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-   -   6/19 (MTH): Pegasus S. (G3) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=36665)

Alan07 06-16-2010 02:11 PM

6/19 (MTH): Pegasus S. (G3)
 
10th (5:20) Pegasus S. (G3)

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $200,000

1 Nacho Friend Trujillo E 117 L
2 Schoolyard Dreams Coa E M 117 L
3 Jackson Bend Lezcano J 121 L
4 Soaring Empire Castro E 117 L
5 Afleet Again Bravo J 123 L
6 Afleet Express Castellano J J 117 L

randallscott35 06-16-2010 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan07 (Post 658593)
10th (5:20) Pegasus S. (G3)

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $200,000

1 Nacho Friend Trujillo E 117 L
2 Schoolyard Dreams Coa E M 117 L
3 Jackson Bend Lezcano J 121 L
4 Soaring Empire Castro E 117 L
5 Afleet Again Bravo J 123 L
6 Afleet Express Castellano J J 117 L

Rooting for JB. Not betting it

jms62 06-16-2010 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan07 (Post 658593)
10th (5:20) Pegasus S. (G3)

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $200,000

1 Nacho Friend Trujillo E 117 L
2 Schoolyard Dreams Coa E M 117 L
3 Jackson Bend Lezcano J 121 L
4 Soaring Empire Castro E 117 L
5 Afleet Again Bravo J 123 L
6 Afleet Express Castellano J J 117 L

Jackson Bend finally.....

RolloTomasi 06-16-2010 09:40 PM

I thought off his races at Gulfstream that Afleet Express would be at his best around two turns.

Not sure he'll top his last race at 7f, but seems to have the most upside here as all the rest have shown a distinct ceiling to their abilities.

NTamm1215 06-16-2010 09:50 PM

I think Afleet Express is going to win this race by a very, very large margin. Afleet Again and Nacho Friend are who I'll use for 2nd.

NT

mbahadur 06-16-2010 09:51 PM

I really like Jackson Bend against this field at 8.5 furlongs. Wonder how low the price will be.

hockey2315 06-16-2010 10:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 658725)
I think Afleet Express is going to win this race by a very, very large margin. Afleet Again and Nacho Friend are who I'll use for 2nd.

NT

Agreed - I wonder if they go crazy on Jackson Bend and at least keep AA's price somewhat reasonable. I would consider a VERY large win bet at 3/2+ and I very rarely bet horses below 8-1.

NTamm1215 06-16-2010 10:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315 (Post 658733)
Agreed - I wonder if they go crazy on Jackson Bend and at least keep AA's price somewhat reasonable. I would consider a VERY large win bet at 3/2+ and I very rarely bet horses below 8-1.

I really hope they plow it in on Jackson Bend as well. All things considered, you're talking about a horse who's 0-fer against top company and this is a relatively quick comeback from two tough races with only one workout.

NT

VOL JACK 06-17-2010 08:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 658725)
I think Afleet Express is going to win this race by a very, very large margin. Afleet Again and Nacho Friend are who I'll use for 2nd.

NT

Wasn't Afleet express Beyer from his last win first released as like a 115?

cakes44 06-17-2010 09:00 AM

I know it's only 6 horses, but this is a nice little field for a G3 this close to the end of the TC.

NTamm1215 06-17-2010 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VOL JACK (Post 658823)
Wasn't Afleet express Beyer from his last win first released as like a 115?

Yes, sir and it's been beaten down ever since. From a pace standpoint I think he lays over this field and that this will be his 1st step towards becoming a serious 2nd half 3YO. Considering we've been beating up all the TC horses it just seems foolish to back Jackson Bend in here at what will definitely be an underlaid price to me.

NT

parsixfarms 06-17-2010 09:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 658833)
I know it's only 6 horses, but this is a nice little field for a G3 this close to the end of the TC.

It's clearly benefitting from NYRA's decision not to run the race that was formerly called the Dwyer in early July. This is really now the lone East Coast race to get horses ready for the Haskell/Jim Dandy.

RockHardTen1985 06-17-2010 11:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 658595)
Jackson Bend finally.....

Finally what? He wont win this.

RockHardTen1985 06-17-2010 11:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315 (Post 658733)
Agreed - I wonder if they go crazy on Jackson Bend and at least keep AA's price somewhat reasonable. I would consider a VERY large win bet at 3/2+ and I very rarely bet horses below 8-1.

I doubt it. I think AA is 4-5, 1-1 at post time. People cant be this stupid to bet JB hard against him.

jms62 06-18-2010 04:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 658898)
Finally what? He wont win this.

After looking at PP's I agree and amend my pick. I'll try to beat Afleet Express with Schoolyard Dreams and Afleet Again.

pba1817 06-18-2010 04:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 658740)
I really hope they plow it in on Jackson Bend as well. All things considered, you're talking about a horse who's 0-fer against top company and this is a relatively quick comeback from two tough races with only one workout.

NT

Who else in here isn't o-fer against top company?

NTamm1215 06-18-2010 07:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pba1817 (Post 659246)
Who else in here isn't o-fer against top company?

Precisely, that's why a fresh face should be infinitely more appealing than an underlaid favorite who hasn't beaten open company this year.

NT

Mike 06-19-2010 01:37 AM

This race screams "pass""
On the other hand, the 11th is an excellent race, with Rose Catherine(5-2), plus an AE entry of Daily candy

RockHardTen1985 06-19-2010 02:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike (Post 659589)
This race screams "pass""
On the other hand, the 11th is an excellent race, with Rose Catherine(5-2), plus an AE entry of Daily candy

Rose Catherine appears to lay over that group.

chucklestheclown 06-19-2010 06:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 659245)
After looking at PP's I agree and amend my pick. I'll try to beat Afleet Express with Schoolyard Dreams and Afleet Again.

As I do not use PPs for races such as this I will POUND JB over the 2 and 6 and let the chips fall where they may.


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