Cronley on handicapping the Breeders' Cup
 

http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/hor...jay&id=5700328

I always enjoy Jay's articles... love the jab at soccer.

"Don't go crazy playing trouble lines. Trouble lines are usually over-bet. Make sure the trouble kept a horse from getting close. Many checks are like soccer flops, they're pulled by beaten competitors."

Tell me something I do not already know:

"Here's something on the mental side that might be of value. Three times last week I stopped by the simulcast facility, made some bets and left before the races were run. I handicapped the races over breakfast, got the scratches and changes, checked the weather, made the wagers and went to do some work. On each occasion I won. $260 on $30 worth of $2 tries being the best of it. It happens a lot, leaving and winning. What it suggests is that too often emotion gets between handicapping and collecting."

I think a lot of people, especially around these parts get way to obsessed with the trouble lines.