Derby Trail Forums - 10/11: BEL (C/O); KEE, OSA (P4's)

Long, wild, surprising and even ridiculous afternoon Saturday, as some results left fans dreading, as opposed to anticipating, Breeders' Cup. The Goodwood win by Gitano Hernando was not exactly a great advertisement for what lies ahead, at least on the 'main' track, at Arcadia in 26 days. Lots to cover and recap but yet another full day Sunday with a carryover at Belmont at more big stakes action at Keeneland and Santa Anita. Remington gets into the picture too today with a nice 3 pack of stakes on the OK City track's biggest fall day.

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: Jerome H. (G2), 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Girolamo 8-5 WON
Next Best: #4 Kensei 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Burley's Gold 3-1 2nd

$42k+ P6 CARRYOVER

5th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Helvi 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #8 Cat's Kitty 3-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Greece 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Evil Genius 6-1 8th

6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Fateh Field 7-5 3rd
Next Best: #7 Wall Street Wonder 7-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Rodman 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Bad Action 8-1 WON

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Rose Catherine 7-2 WON
Best Value: #1a Mrs. Stroud 20-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Neenie's House 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Sea Road 5-1 2nd

8th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Devilishameye 20-1 5th
Most Likely: #9 Wittenberg Miss 3-1 11th
Next Best: #11 Royal Valentine 8-1 WON
Super Add: #6 Miss Saul 20-1 6th

9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Pinckney Hill 2-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Storm Caller 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Picou 5-2 7th
Super Add: #8 Valtrus 8-1 WON

10th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (Super)

Best Value: #6 Song for Pupcake 4-1 WON
Most Likely: #8 Fairy Wand 7-2 6th
Next Best: #5 Sachem Road 3-1 10th
Super Add: #7 Sweet Baby Blue 30-1 5th

<$150 P6 Play:

5: 5-6-8
6: 6-7-9
7: 9
8: 3-9
9: 2-3
10: 6-8

3x3x1x2x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-5-8-9
8: 3-9
9: 2-3-7
10: 5-6-8

4x2x3x3 = $72

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Brutal.. Admittedly have no clue here with glut of firsters..

Best Value: #6 Harlan's Princess 10-1 6th
Most Likely: #2 No Such Word 3-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Heaven's Grace 12-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Vacatur 15-1 3rd

8th: 19th Bourbon (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Interactif 5-2 WON
Best Value: #11 Raging Wit 15-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Asphalt 5-1
Super Add: #8 Exhi 5-1

9th: 54th Spinster (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Ginger Brew 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Proviso 9-2 WON-DQ'd to 2nd
Best Value: #1 Teamgeist 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Indescribable 5-1 9th

$26k SUPER HIGH 5 CARRYOVER

10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #5 Bum Bum 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Gold d'Oro 5-2 5th
Best Value: #6 Caret 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Miss Rufus 12-1 6th
High 5 Play: #2 Sea Gull 3-1 11th

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-5-6
8: 4-11
9: 1-4-7
10: 5-6-7

4x2x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Sabina Fay 5-1 8th
Most Likely: #3 Gumption 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Fund Raiser 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #10 Miss McCall 10-1 WON

7th: 41st Clement Hirsch (G1), 3+, 10f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Precious Passion 3-1 WON
Best Value: #3 Times Gone By 15-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Medici Code 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Rendezvous 8-1 5th

8th: 25th Ancient Title (G1), 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Fun, and confusing, collection for this important BC Sprint prep..

Most Likely: #5 Gayego 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Red Arrow 15-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Square Eddie 8-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Crown of Thorns 5-1 2nd

$136,700+ SUPER HIGH 5 CARRYOVER

9th: CLM, 3+, 9f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #3 Dadsalittleunusual 5-1 11th
Best Value: #2 Street Royale 8-16th
Next Best: #5 One Chin Again 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Bob Benoit 8-1 5th
High 5 Play: #7 Fight On 12-1 4th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3
8: 1-2-3-5-6-8
9: 4-5-10
10: 2-3

2x6x3x2 = $72

Good luck!
Steve