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-   -   1/6: Gulfstream ($35k P5 C/O); Santa Anita (6th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=40326)

Kasept 01-06-2011 07:03 AM

1/6: Gulfstream ($35k P5 C/O); Santa Anita (6th-9th)
 
Rough start to Gulfstream stand Wednesday as turf course front end warning from Mike Welsch on ATR proved 100% prescient. Nick Zito's Doctor Peach (8-1 with Lezcano) and Juan Vasquez' War Prospector (42-1 with Maragh) wired lawn allowances in the 5th and 7th, making the P5 a $35k carryover and P4 a $4,420 bonanza (.50). The carryover sequence Thursday is no easier than Day One's, with the 5th, 7th and 9th particularly tough turf tests with deep and contentious fields. Santa Anita Late P4, which starts at 6:04p ET in the 5th, caught my eye as well...


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-Outer T (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Carson Hall 3-1 9th #1a Late SCR
Best Value: #6 Exchanging Kisses 8-1 WON-DH ($9.20)
Next Best: #10 Lemon Spice 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Grand Cash 5-1 WON-DH ($8.60)

$1 Exacta (2-6) Paid $33.00
$1 Trifecta (2-6-10) Paid $196.70
$1 Exacta (6-2) Paid $35.90
$1 Trifecta (6-2-10) Paid $195.90



6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-Inner Turf (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Dinahmite Sal 10-1 12th
Next Best: #2 Aspire to Silver 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Let's Do It 5-1 WON ($12.60)
Super Add: #8 Don't Lock Me Out 12-1 9th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-Outer Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Distorted Legacy 3-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Ba Ba's Bunch 15-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Hasty 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Lakeside Chapel 8-1 9th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Groomedforvictory 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Poni Colada 3-1 7th
Best Value: #9 Apriority 5-1 WON ($10.60)
Super Add: #2 Viscount 6-1 4th


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 7.5f-Inner Turf (Super)

Best Value: #3 Enchanted Mesa 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Pure Amour 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Green's Hard Ten 15-1 7th
Super Add: #8 High On Kitten 6-1 4th


<$100 P5 Play:

5: 1-2-6-10
6: 1-2-5-8
7: 3-6-7
8: 3-10
9: 3-10

4x4x3x2x2 = 192 x .50 = $96


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-5-8
7: 3-6-7
8: 3-9-10
9: 1-3-8-10

4x3x3x4 =144 x .50 = $72



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Cal-MSW, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Bitt a Heat 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Orfano 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Bila Shaka 3-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Favolosa 8-1 4th


6th: Cal-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Serene Sophia 3-1 WON ($4.40))
Best Value: #3 Frequent Fame 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Our Road Scholar 4-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Shesoprovocative 4-1 2nd


7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Sporting Art 7-2 WON ($11.80)
Next Best: #1 Get a Grip 9-2 8th
Best Value: #6 Interpatation 8-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Yodelen Dan 3-1 4th


8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Led Advantage 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Simply Put 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Really Elegant 9-2 WON ($20.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Marino's Promise 7-2 -
Super Add: #8 Warren's Highroller 3-1 5th

$1 Pick 3 (4/3/5) Paid $110.90 (3OF3)


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-6-7
6: 4
7: 1-3-4-6
8: 1-2-5-6-8-9

3x1x4x6 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 01-06-2011 10:50 AM

GP SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 01-06-2011 01:43 PM

#1a SCR's late in the GP 5th. Waiting for follow-up announcement as the #1 shouldbe running for purse only, no?

Kasept 01-06-2011 02:00 PM

Think this photo is coming to the 6..

Kasept 01-06-2011 02:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 740267)
Think this photo is coming to the 6..

DH! I have it every which way, but had a nice win bet on the 6..

Scav 01-06-2011 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 740268)
DH!

I don't think there is No purse only in Florida

Every year I forget about how hard it is to call a photo on the lawn at Gulfstream with their comedy finish line.

Bogey 01-06-2011 02:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 740268)
DH! I have it every which way, but had a nice win bet on the 6..

Ditto on the win bet on the 6! Nice start to the PK5.

Kasept 01-06-2011 03:56 PM

Gus and I will settle for another dead heat here....








Cocquesucker..

Kasept 01-06-2011 03:58 PM

P6 a $5k+ carryover.

P5 pays a robust $22,800..

Scav 01-06-2011 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 740309)
Looked like a $9,500 single winner in the P6.. But I guess not. $5k+ carryover.

P5 pays a robust $22,800..

You gotta be within 2 lengths to have a chance on that turf course, and on the dirt, you want to be in the 3 or 4th path.

Kasept 01-06-2011 04:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav (Post 740313)
You gotta be within 2 lengths to have a chance on that turf course, and on the dirt, you want to be in the 3 or 4th path.

Well-contested fractions have allowed off pace runners to get to the leaders in the turf races. (As in the nightcap yesterday and 6th today.)

tanner12oz 01-06-2011 04:20 PM

this pick 5 seems playable....22k is a nice day

Mike 01-06-2011 04:58 PM

I'll go with the oldtimer, Interpretation in SA's 7th

Kasept 01-06-2011 06:50 PM

How did Really Elegant go off at 9-1?

geeker2 01-06-2011 06:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 740390)
How did Really Elegant go off at 9-1?

Espinoza on #6 bet to 8/5 ? didn't see that.


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