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-   -   3/25: Fair Grounds (2nd-12th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=41546)

Kasept 03-25-2011 07:25 AM

3/25: Fair Grounds (2nd-12th)
 
Made the one play of the day count Thursday as Robbie's War came through for $17.00 win tote in a thrilling Santa Anita 5th. The Jim Cassidy trainee won a photograph from 40-1 Lemou who ran every bit as as well as the victorious War Chant gelding. The exotics were bountiful, with a $213 exacta, $1,075 tri and $6,447 super (All $1). Glad Rich Eng and I had a chance to discuss therace, and I hope some had an opportunity to take advantage. Closing weekend at Fair Grounds, and things kick off with a nice Friday card spiked with Bayou-bred stakes.


FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: MSW, 3yo, 1m-70y (P4, P3)

Quality sophs included here including Winchell-Gainesway homebred Tapaway, a full brother to Touching Beauty, and Dogwood buy Toreador, a full to Visionaire..

Best Value: #1 Hy Lime Time 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Infrattini 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Tapaway 3-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Back Room Deal 12-1 4th


3rd: 2nd Costa Rising-LA, 4+, 8.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #4 Star Guitar 1-5 WON ($2.10)
Next Best: #1e Asmussen entry 9-2 2nd/3rd


4th: MSW, F&M-3/5, 6f (P3, Super)

Pedigree notable includes debuting #4 Stellar Trip who is a half to Rail Trip..

Most Likely: #6 Extra Quick 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Lay Up 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #8 Queen of King St. 12-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Lightshaft 3-1 3rd


5th: 35th Red Camelia-LA, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3)

Best Value: #5 Skipping Town 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1e Heligbrodt ownership entry 8-5 WON ($4.40)


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 4 (ALL)
3: 4
4: 1-6
5: 1-5

7x1x2x2 = 28 x $1.50 = $42

.50 P4 Paid $16.00 x 3 = $48


6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #2 Keepinonestepahead 4-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Dance Caller 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Siente El Trueno 4-1 2nd


7th: 1st Bayo St. Johns-LA, 4+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1 SCR
Next Best: #3 Hud's Rebel 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Kissimmee Kyle 4-1 WON ($6.20)


8th: 39th Crescent City Derby-LA, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Man of Strife 5-2 WON via DQ ($6.40)
Next Best: #5 Populist Politics 3-1 3rd-DQ'd from win
Best Value: #3 Ollie Baby 8-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Tonto Too 4-1 2nd via DQ


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, Super)

Hard to be too enthusiastic about 7-2 fave Wild Strike who is obviously ouchy and needs to improve to contend..

Best Value: #3 Paoli Princess 6-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Distorted Love 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Champagne Spirit 8-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Dandyna 10-1 WON ($25.40)


10th: 6th Cresent City Oaks-LA, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #4 LOVENOTLOST 4-1 WON ($10.80)
Best Value: #3 Cat's Production 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Tensas Punch 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Lawson's Lady 6-1 2nd


11th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Screwy race..

Best Value: #9 Indian Eddie 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Big Buff 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Our Rocket Mon 8-1 6th
Super Add: #11 City Center 12-1 7th


12th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 A. M. Due 6-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Killa 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Walk Away Ruler 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Miss Michelle 4-1 WON ($6.20)


<$25 P4 Play:

9: 3-9-10
10: 4
11: 3-6-9-11
12: 2-3-5-10

3x1x4x4 = 48 x .50 = $24


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 03-25-2011 10:17 AM

FG SCR/CHG'S

Capote3 03-25-2011 01:56 PM

Hey Steve, please check your PM's.....thx.

herkhorse 03-25-2011 05:31 PM

Bold is Gold, thanks for today's nugget. 4-1

dagolfer33 03-25-2011 05:32 PM

Great single in the 10th!!!

dpkovalesky 03-25-2011 05:47 PM

thanks for the pick!

Most Likely: #4 LOVENOTLOST 4-1 WON ($10.80)

Sethcarter 03-25-2011 05:51 PM

thanks Steve... you bought the steak and six pack tonight... :)

asiarush 03-25-2011 07:59 PM

Steve, Any Handi on the Dub Cup???, Thanks!
 
Thanks!

atolunch 03-25-2011 09:20 PM

Great job on the P4 and nailing the Caps pick again!!

Congrats and thanks as always, and good luck this weekend.

Kasept 03-25-2011 09:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by herkhorse (Post 763210)
Bold is Gold, thanks for today's nugget. 4-1

Quote:

Originally Posted by dagolfer33 (Post 763212)
Great single in the 10th!!!

Quote:

Originally Posted by dpkovalesky (Post 763215)
thanks for the pick!

Most Likely: #4 LOVENOTLOST 4-1 WON ($10.80)

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sethcarter (Post 763217)
thanks Steve... you bought the steak and six pack tonight... :)

Quote:

Originally Posted by atolunch (Post 763236)
Great job on the P4 and nailing the Caps pick again!!

Congrats and thanks as always, and good luck this weekend.

Thanks guys. She jumped off the page for me. Hope everybody did OK. Big day ahead tomorrow!

Kasept 03-25-2011 09:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asiarush (Post 763227)
Thanks!

Doing it now but am first to admit I may not be the ideal window into that world. There's a horse or two that feels right to me looking at the races, but I never really know with confidence what to expect from many of the entrants on this card annually.

I will say that the more I looked at the feature, the more Musir stood out to me.


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