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-   -   11/1: Aqueduct; Churchill (Late P4's) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=32547)

Kasept 11-01-2009 08:18 AM

11/1: Aqueduct; Churchill (Late P4's)
 
Finished Keeneland meekly while traveling westward Saturday, with plays chopped up by scratches and no good insights. Hope you did OK... Scene shifts in New York to the Big A through April, and Churchill for November...


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Superior Selection 6-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Pretty B 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Whoopty Whoopty 2-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Somalia 20-1 8th


7th: 53rd Long Island H. (G3), F&M-3+, 12f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Criticism 8-5 WON
Best Value: #1 Queen of Hearts 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Bubbly Jane 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Lemonette 3-1 2nd


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Galan Fete 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #6 Light Fever 3-1 6th
Next Best: #5 San Naa 10-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Frenchonionsoup 5-1 2nd


9th: MSW-NYB, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #6 River in the Woods 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Book 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Up for Love 5-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Bullstar 3-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-7-9
7: 1-5
8: 3-5-6
9: 1-6-7

4x2x3x3 = $72



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 41st Pocahontas (G3), 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 All Due Respect 20-1 3rd
Most Likely: #4 Tiz Miz Sue 5-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Sassy Image 9-2 WON
Super Add: #12 All About Anna 15-1 9th


9th: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Backwater Blues 6-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Harken Up 8-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Z.I. Zapp 10-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Great Attack 5-1 3rd


10th: 28th Iroquois (G3), 2yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Raging Wit 12-1 10th
Most Likely: #6 Dublin 4-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Call Shot 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Uh Oh Bango 5-1 3rd


11th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #9 Cactus Cadillac 7-2 WON
Next Best: #12 Apple Charlotte 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Valse Autriche 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Cave In 5-1
Super Add: #4 Snuggs and Kisses 30-1


@$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-4
8: 1-7-10
9: 1-2-6
10: 7-9-12

3x3x3x3 = $81


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 11-01-2009 11:29 AM

AQU SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp

Good/Yielding... Minor changes... 5th is OFF the turf...

Kasept 11-01-2009 11:46 AM

CHURCHILL SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...apping/program


9 Fist Of Rage & 12 Comedero scratched from Iroquois...

9 Snap Happy scratched from Pocahontas...

GPK 11-01-2009 01:59 PM

Damn Whoopty Whoopty. I feel like the king of going 5 deep only to catch the chalk.

jms62 11-01-2009 02:56 PM

C-Val on French Onion Soup, falls asleep and gets beat...

Sightseek 11-01-2009 03:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Best Value: #2 All Due Respect 20-1
Most Likely: #4 Tiz Miz Sue 5-1
Next Best: #3 Sassy Image 9-2
Super Add: #12 All About Anna 15-1


Good luck!
Steve

Damn that was close...All Due Respect got leg weary


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