5/8: Churchill Downs ($947k P6 & $147k Hi-5 C/O's)
 

CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


$947,641 P6 CARRYOVER


5th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Berlioz 5-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Batten 6-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Gold Bells Spin 4-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Sir Jock 6-1 5th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Speedy Solution 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Coastal Art 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Dabossman 5-1 WON
Super Add: #6 Liquid Fire 10-1 7th


7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Quiet by Seven 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Refined Silk 5-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Love That Kitten 4-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Bharat 5-1 3rd


8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Nothing more unwelcome in a big money sequence than a nickel claimer where form cycles are regularly unreliable guages of upcoming performance; Looks to me like 6 can win, so you'll have to adjust depth of your spread based on budgetary restrictions..

Most Likely: #9 Classic Emily 9-2 9th
Next Best: #8 Sun Valley Storm 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Karacuda 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Ladyofthesouth 20-1 8th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (DD, Super)

This should be a very good race..

Most Likely: #5 Kimmyv 5-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Millenia 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Missippi Martini 4-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Middlemarch 6-1 6th


10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

$147,055 HIGH 5 CARRYOVER

Be aware that AE-14 Bird Island (3-1) has drawn into the field..

Most Likely: #1 Groundwork 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #14 Bird Island 3-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Ghost Chapel 6-1 4th
Super Add: #12 Lode of Gold 4-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #10 Necaise 5-1 WON; #6 Tuxedo Affair 8-1 6th


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 5
6: 5-11
7: 4-6-7-9
8: 8-9
9: 5-7
10: 1-7-14

1x2x4x2x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-6-7-9
8: 3-8-9
9: 5-7
10: 1-6-7-10-12-14

4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (6/8/5/10) Paid $105.30


Good luck!
Steve

Spiritus is scratched and the 14 did draw in the last......

Spiritus scratched? Time to change my ticket...

yep, on CHD website.

PA bred also, was probably gonna get claimed because he would be running for 35k in Pennslyvannia.

See my thoughts on the other thread. In a card filled with mush, this seemed like the most likely winner. If you're playing on a budget, this scratch is a dagger.

CHURCHILL SCR/CHG's



RACE 5 - PICK6 BEGINS / CARRYOVER $947,641

NO CHANGES



RACE 6

Overweight #2 +2
Jockey Change #5 Coastal Art - Shaun Bridgmohan
SCRATCH #7 Spiritus
Overweight #11 +1



RACE 7 - LATE PICK 4 BEGINS (50-CENT MINIMUM WAGER)

RIDER CHANGE - #2 Sonny Boys Girl - Brian Hernandez Jr.



RACE 8

SCRATCH #5 Miss Rerun
OWNER CORRECTION - #1 Notreadytobenice is owned by Everet Bry
RIDER CHANGE - #6 Ladyofthesouth will be ridden by Fernando De La Cruz (weight 120)



RACE 9

SCRATCH #1 Canadian Storm (part of entry, #1A Concert will run)
Overweight #3 +1
Overweight #7 +2



RACE 10 - SUPER HI-5 / CARRYOVER $147,055

SCRATCH #9 Way Cool
SCRATCH AE #13 Unbridled Gale
AE #14 Bird Island will run
#10-Necaise is a Gelding

I'm diving into the pool with a budget play. Rarely ever play pick 6's, especially during the week, but this seems like too good of an opportunity to pass up. Anyone want to guess how much will be in the PK 6 pool at post time?

Race 5)
9) Batten
3) Gold Bells Spin
4) Devil's Apprentice
7) Sweetest Rhythm

Race 6 Wesley's Wards Liquid Fire makes me a little nervous, with his first opporunity to run on a fast main track. But I'm still going to single here.
11 Speedy Solution

Race 7
6) Quiet By Seven

Race 8
9) Classic Emily
8) Sun Valley Storm
3) Karatuda

Race 9
5) Kimmyv

Race 10
1) Groundwork
7) Ghostly Chapel
10) Necaise

$72 Ticket.
Good luck!

There are surely omens out there that many people plug into... I'm not overtly superstitious, but there is a possible portent too bizarre to not take not of today as we all search for clues in the Churchill C/O P6...

Wordsmith.org's A.Word.A.Day

You can't make this stuff up...

I went 2 deep in that leg and he was one.

Race 5 -3/5/6/7/9
Race 6 - 2/11
Race 7 - 4/6/9
Race 8 - 8/9
Race 9 - 4/5
Race 10 - 1/7/12

$720

The only time I've ever heard or seen that word used was in a Bugs Bunny cartoon.

Given the difficulty of this card, one might want to consider a battening of the hatches, if you will.

Steve...nice single/start!! 9-1, my namesake! Beautiful!!

Well, so much for that "omen" :D

Something tells me I'm only going to be "batten" .500 when this pk6 is over.

great start steve...$$$ 20.40 single in first leg. gl rest of the way.

Thanks... How did that horse go off at that price?

Not sure on a day like this...but I'm guessing you'll take it. Good luck!!

Yup. But the $20 single coming through may be an even better omen..

That was a gosh-darn dirty nose right there.