Derby Trail Forums - 2/11: Gulfstream (6th-9th); Santa Anita ($78k C/O)

Brutal effort by single try Shabaab at 2-5 in the Gulfstream 7th Wednesday to quash the quad punt. In fact, the Pino-trained Shadwell runner barely contended before fading from a stalking slot at the eighth pole. The fave's failure boosted the P4 to $435 for the .50 variety, with even money Fawkes feature winner, a pair of 5-1's and overlaid Brassie Prince ($20.60) making up the sequence. Brassie Prince was a Best Value second choice and was the best find of the afternoon. Hope you did OK...

Thursday has a remarkably difficult P4 skein at Gulfstream followed by 2 excellent MSW's at Santa Anita (4th, 6th) which are part of a $77,800 P6 carryover. Gulfstream races 7-9 and SA 4-6 on ATR tonight live! If all of us can negotiate the 4 events at Hallandale, we should get paid. It's a crazy set of races with what should be some excellent betting opportunities. The SA P6 is made tougher by the 2 maiden races, the always tough downhill turf event that starts the sequence, and a cheap group in the nightcap... Enjoy!

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Pitched Perfectly 6-1 7th
Most Likely: #9 It's Never to Late 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Todd Got Even 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Unbridled Heat 5-1 WON

7th: CLM, 4+, 9f-T @ 48' (P3, DD, Super)

NOTE: #14 Sunshine Kid (10-1) drew in and will run..

Most Likely: #3 Storm Caller 4-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Jamaludin 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Nergal 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Cenzontle 6-1 9th

8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Wild group with a number of notables mostly making first starts back off extended breaks and many for new outfits; Total headscratcher..

NOTE: SCR 1-3-4-8-15 and draw in AE's 13-14..

Most Likely: #5 Warrior's Reward 7-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Imperial Council 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Ling Ling Qi 15-1 6th
Super Add: #13 He's So Chic 8-1 10th

9th: MSW, 4+, 1m-T @ 48' (Super)

As deep and challenging as the first three events in this sequence..

Most Likely: #8 Elusive Beat 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Spanish Art 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Forgotten Dynasty 6-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Smart Miler 12-1 7th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 6-7-9
7: 2-3
8: 2-5-7-9-13
9: 1-3-7-8-9

3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: MOC/N2X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Lease of Life 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Gothic Samurai 5-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Mr. Bossy Pants 6-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Dance With Gable 7-2 WON

4th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Golden Itiz 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #2 Screaming Destiny 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 SCR
Super Add: #1 Metrology 8-1 4th

5th: S/ALW, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Red Door Drive 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Bolinas 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 John Eli 4-1 9th
Super Add: #1 Father Grumpy 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (4-6) Paid $15.90
$1 Trifecta (4-6-1) Paid $255.00

6th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Big Man Has a Sign 2-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Sarbonne 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Tiz a Knight 4-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Beachrock 9-2 3rd

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Superb, tight field of 3yo fillies with solid pace scenario which should yield honest result..

Most Likely: #2 Church Camp 5-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Seriously 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Pink Blossom 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Neeko 10-1 4th

$1 Exacta (2-6) Paid $9.20
$1 Trifecta (2-6-5) Paid $39.20
$1 Superfecta (2-6-5-3) Paid $136.60

8th: CLM, F&M-4+, 8.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #5 Pokomoke 7-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Sports Edition 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Recess 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Dona Mary 12-1 3rd
High 5 Play: #11 Twoformeoneforyou 5-1 7th

<$150 P6 Play:

3: 5-7-8
4: 2-8
5: 3-4-6
6: 7
7: 2-5
8: 5-8

3x2x3x1x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 4-6
6: 5-7-8
7: 2-5-6
8: 5-6-8-10

2x3x3x4 = $72

Good luck!
Steve