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-   -   12/16: Tampa Bay Downs (7th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33269)

Kasept 12-16-2009 07:47 AM

12/16: Tampa Bay Downs (7th-10th)
 
Have long been an advocate of Mrs. Thayer's Oldsmar oval, but have to say I preferred original Tampa schedule with Tuesday 'exclusivity'. Cards like today's, with $6,250 and $8,000 claimers and a bizarre $20k MSW in the late P4, will simply not hold interest later in the winter versus offerings at Gulfstream, Santa Anita, Fair Grounds, Oaklawn or Aqueduct.

The .50 increment and new reduced 20% takeout offset the sequence quality somewhat of course, but given the obscure connections and frequent quirky results at TBD, it will be hard-pressed to get attention from anyone but its' most regular followers without that attractive sole focus it had with 'Tampa Tuesdays'...


TAMPA BAY DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (.50 P4, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Slievenamon 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Capulet 5-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Timeoutforthejudge 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Misfit Manny 6-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Omega Cat 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Sharp Sunrise 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Jaunty Gale 7-2 4th
Super Add: #7 One Man to Beat 6-1 2nd


9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Excellent Rate 2-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Once is Enough 7-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Hands Wavering 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Talking Flirt 4-1 5th


10th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #3 Curragh Mon 5-2 WON
Next Best: #8 Coast to Coast 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Powerhouse 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Sonny B Cruisin' 12-1 6th
High 5 Play: #5 Fancyfreeeverett 10-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-7-9-10
8: 4-6-7-8
9: 2-4-5
10: 1-3-8

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 12-16-2009 11:33 AM

SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.tampabaydowns.com/Racing/...istration.aspx


RACE 7
#3-+3
Post Time 3:17

RACE 8 (Turf)
#5-+2
#10-Scratched(Soft Music)
#12-Scratched(Royal Regan)
#13-Scratched(Miss Triss)
#14-Scratched(Debbie’s Fast Girl)
Post Time 3:45

RACE 9
No Changes
Post Time 4:12

RACE 10
No Changes
Post Time 4:39

Kasept 12-16-2009 11:37 AM

Note that in the 8th, #11 THE LADY WAFFLES draws in today, is 10-1 and sure to be overlooked. This mare may not be a win candifate, but has been a regular board hitter in her experiences over the Tampa turf. Seems like she needs to be in bottom rungs of exotics.


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