9/17: Belmont Park ($30k C/O)
 

Belmont card played out very much as anticipated Wednesday, proving tricky as can be with series of pricey winners triggering $30k carryover for Thursday. While there was no getting to the bulbous $14,000+ late P4, I was pleased to identify 3 opportunities where good opinions on overlays yielded lucrative results that easily carried the day.

First, 'long look' recommend Pletcher's Whydah went off even higher than the 8-1 ML paying a fat $21.20 in the 5th. And it got better when Toner's include tab La Clouche (15-2) got up second for the $77.25 exacta. Minutes later, Best Value top choice Tinto (24-1) just fell short of getting into the exacta, but tripped a $482.50 tri ($1) with 15-1 surprise winner Smarty Karakorum (Super Add) and even money fave Graceful Afleet (Most Likely) second. Finally in the nightcap, Best Value try Exton, another 24-1 bomber, rallied to just a head shy of a big score, though the $15.80 second money more than covered the W-PL investment on him.

So despite not coming close on the quad, it was a very good day. Hope you did well! Exceedingly hard sequence for the carryover Thursday, so let's try to not give back Wednesday's earnings...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 (POE) Shrimp Dancer 5-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Saver Dude 10-1 12th
Next Best: #10 Supreme Serene 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Bishop of Nola 3-1 2nd


5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Run to Grand Ave. 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Rapide One 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Mocha Springs 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Cavello 15-1 4th


6th: CLN, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Swinging Bernie 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Xodo 20-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Midnite Silver 6-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Right of Way 6-1 8th


7th: NYB-OC/C, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Redefined 9-5 WON
Best Value: #3 Can't Refuse 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Five Towns 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Be Bullish 15-1 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Fateh Field 4-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Peace Wine 9-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Charlott Humor 10-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Wall Street Wonder 7-2 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (Super)

Best Value: #1 Comeback 4-1 5th
Most Likely: #8 Jazz Hands 7-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Catch the Bottom 5-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Frenchonionsoup 3-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 3-7
5: 3-4-6-9
6: 2-3
7: 6
8: 4-9
9: 1-2-8

2x4x2x1x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-5-6-10
7: 6
8: 4-8-9
9: 1-2-7-8

6x1x3x4 = $72

$1 P4 Pays $183


Good luck!
Steve

No school today, GAS LEAK.... I will be playing a bit of Belmont.

I can't, for the life of me, figure out what to do with Xodo. Faced a couple nice ones out West this spring (Misremembered won the G2 Swaps, Oil Man won a G3 and finished 5th in the G2 Del Mar Derby).

He never lifted a foot over the soft going on 8/22, so tossing that race. Saved ground just about every step of the way on 9/6 and made a decent move turning for home before encountering a little bit of trouble. Not sure if he is gonna get the pace he needs today to become a threat on the win end, but I may fool with him a litle bit underneath in some exactas if the price is there.

Looks like Rajiv may try and steal this one on the front end.

Did you have anything to do with it?

Probably some bad chili he ate last night.

lol no.

Who are those studs in your avy Kev?

Minor changes... Fast and Firm...


4TH
1A Luminesce Early

5TH
1 (poe) True Success Early
2 Idol Image Early
7 Sequoya Mountain Early

7TH
1X Ziptronic Early
9 Afrikaner Early
10 Executive Search Early

8TH
5 Lemon Shore Early
10 Driven by Royal Early
12 Banking Holiday Early

That's the one and only Ateam looking up in reverence to the man that Scavs considers his hero.

Betting Frenchonionsoup fires in finale if we stay dry.

Karakorum runner in 6th kept me from pk4 yesterday. Ouch...

GL!

Early pick 3 I'm gonna punch a few times.

1/4,5,7/4

Early Pk4 stab

R2 - 7
R3 - 1,4
R4 - 3,4,5,7,10
R5 - 3,4,6,9
$40

GL

Early cheap pick 4

4,7/4/3,10/1,3,6,8,9

Suffolk shipping piece of sh*t no good rat

Hey Kent, did you see that? The guy who strangles his horse down for no reason on an easy lead (you) ends up off the board, while the guy who realizes that he's on an easy lead and therefore doesn't strangle his horse (Suffolk jock) wins at 45-1. See how that worked you dipshit? You're on a goddam speed horse whose only hope is to wire them. Let her run moron.

he ran like leon washington..:wf
and shrimps dancer is gonna get the mile and 1/16th

Good job getting it done.. Redefined is a beast at that level

Which begs the question, why hasn't he ever been taken from Dutrow for the $50k?

Peace Wine was a major disappointment today.

So was the Mott not getting home.

Huge disappointment. Every late ticket I had was singled around him.