, a favorite of mine from her soph season, back to the races. She is the favorite, but both Glowing Report andpace edge candidate Garnet Crystals have good chances..

Best Value: #1 Glowing Report 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Buckleupbuttercup 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Garnet Crystals 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Honchis'n Ponchis 7-2 2nd

6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$25k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #7 Krysna 1-1 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #4 Pray for Grace 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Private Offering 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Miss Matchless 4-1 6th

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Rack Daddy 3-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Blackngoldsuprbowl 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Z Winner 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Strong Dream 5-1 2nd

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Wine Police exploded on the Saratoga 2yo scene opening weekend looking like a force to reckon with before an injury exiting the G1 Hopeful placing. Not the easiest spot in which to make a return, and the draw doesn't help either..

Most Likely: #4 Pistols At Dawn 4-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Indian Council 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Wine Police 5-2 WON ($3.80)

9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Francis Gardner 4-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Stormy Story 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Rock Hard Baby 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 C. S. Royce 3-1 WON ($6.40)

10th: Kelly's Landing, 3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Dublin will SCR according to Lukas..

Most Likely: #4 Captain Cherokee 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Here Comes Ben 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #2 Spicer 15-1 6th
Super Add: #5 A Diehl 6-1 3rd

11th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Uggh..

Most Likely: #7 Good Question 5-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Shore Breeze Icon 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Geocache 6-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Some Kinda Trouble 9-2 WON ($7.60)
Hi-5 Play: #8 Bravo Whiskey 4-1 6th

<$150 P6 Play:

6: 4-7
7: 7
8: 1-4-6
9: 1-9
10: 4-8
11: 4-7-12

2x1x3x2x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P5 Play:

7: 1-7
8: 1-4-6
9: 1-5-7-9
10: 4-8
11: 4-7-12

2x3x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-4-6
9: 1-5-7-9
10: 4-8
11: 1-4-5-7-8-12

3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,3,5/3,4,5,8,11,12/8/5) Paid $62.15

PRAIRIE MEADOWS

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: 18th Saylorville, F&M-3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3)

Most Likely: #1 Beat the Blue 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #6 Ha Ha Tonka 3-1 2nd

8th: 12th Iowa Distaff, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, Super)

[b][color="red"]Most Likely: #7 Bella Medaglia 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Freedom Star 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #6 Kimber Lily 10-1 5th

9th: 13th Iowa Sprint H., 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Ventana 7-5 4th
Next Best: #7 Atta Boy Roy 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Ducky Drake 6-1 WON ($29.00)
Super Add: #3 Humble Smarty 5-1 5th

10th: IA-CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Winter's Wildchild 4-1 5th
Best Value: #11 Wild Prairie 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Don't Tell Dad 9-2 -
Super Add: #3 Frontier Fantasy 7-2 WON ($7.80)

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-6
8: 1-7
9: 4-7
10: 1-2-3-11

2x2x2x4 = 32 x $1.50 = $48 ($16 for each .50 increment)

Good luck!
Steve