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-   -   9/5: Saratoga (Day 39-Spinaway/Saranac) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=38180)

Kasept 09-05-2010 04:57 AM

9/5: Saratoga (Day 39-Spinaway/Saranac)
 
SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Big Polk a Dot 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Stevil 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Writingonthewall 5-1 WON ($9.10)
Super Add: #3 Karakorum Legend 4-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-4) Paid $19.70
$1 Trifecta (2-4-3) Paid $68.00



2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Include the Cat 7-2 WON ($9.70)
Best Value: #3 Quippery 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Sortilege 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Speak Freely 15-1 5th

$1 Exacta (7-8) Paid $15.10
$1 Daily Double (2-7) Paid $20.60



3rd: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Bea Bet 3-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #5 Saratoga Tiger 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 SCR
Super Add: #9 La Belle Gabrielle 5-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (3-1) Paid $12.90
$1 Pick 3 (2-7-3) 3 Correct Paid $37.75
$1 Daily Double (7-3) Paid $9.10



4th: NY-MSW, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Brunelli 7-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Syzygy 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Won O Won 5-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Beth's Kitten 8-1 6th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Ginger Snapit 2-1 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #3 Buttonfront 12-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Roots Run Deep 6-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Soinlovewithuiam 4-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 3-7-8
3: 2-3-5-9
4: 6-7-8
5: 3-6

3x4x3x2 = $72


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Hey Hey Mama 5-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Chardonniere 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Smart Farming 5-1 9th


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Ash Zee 4-5 WON ($2.70)
Best Value: #7 Sneaky Girl 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Film Charm 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 North Rodeo 10-1 6th


8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Zodiac Girl 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Eager Leader 10-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Thunder Way 6-1 8th
Super Add: #7 My Sweet Emily 20-1 10th


9th: 103rd Saranac (G3), 3yo, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Favored #2 an underlay and hardly superior, but should get the prefered easy front-end tour..

Most Likely: #2 Fantastico Roberto 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Devon Rock 9-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Lethal Combination 3-1 WON ($8.60)


10th: 119th Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (DD)

Excellent bunch of young fillies..

Most Likely: #1e Pletcher-Repole entry 7-2 6th/8th
Best Value: #7 R Heat Lightening 4-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #3 Alienation 4-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (7-3) Paid $25.75
$1 Daily Double (3-7) Paid $35.00



11th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #2 Swales Park 15-1 7th
Next Best: #4 She's a Ketch 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Atlantic Beauty 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Disarming 12-1 8th

$1 Exacta (4-5) Paid $13.90
$1 Daily Double (7-4) Paid $19.50
$1 Pick 3 (3-7-4) 3 Correct Paid $101.50



<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-3-4
9: 2-3-5
10: 1-3-4-7
11: 2-4

3x3x4x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

jms62 09-05-2010 01:43 PM

Brutal Beat in the 4th:zz:

Kasept 09-05-2010 03:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 692523)
Brutal Beat in the 4th:zz:

Believe that? Horse had NO excuse not to win. Cost the win bet and the P4.

the_fat_man 09-05-2010 03:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 692551)
Believe that? Horse had NO excuse not to win. Cost the win bet and the P4.

Did you enjoy Lezcano's ride in the 1st and the 5th? Stevil changed leads at least 5 times in the stretch. Is there a poorer handler of horses in the lane than Lezcano?

Kasept 09-05-2010 03:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 692555)
Did you enjoy Lezcano's ride in the 1st and the 5th? Stevil changed leads at least 5 times in the stretch. Is there a poorer handler of horses in the lane than Lezcano?

The human anchor..

jms62 09-05-2010 03:52 PM

The turf course is a joke. It is making a mockery of the entire meet.

golfer 09-05-2010 03:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 692565)
The turf course is a joke. It is making a mockery of the entire meet.

Completey agree

the_fat_man 09-05-2010 03:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 692565)
The turf course is a joke. It is making a mockery of the entire meet.

What's funnier is that there are still some jocks that don't quite get it. Like Mena, in the 8th, who outbroke the field on the 4, and then took her back to rate. He did her a very nice rail trip.:rolleyes:

There's also a speed turf bias at WO. And, when they do some maintenance on the POLY, speed holds real well. This has made for a very predictable meet.:rolleyes:

A lot to be said about running on the turf when it's wet. You **** it up but at least it stays fair.

the_fat_man 09-05-2010 04:27 PM

WOW. Were those actually REAL HORSE fractions in the 8th?:rolleyes: Did they actually run 46+, 110+ routing on the turf? No kidding. :rolleyes:

So these TBREDS are capable of faster than ARABIAN splits

There's a way to beat the bias.

pointman 09-05-2010 04:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 692580)
WOW. Were those actually REAL HORSE fractions in the 8th?:rolleyes: Did they actually run 46+, 110+ routing on the turf? No kidding. :rolleyes:

So these TBREDS are capable of faster than ARABIAN splits

There's a way to beat the bias.

Just in time to knock Pat and I out of the pk4, :mad:

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-05-2010 09:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 692555)
Did you enjoy Lezcano's ride in the 1st and the 5th? Stevil changed leads at least 5 times in the stretch. Is there a poorer handler of horses in the lane than Lezcano?

please something is up at toga with this guy any other track hes money..you dont forget how to ride but at toga this guy is off..way off..he will eat the lunch on most all these guys at belmont and gulfstream/bc /keeneland

dalakhani 09-25-2010 02:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 692555)
Did you enjoy Lezcano's ride in the 1st and the 5th? Stevil changed leads at least 5 times in the stretch. Is there a poorer handler of horses in the lane than Lezcano?

Did he do okay in the 6th at Belmont today?

pointman 09-25-2010 03:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dalakhani (Post 699395)
Did he do okay in the 6th at Belmont today?

Watch him get outfinished by Alex Solis in the 8th costing me a fortune. He f*%king sucks! :mad:

Dahoss 09-25-2010 05:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 699420)
Watch him get outfinished by Alex Solis in the 8th costing me a fortune. He f*%king sucks! :mad:

What did he do wrong in that race?

RockHardTen1985 09-25-2010 11:18 PM

Was this really bumped for a guy who is currently 2/45? I mean his defenders said it was just Saratoga, whats the excuse now?


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