10/8: Belmont Park (1st-9th)
 

Not getting multi-play tickets built Wednesday may have been very costly with winners present in all legs of the Belmont P6/P4 sequences which generously paid $30k and $1k. But structure beat us as 4th choices Caminadora ($12) and Silenced ($25) were left off the simple plays to go with the 4 other top tabs who all won. Inclusions of those 4th/6th race winners in P3's were of some salvation with returns of $169 (4-6), $280 (5-7), $283 (6-8). Had potential to be really memorable, but good day overall and hope you did well!

A deliriously fun and challenging card at Belmont Thursday before Keeneland opens Friday.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Cruisin'nthebridle 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1a (POE) Siren Serenade 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Upper Gulch 8-1 5th
Super Add: #2 (POE) Maid of Flowers 12-1 7th


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Unbelievably intriguing race with some expensive horseflesh. Leaving $400k Baatesh and $1.2MM Lambeau Legend out of selections but either could improve enough 2nd time out to contend. Consider protecting with backups in multi-race wagers.

Most Likely: #3 Rule 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Ice Box 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Flexthegoldenpipes 5-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Bank the Eight 5-1 2nd


3rd: Memories of Silver, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Another terrific event with superbly matched field of hard-knocking fillies and mares. Sense Merriwether Jessica may be in form cycle slip and prefer the other two (!) Rice runners today. Cross-out Them There Eyes' off turf and Yaddo, and note strong try in state bred Lottsa Talc behind open company Turf Amazon (PHA) stake winner Canadian Ballet..

Most Likely: #5 Karakorum Elektra 5-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Them There Eyes 15-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Mohegan Sky 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Stormy Relations 10-1 7th


4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Outrageously wide open affair with Zapster in the 8-5 Pletcher entry utterly beatable.. Demand value..

Best Value: #6 Precipice Trail 8-1 4th
Most Likely: #10 Montesquieu 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Ryvit 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Hero's Empire 20-1 10th


5th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Akonite 12-1 6th
Most Likely: #6 Gracious Victory 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 O'Sotopretty 3-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Sister's Speed 7-2 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 3-4-5
3: 5-7
4: 3-4-6-10
5: 4-6-7

3x2x4x3 = $72


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

No less than 5 from 9/4 Spa set could go here if Serpe's Nurse Dolce were to get in. Question to answer is if any of them are that good, and who emerged from that race having distinguished themselves. Given that she was saddled with Studart, I Do That gave an excellent account of herself debuting a route and having to move through horses and up the rail late. 9-2 to start the bidding, and hope we get an even better number given we have to endure the Brazil nut again.

Most Likely: #4 I Do That 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Faraway Cat 12-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Mystic City 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Australis Princess 10-1 WON


7th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Sly 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Laudable 5-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Prince Woodman 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Dragon Fi 7-2 3rd


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Brother Nick 5-1 5th
Most Likely: #6 Even Raise 5-2 6th
Next Best: #4 Ea 2-1 WON
Super Add: #1 Retriever 6-1 2nd


9th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super)

Best Value: #4 McGlamery Road 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Trusting Heart 3-1
Next Best: #7 Geno Green 7-2 WON
Super Add: #8 Volos 9-2


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-5-7-8-9
7: 9
8: 1-2-4-6
9: 1-4-7

6x1x4x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

SB,

I assume you not using Diza in the opener is a reflection of Mott's FTS low win %. I'm not real keen on her missing the whole month of June, but being half to Cetewayo and Dynaforce, I will be interested to see what kind of account she makes for herself today on the turf. Gonna be using She's A Ketch in the early double. Her debut was a little better than the running line suggest and she should be a nice price to boot.

Good luck today:tro:

This 3rd race is:zz: :zz:

Kev,

Yeah... And there are a bunch of gaps in her work-up besides June too. I just get the feeling she will take one or more to get there. But note that Mott's numbers are BETTER than the basic PP's indicate under these conditions if you do the Formulator work.. FTS, 3+, >1m, he's more in the 12% win arena with a $2.00+ ROI.

G/L!!

Slamming Studart? Please explain? Just Curious.

Have you watched her ride? She's horrible.

Well, come on Jeff... she's awful. She's reckless and a hazard. A danger to herself and others.

Her saving grace is that she goes out of her way to minimize ground loss.

And no race demonstrates that more than her ride on I Do That. Anyone that can defend that sh*t is either blind or getting a piece of it:rolleyes:

Maybe she'll go back to Brazil for the Special Olympics.

1ST

1 (poe) Pardon Early
2B Singing My Song Early
5 She's a Ketch Early
10 Qualia Early


2ND

1 Baatesh Early


3RD

10 J Z Warrior Early


4TH

1X Trippo Early
5 Mint Maker Early


5TH

8 Read the Post Early


6TH

1A Nurse Dolce Early
1X Rogue's Jewel Early
2 Eager Leader Early
2B In Te Domine Early
11 Our Lady Liberty Early


7TH

1 (poe) French Transition Early
2 Check It Twice Early
2B Cliff Meadows Early
11 Golden Guska Early
12 Chief Export Early
13 Strummer Early


9TH

6 Wanda's Double Early

ok, i get the point, wow.:)

NOTE that #10 MONTESQUIEU draws into the 4th...

I want to play this early Pick 3, but I have no idea in the 3rd.

3 horses sprinting this distance on turf for the first time. Another 3 of them have only done it once. Tar Heel Mom is first time turf. Stormy Relations and Them There Eyes both look very dangerous on the cut back. Meriweather Jessica looks like a play against at a short price. Suzee Sunrise shows :21 and :43 speed...

I'm so confused:wf :wf

Blah...She's A Ketch scratched in the opener.:mad:

LOL.. And we all mean those things in the nicest way possible... Seriously though, she doesn't really belong in New York. She is trying to learn and works hard to get stronger, but is in fact a candidate to get people hurt. This isn't roller derby. People's lives are in the balance every afternoon.

yes, i see. i'll check some of those replays and i'm sure i'll agree.

Not to mention... vertically challenged.













But that's what we all love about you... half pint.

:)

Quit lollygagging around here and do some damn work for a change.