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-   -   12/4: Aqueduct (6th-9th); Delta Downs (5th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33091)

Kasept 12-04-2009 06:41 AM

12/4: Aqueduct (6th-9th); Delta Downs (5th-9th)
 
AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Cherokee Focus 9-2 5th
Best Value: #10 Mr. Bourbon Street 8-1 DNF
Next Best: #7 Man in Grey 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Chief Operator 12-1 3rd


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Be Bullish 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Almighty Silver 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Run With the Lark 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Executive Search 12-1 WON

$1 Exacta (7-3) Paid $126.50
$1 Trifecta (7-3-4) Paid $515.50



8th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Summer Share 4-1 WON
Most Likely: #6 Star of New York 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Whirlwind Poppy 5-2 4th
Super Add: #4 Cat Three Approach 10-1 5th


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #12 Laylaben 7-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Heavenly Pursuit 5-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Justify 10-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Devilishameye 20-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

Could be a very lucrative sequence.. Will try gambit singling Bush ground-saver in the 8th..

6: 2-5-7-8-10
7: 2-3-4
8: 1
9: 4-5-7-10-12

5x3x1x5 = $75



DELTA DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: 2nd Orleans, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #7 Double Espresso 9-2 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Heavenly Vision 4-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Fools in Love 7-2 WON
Super Add: #5 Speightstown Belle 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (4-7) Paid $15.70
$1 Trifecta (4-7-5) Paid $55.90
$1 Superfecta (4-7-5-1) Paid $111.80



5th: 5th Treasure Chest, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Unforgotten 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Martin's Bay 5-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Foxy Danseur 4-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Sweetsouthern Doll 12-1 4th


6th: 5th Sam's Town, 3yo, 7f (.50 P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Lookin Mighty Fast 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Southern Vintage 10-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Dumar 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 And Music Came 6-1 4th

$1 Exacta (7-8) Paid $17.10
$1 Trifecta (7-8-5) Paid $57.80
$1 Superfecta (7-8-5-6) Paid $260.10



7th: 7th Delta Princess (G3), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Truth and Justice 5-2 9th
Best Value:#8 Quiet Temper 8-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Bella Diamante 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Joanie's Catch 3-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (8-6) Paid $18.30
$1 Trifecta (8-6-3) Paid $92.90



8th: 7th Delta Mile, 3+, 1m (P3, Super)

Best Value: #7 Ez Dreamer 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #6 SCR
Next Best: #8 Spotsgone 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Que Paso 8-1 4th


9th: 7th Delta Jackpot (G3), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #7 My Time to Star 8-1
Best Value: #8 Oak Motte 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Rule 5-2 WON
Super Add: #2 Uh Oh Bango 4-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (3-2) Paid $11.30
$1 Trifecta (3-2-8) Paid $76.90



<$100 P4 Play:

6: 5-7-8
7: 5-8
8: 3-4-5-6/SCR-7-8-9
9: 2-3-7-8

3x2x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 .50 Pick 4 (7,10/8/9/3) Paid $283.60


Good luck!
Steve

mclem0822 12-04-2009 10:03 AM

Hey Steve....
 
I heard you talking about the P4 sequences, they do have a 50 cent P4 starting with the 6th The Sam's Town and ending with the Delta Jackpot?

Kasept 12-04-2009 10:15 AM

AQU SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp


6th

1 (poe) Inside Info Early
5 Chernobyl's Hero Early
6 Distant Point Early


8th

2 Ask Ommadon Early


9th

1A Grace's Valentine Early OFF TURF
2 Es Mia Early
6 Point to Royalty Early
11 Crystal Galopoff Early

dagolfer33 12-04-2009 11:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mclem0822
I heard you talking about the P4 sequences, they do have a 50 cent P4 starting with the 6th The Sam's Town and ending with the Delta Jackpot?

Affirmative. This yearly event brings me back to the night I hit this same pk4, the year ZH and TW dead heated......I was mad as hell.

ateamstupid 12-04-2009 11:43 AM

Probably a futile pursuit, but I'll try to get prices to sandwich the two chalks in the early four.

Aqueduct Race 2
$1 PK4 1,2,4,6,7 / 4 / 4 / 2,3,6,7,8,10,11
$35
GL

CapperZeke 12-04-2009 11:55 AM

Delta Changes
 
Race: 2
#10 Pure Bandit Scratched

Race: 4
#2 Going to the Sun Scratched

Race: 6
#10 Firefromthebayou Scratched

Race: 8
#1 Tend Scratched
#2 Stoney Gold Scratched

Race: 10
#3 Louie Q Indeed Scratched

ateamstupid 12-04-2009 11:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Probably a futile pursuit, but I'll try to get prices to sandwich the two chalks in the early four.

Aqueduct Race 2
$1 PK4 1,2,4,6,7 / 4 / 4 / 2,3,6,7,8,10,11
$35
GL

**** me. How did that quitter hold on?

CapperZeke 12-04-2009 01:03 PM

Delta Quad
 
Here's my stab at the Delta Pick 4:

6th) 4,7,9
7th) 1,6,8
8th) 3,4
9th) 2,3,5,7

.50 pick 4 = $36

Coach Pants 12-04-2009 01:47 PM

Aqueduct
$10 ex 10/2.7

ateamstupid 12-04-2009 02:05 PM

Aqueduct Race 7
$1 PK3 2,3,5,6,8 / 1,6 / 7,8,10,12
$40
GL

Coach Pants 12-04-2009 02:05 PM

Aqueduct 7 1.00 P3 (PWHL) 2, 3, 8 / 1, 3 / 4, 7, 8

Kasept 12-04-2009 02:07 PM

I certainly hope that Bruce Levine dragged Castellano off Cherokee Focus and browbeat his monkey ass all the way back to the jock's room. To let Davey Cohen race ride you like that...? Oy vey. The Ortiz may win anyway, but it would be nice if Castellano give the horse a chance to win.

asudevil 12-04-2009 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
I certainly hope that Bruce Levine dragged Castellano off Cherokee Focus and browbeat his monkey ass all the way back to the jock's room. To let Davey Cohen race ride you like that...? Oy vey. The Ortiz may win anyway, but it would be nice if Castellano give the horse a chance to win.

Davie Cohen and Oy Vey in the same sentence!!! I kvelled when I saw that!

Kasept 12-04-2009 02:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asudevil
Davie Cohen and Oy Vey in the same sentence!!! I kvelled when I saw that!

Davie Cohen and Oy Vey... AND Bruce Levine. A trifecta.

asudevil 12-04-2009 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Davie Cohen and Oy Vey... AND Bruce Levine. A trifecta.

Workin our way towards a minion....

ateamstupid 12-04-2009 02:18 PM

Third nose photo I lost today. Screw this track.

Coach Pants 12-04-2009 02:19 PM

Oh Steven H. Crist.

richard 12-04-2009 02:42 PM

blanket finish in the 7th pic.
http://www.nyra.com/PhotoFinishActio...r=7&position=1

tigerfan 12-04-2009 03:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Could be a very lucrative sequence..


I think you were on to something, Steve. The P4 will pays are nuts. I am alive in the P3 to five horses and even those will pays are unusually healthy.

ateamstupid 12-04-2009 03:14 PM

That's four. Didn't learn my lesson. No more AQU for me until the main track reopens.


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