8/21: Saratoga (Day 21; Lake Placid)
 

Straightforward day at the Spa Thursday and saw things pretty clearly with multiple on top winners, exotic hits, rolling P3's, Late P4 and 5/6 conso in the P6. Was rather chalky but the cashers added up nicely. Hope you did well.

PLEASE NOTE: I'll be unavoidably absent from the Spa and 'At the Races' for upwards of a week. Equidaily.com and Capital OTB-TV's Seth Merrow will guest host as much 'ATR' as he can starting today..


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Biogio's Rose, NYB 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Sapphire Sky 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #2 Karakorum Fugitive 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 What a Pair 5-1 4th


2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 SCR
Most Likely: #2 Sal Paradise 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Option 3-1 WON
Super Add: #6 The Mayor 7-2 2nd


3rd: OC/N1X, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Thoroughly bizarre baby allowance..

Most Likely: #3 (POE) Red Rally 3-1 WON
Best Value: #1a (POE) Honor in Peace 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Soundman 5-2 2nd


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Book 6-1 10th
Most Likely: #8 Cappella Reale 2-1 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Mr. Devil May Care 15-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Malibu Gardens 12-1 2nd

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 1-3-8 with 1-3-8 with 1-3-5-7-8 with All (3x2x3x7 = 126 x .10 = $12.60)


5th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Came off the turf after start of raceday...

Best Value: #6 SCR
Most Likely: #9 SCR
Next Best: #8 SCR
Super Add: #10 SCR


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-6-7
3: 1-3-4
4: 1-3-8
5: (6-9 SCRATCHED)

4x3x3x2 = $72


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Interesting juvy set with sibs #2 Mind Over Matter (Choctaw Nation) and #1a Manaahil (Shakis) to consider (SCR). But fave #10 Awesome Maria has had time since just miss debut, and 8-1 Klesaris product #5 Sing My Song chased Adirondack show pony Magic Appeal in bow. Tom A. sends #4 Couture Cat (5-1), first daughter of the nice Petionville sprinter Runway Model, and Jolley-Roberts returnee Awesome Vow bulleted after even debut and should appreciate the added quarter mile..

Most Likely: #10 Awesome Maria 9-5 WON
Best Value: #5 Sing My Song 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Couture Cat 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Awesome Vow 12-1 6th


7th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Luv Gov 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Brother Nick 12-1 WON
Next Best: #1e Zito entry 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Blue Whistler 6-1 5th


8th: 26th Lake Placid (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Keertana 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 My Magic Moment 12-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Consequence 4-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Shared Account 7-2 WON


9th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Came off the turf after start of raceday...

Most Likely: #1 SCR
Best Value: #3 One Diamond 15-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Handled Affair 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 SCR


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 10
7: 1-3-4-6-7-9
8: 3-5-7
9: (1-4/SCR) 3-9

1x6x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Steve,

Congrats again yesterday on the great day! Here's to keeping it rolling.

Couple of quick notes:

In the early P4, you have #7 Telemachus as the BV pick, but use the #1 and #2 in the P4, which are your next two picks, not sure if that was intentional or not.

Also, please check race 8, I think My Magic Moment is the #7, not #6.

Thanks as always for the insights and tireless work. Good racing luck today.

Hope all is well.

Steve I think you have a cold exacta in the 7th race

# 6 Brother Nick
#1 Zito Entry

Cant get a better name angle then this one. :D

Steadily pouring for the past 45 minutes, and more thunderstorms on the way - would expect at least the first few turf races will be off and the track at least muddy

p4?
 

My last horse in my pick four was scratched in the 5th race any one know what happens do i get the post time favorite ?

yes you get the post time favorite

Unreal... Just unreal... both my horses scratch and then the favorite blows it... Gotta Love SaratoGAA. At least broke my streak of 5 first round P4 KO's...

Late Pick 4
3,5
1,9
3,4,8
2,8,13

meh.

Roll to the late pick 3

Why is 6-Brother Nick getting all this love ?

The reason is he wasn't on my ****ing ticket.... 5 ****ing deep and nada.,

Hey I was only 2 deep and it looked like the 9 wanted to f.uck him instead of pass him.

Classic post...

They were the only two I saw acting up and the 9 went in sans rider. I'm guessing they both wanted to get somewhere dry ASAP.