Derby Trail Forums - Cup handicapping appreciation thread..

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Kasept

11-09-2010 06:34 AM

Cup handicapping appreciation thread..

Brad Free

The 3-year-old SMILING TIGER defeated older Grade 1 sprinters twice this year on synthetic surfaces in California, and reports from Kentucky are that he has trained super over the dirt surface at Churchill Downs. The most recent win by Smiling Tiger was flattered when the horse he crushed, Cost of Freedom, returned to down statebred foes. BIG DRAMA, a top New York sprinter in the summer, is fresh and working well for his first in two months. HAMAZING DESTINY is the crazy knockout. Though unplaced in all four of his graded stakes starts, he occasionally earns big numbers and could hit the board at a price. California shipper SUPREME SUMMIT, made eligible to this for a $100,000 fee, will roll late.

1 Big Drama 12.40 7.00 5.00
4 Hamazing Destiny 19.80 12.20
5 Smiling Tiger 5.00
9 Supreme Summit

$2 Exacta (1-4) Paid $254.80
$2 Trifecta (1-4-5) Paid $2,396.60
$1 Superfecta (1-4-5-9) Paid $13,939.00

Arletta

11-09-2010 06:46 AM

Goooooodness!!! I wish I had seen that :wf

I hope he cleaned up!

hoovesupsideyourhead

11-09-2010 06:47 AM

thats a nice job.. congrats ..

randallscott35

11-09-2010 07:00 AM

The question is, did he play the super?

hockey2315

11-09-2010 07:51 AM

:rolleyes:

Coach Pants

11-09-2010 08:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 716773)

BC Turf

Euro’s have the advantage here, Workforce, Behkabad and Debussy will be all the rage. All are possible but not liking their probable prices. A very interesting horse is Dangerous Midge, trainer Meehan has reportedly taken his time with him this year, form from his last is very cleverly disguised setting him up for a big race. I wouldn’t be surprised if he runs very well Saturday, best thing about it is no one’s talking about him. 10-1 and beyond is probable. I will back him with some confidence.

:tro:

Thunder Gulch

11-09-2010 08:52 AM

I covered the first 3 which was a decent trifecta, but my decision not to push the all button on the super makes me sick. I think I only left 2 or 3 off the bottom of the ticket, and Supreme Summit was one of them.

CSC	11-09-2010 09:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 720877)

:tro:

Quote:

Euro Pick
Midday prefers a bit of give in the ground and it doesn’t look like she is going to get it today, at 6/5 she offers very little value. Plenty of legitimate chances in this race, Red Desire, Harmonious to name a few, respect both but I will go to France, the French have produced excellent females the past few years and, Plumania fits the bill in here, she should like the faster ground and will be forwardly placed, and one must always respect a Andre Fabre trained horse. Can see her going off from anywhere from 7-1 upwards to 10-1 today, which is excellent value, she is my best bet on today’s card. Back Plumania big at a price.

Don't forget this brilliant opinion.

Kasept

11-09-2010 09:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch (Post 720891)

TG,

Nice job... Nothing wrong with that Tri! Those supplemented horses always seem to be worth the extra consideration...

Thunder Gulch

11-09-2010 09:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 720925)

TG,

Nice job... Nothing wrong with that Tri! Those supplemented horses always seem to be worth the extra consideration...

To be clear, I was playing supers for .10 or .20, but still....after that I hit the all on the back of everything after realizing saving $5 bucks on the wheel had cost me $1,300 of the super....that's what the BC wagering is all about to me going deep on the verticals and hoping for a couple of 30-1 shots in the mix with your overlays- Hamazing Destiny in this case.

PatCummings

11-09-2010 10:04 AM

If Pashito The Che breaks on top and pressures Big Drama, Hamazing Destiny may just have won it, and would have given me a significantly juicier trifecta than what it was...

my miss storm cat

11-09-2010 10:09 AM

Fantastic!

Thrilled for him.

Thunder Gulch

11-09-2010 03:16 PM

Regarding Free: I discredited everything he said after he declared Gio Ponti was going to the Mile because he was seeking Goldlikova and ducking Zenyatta. Nevermind Gio Ponti was the turf champion last year.

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