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136th Kentucky Oaks (PP's)
136th Kentucky Oaks (PP's)
Grade 1, $584,300 Kentucky Oaks 1 It's Tea Time Alan Garcia (15-1) 2 Jody Slew Miguel Mena (30-1) 3 Quiet Temper Robby Albarado (10-1) 4 Age of Humor Rajiv Maragh (30-1) 5 Blind Luck Rafael Bejarano (6-5) 6 Beautician Alex Solis (15-1) 7 Crisp Joel Rosario (8-1) 8 Tidal Pool Calvin Borel (8-1) 9 Bella Diamante Mike Smith (30-1) 10 Champagne d'Oro Martin Garcia (30-1) 11 Evening Jewel Kent Desormeaux (10-1) 12 Ailalea John Velazquez (15-1) 13 Amen Hallelujah Julien Leparoux (8-1) 14 Joanie's Catch Paco Lopez (30-1) All starters carry 121 pounds. Excluded: Seeking the Title. |
Romans sure didn't sound like SI will go from your talk the other day.
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I've been trying to handicap this race in earnest and I'm having a very difficult time liking anyone except Blind Luck.
Quiet Temper ran a good race in the Silverbulletday but had a dream trip in the FG Oaks and barely got by the stretching out Champagne d'Oro. I can't see her moving forward enough to win a race like this. Champagne d'Oro is a decent horse but she's going to have to go with Tidal Pool early and that should cook both. I don't want any part of Evening Jewel, who got away with murder in the Ashland and also got the best of it in the Las Virgenes and still lost. I wouldn't bet Crisp with someone else's money as she got the perfect setup in the SA Oaks and barely legged it out over All Due Respect. It's Tea Time moving forward on dirt seems unlikely even though I think she ran the best race of anyone in the Ashland. Her full brother Home Fries recently earned his 11th consecutive loss in a maiden claimer at Keeneland and his lone dirt race at CD last year was far from inspiring. I think she could be an Oaks filly but it is more likely to be the American than the Kentucky. Amen Hallelujah might have distance limitations but stands to get the right kind of trip if she can sit behind the pace and get the jump. N1X eligible Beautician has been mishandled and elicits no confidence from me. It's a mighty big leap of faith to expect Ailalea to somehow be right in this spot as she's been positively dreadful in both of her starts this year. I could see Seeking the Title as moderately interesting but she's on the outside looking in at the moment. NT |
This could be the easiest cold exacta of the year...Blind Luck and Tidal Pool. The 2 best and fastest fillies in the race. No reason banging your head aganist a wall in a race this simple.
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I like ailalea if the price is right. I think she had valid excuses in both of those losses this year. She is bred to go this trip and there could be some pace.
What do you guys think her price will be? |
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the other negative to me is she was one of the only pletcher stakes horses not really running well the last few months. ive probably talked her into the win here :D so good luck with your oaks wagers. |
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