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-   -   1/17: Aqueduct (P4); Gulfstream (P5) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=40515)

Kasept 01-17-2011 07:17 AM

1/17: Aqueduct (P4); Gulfstream (P5)
 
Enjoyed a strong day of play Sunday with many things going right at Aqueduct and Santa Anita to produce more than a grand in gains. A Big A triple of nearly $600 and hitting both late quads for nearly $500 were the cornerstones of the afternoon, but it was a sequence of generous P3 payoffs that covered all investments to make the day lucrative. After getting knocked out of the AQU P6 trying a single of runner-up Eltish Star, I caught the next rest of the day's winners for more than $235 in P3's and the $175 P4 ($48). Gary Sciacca sent Nat Krone's Seeking Anita out to his maidenbreaker in the sixth, and when Tyler Kaplan nabbed second at 65-1, it triggered a boffo $584 tri that made up for many of the week's frustrations at Gulfstream.

The key to the $308 P4 and sassy P3 returns at Arcadia was the opinion that Always a Princess was the only other horse to consider with Blind Luck in the El Encino. In that situation, the public is overwhelmingly going to opt to single the Jerry Hollendorfer filly that receives the 3yo female statuette tonight on Collins Ave. That's opens the door for even the smallest player to capitalize on overlays in the multi pools as a result. The P3's that featured Always a Princess, who from my viewpoint was getting back to her best trip around two turns and figured hard to reel in on the slick SA strip, paid $160 (twice the parlay) and $113 (25% above the parlay). The nightcap provided one of the rare pleasures in horse play, as I was live to 4 for the P4, and three of them grappled at the wire for the win. 8-1 Our Last Monte would have boosted the payoff by $500, but favored Resplendently would not be denied for Brice Blance and Tom Bell.

All in all a fun day and a nice recovery from Saturday's machinations and lessons in frustration. Hope you did well! Martin Luther King Jr. Day provides a full slate of racing action, with some excellent stakes scheduled including the San Marcos and San Pedro at SA, Jimmy Winkfield at AQU, Native Dancer at LRL and Smarty Jones at OP. Full coverage and the Weekend Review this morning on ATR!


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Fiery Forest 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Raphael Alexandro 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Bulls and Bears 3-1 4th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Would be delighted to take a stand against underlaid #3 Stormandaprayer (9-5), but 'first time Pletcher' for hard to please client Bobby Flay makes her hard to deny. If hustling Lopez on Zito's #7 Alla Prima gets latched on early to Cohen and the ML choice, then you might very well get a perfect trip set up for one of the stalker types in here. Quirky group. Note that #5 Annual Appeal is cross-entered for the ALW feature today at Philly..

Most Likely: #3 Stormandaprayer 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #5 Annual Appeal 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Bells of Concerto 3-1 5th


8th: 27th Jimmy Winkfield, 3yo, 6f (DD)

Rift has drilled 4 times since the maiden win 37 days ago..

Most Likely: #1 Rift 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Royal Currier 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Fort Hughes 9-5 WON ($4.80)


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (Super)

This is a very tricky race..

Best Value: #5 Lagniappe 15-1 5th
Next Best: #1 My Honey Laurie 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Katy's Office Girl 7-5 6th
Super Add: #3 Hear Her Roar 20-1 9th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 5-6-7
7: 1-3-5
8: 1
9: 1-2-3-5-9

3x3x1x5 = $45



GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


ALL RACES ARE OFF THE TURF


5th: CLM, 4+, OFF TURF (1m) (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Marquet Cat WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #1 Gimme Credit 2nd
Best Value: #2 Flyin Trey 4th


6th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Sparkling Spirit 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Zuber 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Hugh and Me 4-1 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #7 Lesson Learned 5-1 6th


7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Signsealndeliver 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Furious Run 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 No Peace at All 8-1 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #8 SCR


8th: ALW/NC, F&M-4+, OFF TURF (5f) (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Trippi's Sailor 5th
Next Best: #4 Suzzona 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Freedom Land WON ($18.00)


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, OFF TURF (1m) (Super)

Best Value: #6 Introvert WON ($53.60)
Next Best: #1 Cartier Lady -
Exotics Use: #2 A Perfect Squeeze 4th
Super Add: #12 Dattts Appealing 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-6-7-10
7: 3-9-11
8: 1-4-8
9: 1-2-6-8

4x3x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/3/1/6) Paid $2,939.30


Good luck!
Steve

NTamm1215 01-17-2011 08:32 AM

Lagniappe is a terrific play today. If anyone but Luis Rivera was on then she would be even more appealing.

Katy's Office Girl already wins the award for worst sub 2-1 shot on the morning line for this year. That's a race where you have to be looking for prices. Good luck!

Mike 01-17-2011 09:13 AM

Some severe weather heading into Gulfstream area by midday. Thunderstorms and lightning:eek:

Kasept 01-17-2011 10:50 AM

AQU SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 01-17-2011 11:16 AM

GP SCR/CHG'S

Alan07 01-17-2011 12:05 PM

Gulfstream is off the turf.

Kasept 01-17-2011 12:47 PM

Late SCR's coming in finally from GP..

DRF INSIDE POST: http://drf.com/blogs/gulfstream-late-scratches-0

geeker2 01-17-2011 03:31 PM

bring that GP P4 home Steve !!!!



YES !!!!!!!! :$:

hailrazer 01-17-2011 03:57 PM

Ka-boom!!!

Bogey 01-17-2011 03:58 PM

Steve, Big Time! Nice score on the PK4 - INTROVERT (25-1 on top). How's Gulfstream treating you now?

theMOUSSEisloose 01-17-2011 03:58 PM

wow...congrats!

herkhorse 01-17-2011 03:59 PM

nice Steve!

stevepopyak 01-17-2011 04:01 PM

Great job Steve !!!

dagolfer33 01-17-2011 04:09 PM

Way to lay it out. W:$:W!!!!

jms62 01-17-2011 04:22 PM

Great Job Steve...

lazytom 01-17-2011 04:24 PM

thats a party -

Heels1989 01-17-2011 04:26 PM

Great two day run Steve. Congrats. :$::$:

MaTH716 01-17-2011 05:20 PM

Let me get this right, he missed the $41 chalk fest pick 4 at the Big A and crushed the late 4 at Gulfstream for 3 dimes with a $53 dollar horse in the finale...........

Way to knock it out of the park Steve!

Kasept 01-17-2011 05:21 PM

Thanks all! This was the absolute last sequence I'd have thought would generate a quality score. After the first 10 days of some maddening misses, funny to get one like that today...

bahughes 01-17-2011 05:42 PM

:tro:wow great picks wish i had the day off!


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