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-   -   7/2: Churchill (6th-11th); Hollywood (3rd-8th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=36948)

Kasept 07-02-2010 06:19 AM

7/2: Churchill (6th-11th); Hollywood (3rd-8th)
 
"Uncle Joe" Lostritto wondered into the winner's circle Thursday with the cleverly named Olive Eye, one of those not-impossible-but-tough-to-use horses that derail multi-race wagers like the P4. Was able to string the 7th-9th together in response at least, and the P3 returned a remarkably overlaid $109.75 ($1). At Churchill, a pair of big prices in the late quad including Wally Dollase's 70-1 nightcap winner Exhilerating, tripped a $17,750 P4 ($1) and $1,990 P3 ($1) as well as $19k P6 and $35k Hi-5 carryovers into the final Friday night Downs after Dark card. And at Hollywood, a $100k carryover greets intrepid night owls... Hope you did OK s we dive headlong into the 4th of July Weekend action!


CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$19k P6 Carryover..

Best Value: #7 Headache 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Flying Private 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Omniscient 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Super Add: #1 Sunday Sunrise 8-1 3rd


7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Amazing Saint 4-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Why Us 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #3 Electra Palace 5-1 9th
Super Add: #7 SCR


8th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Oak Bar 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Grand Stage 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Tap N Point 3-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Streak of Thunder 5-1 6th


9th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Ice Mist 4-1 WON ($9.00)
Best Value: #6 Toy Indian 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Sparky's Dream 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Strong Willed Lady 6-1 4th


10th: Roxelana, F&M-3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Tiger's Song 4-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Be Fair 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Vertical Vision 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Step Out Smartly 6-1 5th


11th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

$35k Hi-5 Carryover..

There are some pedigrees of note in this set, starting with Dale Romans' #2 Grand Gift, who is out of the outstanding Secret Status. That Lane's End daughter by A.P. Indy won the 2000 Kentucky Oaks and Mother Goose, and was 2nd in the Alabama, 3rd in the CCA Oaks behind Jostle. Grand Gift is also a half to Dunkirk, but be aware that Ghostzapper has yet to sire a first out winner among his initial 53 runners.. Margolis unveils #4 Pistols at Dawn, a half to Anak Nakal; #13 (AE) Jaguar Paw (Jose Fernandez) is out of MGSW Molto Vita; and though unlikely to get into the race, Jinks Fires' #15 (AE) Empire Shoes is half to Prom Shoes..

Most Likely: #3 Perfect Relection 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Pistols at Dawn 10-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #10 Summer Upcountry 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Advantage Menifee 4-1 12th
High 5 Play: #2 Grand Gift 6-1 9th


<$200 P6 Play:

6: 5-7
7: 6-8
8: 1-7
9: 1-5-6
10: 2
11: 3-4-10-12

2x2x2x3x1x4 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 1-7
9: 1-4-5-6
10: 1-2
11: 2-3-4-10-11-12

2x4x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES

$100k P6 Carryover..

3rd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Table for One 2-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Negra Tomasa 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Leslie Rules 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Desperate Measures 6-1 2nd


4th: MSW, 3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Sammartino 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Baccara 4-1 7th
Best Value: #1 Sarbonne 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Sulution 5-2 WON ($6.80)


5th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Isle of Giant's 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #3 Tribal Justice 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Lease of Life 3-1 6th


6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Faith Colleen 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Chobe Chika 12-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Sipnzin 5-2 8th
Super Add: #4 Sweet Patricia 7-2 WON ($9.80)


7th: Culver City, F&M-4+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Minute Limit 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Bonifacio 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Enumclaw Girl 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Dotsy Jean 5-2 WON ($6.80)


8th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #2 Joint Adventure 5-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Make It Mine 2-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Commander's Charm 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Misty Miss Joanna 3-1 WON ($6.80)
High 5 Play: #10 Scent of Crism 30-1 7th


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 6-7
4: 2-6
5: 6
6: 8-10
7: 1-3
8: 2-5-6-8

2x2x1x2x2x4 = 64 x $2 = $128


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 3-6
6: 1-8-10
7: 1-3-5
8: 2-5-6-8

2x3x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve


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