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-   -   1/17: Santa Anita (4th-9th; Hi 5 C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33828)

Kasept 01-17-2010 08:10 AM

1/17: Santa Anita (4th-9th; Hi 5 C/O)
 
Funny day of racing across the country with mixed results and no scores of note. At Gulfstream, the Dania Beach favorite (Nordic Truce) came through that I tried to play against, and in the Marshua's River, a hard to embrace longshot (Quiet Harbor) jumped up to win. Gulfsteam overall has been difficult to navigate the last week.

Later at Santa Anita, the stakes were won by Conveyance (San Rafael-$2,60), Amen Hallelujah (Santa Ynez-$8.40) and Papa Clem (San Fernando-$5.00). The carryover sextet was seemingly on its' way to Chalkyville, when things turned tough in the late double with $18.00 Bella Roja (Best Value 2nd choice) and $26.20 Midnight Rage. That was enough to narrow the P6 tix down to a single play which took down the whole pot to the tune of $363,860.

Hope you did OK Saturday... I stuck with Santa Anita in case the carryover pot grew another day, and there is one ($47k) in the Super High 5...


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 4yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 You Can Dream 8-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Church Avenue 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Ultra Awesome 5-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Apache Annie 8-1 5th


5th: MSW, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Off the Wall 2-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Pious David 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Schramsberg 15-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Bridging 4-1 3rd


6th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Noblety 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Crossing the Line 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Within Reason 5-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Bonfante 8-1 4th


7th: Cal-bred OC/N1X, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Tribal Face 10-1 6th
Most Likely: #6 Wolf Tail 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 A Plus Topper 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Runaway Bandido 5-1 4th


8th: 46th El Encino (G2), 4yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Deep edition of this La Canada Series companion race to the San Fernando, with Rick Dutrow and IEAH trying to win Arcadia stakes on back to back days (Amen Hallelujah/Santa Ynez).. McPeek pair (Dream Empress/Best Lass) look plenty possible at potentially plus pricing, and Bill Mott hopes he has West Point's Justwhistledixie back to 100% after a solid return in the Top Flight last.. Tough bunch to sift through..

Most Likely: #9 Justwhistledixie 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Will O Way 20-1 10th
Next Best: #11 Spirit Seeker 4-1 5th
Super Add: #12 Best Lass 12-1 8th


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (Super, Super High 5)

Best Value: #8 Musical Grace 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #6 Warren's Royal Lady 5-2 5th
Next Best: #2 You Know I Wancha 2-1 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Donia 5-1 3rd
High 5 Play: #4 Dancing Lauren 10-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-7
7: 4-6
8: 3-7-8-9-11-12
9: 2-6-8

2x2x6x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 01-17-2010 02:27 PM

SA SCR'S

4 Red White and Brew scratched

5 Prince of Gotham scratched

6 No Changes

7 No Changes

8 Eloquently (GB) scratched; Gilded Gem scratched

9 No Changes

mm1019 01-17-2010 03:56 PM

Hi Steve hope your having a good Sunday i will take a wild approach to the late quad
6)2,3,4,5,10.11
7)3,5
8)7,8,9,11
9)2 $48

Scav 01-17-2010 04:33 PM

I am going to hear it about this pick but I like Stardom Bound today if she stays 3/1 or better.

Back to California for her preferred surface and 'trip'. I don't like Justwhistle first synthetic and that track is against her style.

letswastemoney 01-17-2010 05:18 PM

Stardom Bound has the highest synthetic figure. She could be dangerous if the race starts off in 23 and 46 47ish or less

dagolfer33 01-17-2010 05:22 PM

SA late pk3 2/7,8,9,11,13/2,6

Kasept 01-17-2010 06:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
I am going to hear it about this pick but I like Stardom Bound today if she stays 3/1 or better.

Back to California for her preferred surface and 'trip'. I don't like Justwhistle first synthetic and that track is against her style.

How does 9-5 sound? Being bet like iron considering the bulk of this field.

To me you bet against her until she proves she's either over her issue(s) or proves she's any kind of horse at all.

Kasept 01-17-2010 06:08 PM

I'm taking the 35-1+ on Will O Way and playing around with her...


Delay... Dave's Revenge a gate SCR.

hockey2315 01-17-2010 06:13 PM

12-1 seems a little high on Dream Empress. . .

hockey2315 01-17-2010 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
12-1 seems a little high on Dream Empress. . .

*low

Tough luck w/ Will O Way, Steve. Always frustrating when you don't even get a chance to see if you were right.

Kasept 01-17-2010 06:19 PM

Barry Abrams.. LOL.. And Sutherland wins graded stakes on back to back days.

Kasept 01-17-2010 06:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
*low

Tough luck w/ Will O Way, Steve. Always frustrating when you don't even get a chance to see if you were right.

Thx. Seemed to be moving too. Think she clipped heels with Dixie. She's a filly worth following.

Scav 01-17-2010 06:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Thx. Seemed to be moving too. Think she clipped heels with Dixie. She's a filly worth following.

She (Will O Way) got pretty screwed there. When I saw 2/1 opening, and then Gary Stevens talking on HRTV like she was the second coming, I decided to be lazy. She is pretty much done.

In other news, Congrats to CR Cono and Chris Paasch for the sale of the century....Can't remember exact amount she sold for but wasn't it +5million?

2Hot4TV 01-17-2010 06:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Barry Abrams.. LOL.. And Sutherland wins graded stakes on back to back days.

Whats Barry got that he gets these animals to over achive? He just seems like such a dork the way his horses drag him around in the paddock. It's really quite comical.

arizonadave 01-17-2010 06:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Barry Abrams.. LOL.. And Sutherland wins graded stakes on back to back days.

and who ran second in the race Mike Smith, Sutherlands ex.

dagolfer33 01-17-2010 06:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mm1019
Hi Steve hope your having a good Sunday i will take a wild approach to the late quad
6)2,3,4,5,10.11
7)3,5
8)7,8,9,11
9)2 $48

Nice try at it.

mm1019 01-17-2010 07:15 PM

Thanks Dude I would have had to go 7 deep in the El Encino to catch pretty unusual I thought I had the right 4 in the race so i played a $48 pick 3 and $48 pick 4.So I'm beating myself up for using $96 dollars on two bets when If I went 8 deep in the 3RD leg I would have hit the pick 4 on a $96 dollar ticket LOL.Typical hind sight bullshit I like to do to myself for a few hours after I miss a nice score like this(Its fun to be me lol)...


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