11/27: Aqueduct (7-10); Churchill (9-12)
 

Hope everyone enjoyed Thanksgiving and did OK if they were able to play. 12-1 surprise package Cherokee Country from Ramon Preciado in the Fall Highweight, sent Big A P4 into the stratosphere with successful negotiation topping $6k for $1. At Churchill, chalky sequence ended with Bret Calhoun firster Walking the Beach going off as the $1.90 favorite. Mike Battaglia had made the Medaglia d'Oro debuter 8-1 in the a.m., and his lines have been increasingly sloppy and off the mark this fall.

Second of the four day fete offers up a very nice Clark Day card at Churchill, the Top Flight at Aqueduct and the opening of the Turf Festival at Hollywood (Gr. I Citation).


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: S/HCP, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Super Slash 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Don'tgetsuspicious 6-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Hold That Prospect 2-1 WON
Exotics Use: #6 Silvercup Baby 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (9-8) Paid $19.00
$1 Trifecta (9-8-6) Paid $70.75


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Cades Bay 4-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Toocleverforwords 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Boxitup 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Speak Easy Gal 15-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-1) Paid $35.75
$1 Trifecta (7-1-2) Paid $239.75


9th: 70th Top Flight H. (G2), F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Sara Louise 6-5 WON
Next Best: #6 Spritely 4-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Cuvee Uncorked 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Justwhistledixie 5-2 2nd

$1 Exacta (1-8) Paid $4.75
$1 Trifecta (1-8-5) Paid $20.90


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (Super)

NOTE: Both ends of the #2e Rodriguez (R. Dutrow) entry SCRATCHED...

Most Likely: #5 Stroll for Acure 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Tire Kicker 8-1
Next Best: #1a Dorian Will 4-1 WON
Super Add: #8 Victory March 5-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-6-8-9
8: 1-5-7
9: 1-6
10: 1-4-5

4x3x2x3 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (5,9/3,7,11,12/1/1,2,11,12,13,14) Paid $83.25



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: River City H. (G3), 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Rahy's Attorney 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Banrock 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Karelian 2-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Cryptolight 50-1 7th


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Keefer 8-1 12th
Most Likely: #1 Fitzaslew 9-2 6th
Next Best: #7 Pressure Point 8-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Jet Set Vinny 9-2 4th


11th: Clark H. (G2), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Etched 6-1 13th
Next Best: #14 Einstein 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #11 Timber Reserve 20-1 14th
Super Add: #3 Giant Oak 20-1 4th


12th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #5 Waccamaw 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Omega Cat 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Yolo 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Grassy Nellie 3-1
High 5 Play: #7 Cavan Thunder 10-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 1-4-9-10
10: 1-3-6-7-9-11
11: 8-14
12: 3-4-5

4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Steve,

I was surprised to see Einstein running today. I thought I heard that the BC was going to be his last race. Did I hear that wrong, or any insights to why the change of direction? Only thing I can figure is he's such a quality horse, they didn't want to go out on such a bad note.

Thanks in advance for any inputs.

Hope you and yours had a wonderful, safe Thanksgiving, and all the best for the Holiday season.

Best of luck today, and thanks for the tireless efforts as usual!

AQU SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp


6TH

3 Raging Meese Early


7TH

1A Chippewa Court Early
5 French Song Early


8TH

2B Tempest Storm Early
3 Deputy's Citizen Early
12 Anna's Unreal Early


10TH

1 (poe) Sawtooth Mountain Early
2 Pegasus Tommy D. Early
2B Chinese Whisper (IRE) Early
11 Last Noble Early

CD SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...rogram-changes


RACE 9 - 32nd running of the $100,000-added RIVER CITY HANDICAP (Grade III) / PICK 4 BEGINS (50-CENT MINIMUM WAGER)

Jockey Overweight #2 Wheels Up At Noon - +2


RACE 10

SCRATCH #10 After Shock

AE #13 Izzy Ali will run


RACE 11 - 135th running of the $400,000-added CLARK HANDICAP (GRADE II)

Jockey Overweight #5 Blame - +1

Jockey Overweight #11 Timber Reserve - +2

Jockey Overweight #13 Dubious Miss - +1


RACE 12 - SUPER HI-5 / CARRYOVER $7,552

SCRATCH AE #1A On a Roll (main track only; #1 Magical Theater will run)

SCRATCH AE #13 Awesome Grannie

SCRATCH AE #14 Phola

SCRATCH AE #15 Kiss Mine

SCRATCH AE #16 Street Gossip

SCRATCH AE #17 Middlemarch (main track only)

Late P4
 

almost guaranteed to hit zero races

9: 1,3
10: 1,6,9
11: 3,9,12
12: 3,4,7

$27 per 50 cents

Uggh.. Super Slash can't get there. That was brutal.

Apologies for going off topic, but how did you do that with your avatar? That is cool!

Sweet, thanks and good luck with the rest of your day!

NICE hit in the 8'th at Aqu!!!

Gosh.. My pleasure. Anything to amuse Princess.:p

In the meantime, nice effort from Tooclever to juice the tri there in the AQU 8th.

Thx Rick... You catch that tri? Was pretty swell.

What a bizarre race Karelian just ran - I honestly thought he was going to jump the outside rail.

CD PK 4 payout is gonna be a MONSTER

This pick 4 payoff at churchill is going to be something special.

In the 11th the .50 Pick 3 will pays are nuts

1 22,178.3
2 8871.30
3 6336.65
4 14785.55
5 4032.40
6 44,356.65
7 7392.75
8 7392.75
9 4918.50
10 14785.55
11 8871.3
12 14785.55
13 44,356.65
14 238.00 (This makes no sense to me)

the 1 from wolfson is a under use imo.. im going with the 5/9 on top and 1/2/13/14/8 under

damn baffert... and i just knew robbie would kill the 2

That might be 2 of 3.

Scav.. I thought so too however that horse is 6-1 the 6 sits at 87-1 and pays 44,356 so if the 14 is actually a 2 out of 3 it is a big miss by someone.

im dumping on the 7 and wheeling it up in down cavin thunder

Live to that horse in the double, so c'mon my son.