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-   -   9/2: Saratoga ($45 C/O); Del Mar ($168k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=31497)

Kasept 09-02-2009 05:24 AM

9/2: Saratoga ($45 C/O); Del Mar ($168k C/O)
 
Had largely exasperating afternoon Monday getting beat in early P4 despite being live to 6. Uggh. Did land very nice price on Urban Flight in the 8th for day's best banker. Last week of somewhat grueling Spa meet upon us Wednesday, and fun carryover cards in NY and CA should keep us all entertained through 9pm tonight! Hope you've been doing well and enjoying ATR coverage as the summer season of live broadcasts from Carolina Barbecue wind down. Just 4 more days from the backyard before turning our attention towards the fall meets and Breeders' Cup...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Tremendous opener with half dozen fillies/mares within a length of each other on paper..

Most Likely: #6 Lost Without You 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Eightyfive S 15-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Strike the Bell 4-1 WON
Super Add: #8 Tempest Storm 6-1 8th


2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Triple Glory 12-1 2nd
Most Likely: #3 Big Flirt 9-2 WON
Next Best: #9 Kelode 6-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Unbridled Cardinal 7-2 5th


3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Headache 2-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Matador Run 2nd


4th: Loudonville, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

SCR #2 Tar Heel Mom

Most Likely: #4 Fascinatin' Rhythm 7-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Choragus 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 J Z Warrior 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Simplify 5-2 WON


5th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Have to respect those that have started already, but of firsters, Pletcher (#6 Bonavento) is a 'fast early' Speightstown; Hough's #2 Royal Stocks is a full to the SW Razor; #9 Roulette Winner (Rock Hard Ten) from Serpe is a half to Yes It's True, while #8 Baatesh (Pulpit) is a KMc trainee that was a $400k Shadwell purchase, and half to Tazarine and SW Resplenency..

Most Likely: #3 Chief Council 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Rein King 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Fayoum 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Roulette Winner 15-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3
3: 2-3
4: 1-3-4-5-7-8
5: 1-3-5

2x2x6x3 = $72


6th: NYM-MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

ML top choices are lined up widest and are NO BETTER than the top pair starting out anyway.. Will play thick exactas with 2-4 and key off them in tri/super..

Most Likely: #2 American Land 5-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Caterina's Terms 15-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Grace's Valentine 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Split Pot 5-2 7th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Fascinating baby turf route.. Too many options..

Most Likely: #6 Senada 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Limeheart 15-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Orchestrator 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 (POE) Veil of Tears 8-1 5th


8th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Ziptronic 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 C T Chimes 20-1 4th
Next Best: #1e Broman entry 7-2 7th/8th
Exotics Use: #7 Success Fee 8-1 WON


9th: Lena Spencer, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Smart and Fancy 3-1
Best Value: #1 Sly Storm 12-1
Next Best: #6 Ahvee's Storm 7-2


10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Monastir 3-1
Best Value: #2 Mr. Vantastic 9-2
Next Best: #3 Star of New York 7-2
Super Add: #6 One Diamond 15-1


@$200 P6 Play:

Murderous sextet that could see elusive $10-$15 3rd/4th choice types win every leg..

5: 3
6: 2-4
7: 2-6-7
8: 3-10
9: 1-4-6
10: 2-3-9

1x2x3x2x3x3 = 108 x $2 = $216


<$75 P4 Play:

Very tough sequence..

7: 2-6-7
8: 3-10
9: 1-4-6
10: 2-3-6-9

3x2x3x4 = $72



DEL MAR


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Launch the Bull 5-2
Next Best: #1 The Whammer 3-1
Best Value: #2 Tropical Heat 15-1
Super Add: #3 Game A.P. 12-1


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Cinnamon Dove 7-2
Best Value: #9 Spirited Lady 8-1
Next Best: #6 Moon O'er Cashel 4-1
Super Add: #10 Cassablanca 8-1


6th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Ur Turn Dubai 4-1
Best Value: #1 Scare Package 8-1
Next Best: #12 Buyer's Remorse 5-2
Super Add: #11 Dust in Your Face 8-1


7th: Cal-bred OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 De Car Guy 12-1
Most Likely: #6 Adam Suances 3-1
Next Best: #4 The Usual Q. T. 5-2
Super Add: #2 Renegade Storm 8-1


8th: 17th Generous Portion, Cal-bred 2yo-F, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Best Value: #5 Royalty Gone Wild 9-2
Next Best: #6 Unbridled Meeting 5-2
Super Add: #4 SCR


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

SCR: 6-7-13-14

Most Likely: #4 Hotsie 7-2
Best Value: #9 No Pun Intended 6-1
Next Best: #3 Jamieson 9-2
Exotics Use: #10 Eisenheim 5-1
High 5 Play: #2 Good Newsman 4-1


$150 P6 Play:

4: 1-4
5: 3-6-9
6: 1-7-12
7: 3-6
8: 5
9: 4-9

2x3x3x2x1x2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-7-12
7: 2-3-4-6
8: 5
9: 2-3-4-5-9-10

3x4x1x6 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

rpncaine 09-02-2009 07:22 AM

Trying to listen to Hour 1 from 9/01 this morning (Tim Ice, etc). Can't seem to get it to work. Could you have Casey check it out?

Thanks

atolunch 09-02-2009 10:46 AM

Saratoga Scratches :


Race 2 #6 Jazz Hands
Race 3 #4 American Rock, #7 Bocce Ball
Race 4 #2 Tar Heel Mom
Race 7 #10 Isn't She Grand
Race 8 #11 Putin
Race 9 #3 Pretty Carina, #7 Karakorum Elektra, #9 Trusty Temper
Race 10 #8 Jac Roxs

atolunch 09-02-2009 10:50 AM

Early Del Mar Scratches:

Scratches
Race 2 #7 Cape of Bradford
Race 6 #14 Saarface
Race 7 #10 Royal Vision
Race 8 #3 La Nez, #7 U Turn Me Crazy
Race 9 #13 Velikaya, #14 De Brief Me, #6 Downtown Banker, #7 Seany's Story

Kasept 09-02-2009 11:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rpncaine
Trying to listen to Hour 1 from 9/01 this morning (Tim Ice, etc). Can't seem to get it to work. Could you have Casey check it out?

Thanks

Didn't need KC for this... All fixed.

tdtony 09-02-2009 11:48 AM

steve the 8 in the 9th at saratoga is scratched you elimanated it in the selections but included the 8 in the pic 6 and late pic 4

Kasept 09-02-2009 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tdtony
steve the 8 in the 9th at saratoga is scratched you elimanated it in the selections but included the 8 in the pic 6 and late pic 4

Thx Tony! All set now...

fpsoxfan 09-02-2009 12:39 PM

Nice Job in the 2nd Steve. $96 dollar exacta.

Coach Pants 09-02-2009 12:42 PM

That was a nice exacta but very aggravating to get nipped at the wire by a shorter price.

Kasept 09-02-2009 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
That was a nice exacta but very aggravating to get nipped at the wire by a shorter price.

Tell me about it.

hockey2315 09-02-2009 02:17 PM

The 5th is going to come back a key race. Seems like it was pretty loaded.


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