2/4: Aqueduct ($95k C/O)
 

Loss of AQU card was a downer Thursday given that the Friday slate for the $95k C/O is a weak sister by comparison. On top of that, Gulfstream action suffers miserably today in favor of tomorrow's superb card. Thursday was a slippery slope at Hallandale until the nightcap. 3-1 'Most Likely' key Midnight Thunder combined with 34-1 'Super Add' Northern Linkage to trigger boffo exotics of $114 (Exacta), $497 (Triple) and $1,980 (Super) over includes B L's Noise and Woodland. Up to that point, I'd been tilting windmills running second repeatedly, including 6th race 'Most Likely' Cashmere Kitten who shockingly went postward at a crazy 23-1. Ended up being an OK day after leaking bankroll for the first 2+ hours. Hope you did OK. AQU carryover the target despite the rough sequence.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Shotgun Bandit 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Devilish Due 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Idol Image 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Trifecta Add: #1 (POE) Dontquityourdayjob 20-1 3rd


5th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Back to Hurstland 5-2 4th
Next Best: #6 No Imagination 2-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #7 Princess Sucree 6-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Soo's Purse 3-1 2nd


6th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 One Spring Storm 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Lady Alma 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 My Snookie's Pal 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Soda Kaps 10-1 WON ($22.00)


7th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Wadi Suki 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Coaltown Legend 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Callmetony 9-5 3rd
Super Add: #1 Kiln Creek 4-1 6th

$1 Exacta (5-7) Paid $29.25
$1 Trifecta (5-7-4) Paid $73.75


8th: OC/N1X, 4+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Wishful Tomcat 2-5 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #2 I've Got the Fever 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Fine Flyer 5-1 4th


9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Well Built 5-2 -
Best Value: # #7 Honor Ernesto 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Dragon Fighter 12-1 -
Super Add: #10 Goodnight Brad 7-2 WON ($8.00)


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3-4-6
5: 2
6: 4-7-8
7: 5-7
8: 6
9: 2-4-7-10

3x1x3x2x1x4 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-5-7
7: 1-2-3-4-5-7
8: 6
9: 2-4-7-10

3x6x1x4 = $72



GULFSTREAM -- SPOT PLAY


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-Inner Turf (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: Project Rose SCR'd (Cross-entered for Sat. stake)
Next Best: #8 Wild Mia 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 General Consensus 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Profiteroles 6-1 -


Good luck!
Steve

Steve
Why is this particular race a spot play?

Wasn't going to play GP today, but I liked that mare in the race a lot and thought she had a big shot at a square price with very logical horses to use with her.

But she scratched..

Thanks Steve I'll put her in my Stable Mail

Shes in tomorrow. Do you like her at all in the tougher spot?
Its Tea Time has the feeling of a grossly overbet horse, even though she can win. 6-1 ML is crazy, she will be closer to 2-1.