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-   -   8/12: Saratoga (Week 3, Day 13) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=31182)

Kasept 08-12-2009 04:02 AM

8/12: Saratoga (Week 3, Day 13)
 
Closed out first third of the Spa session with another big P4 hit ($1,059) that wiped out all of the week's multi-race miscues and drove profitability back to a strong arena. $169 2nd race trifecta with 3-2, and overwhelmingly likely winner Proud Zoe, was a real bonanza as well. Enter 2nd trimester of the meet looking to continue approach and build bankroll. Hope you did great Monday and are enjoying the meet coverage on ATR!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Platinum 2-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Starship Angel 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Loquacious Lil 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Dean Henry 5-1 7th


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Grand Strategy 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Aspire 4-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Good to Be Seen 2-1 2nd


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Chick in Slacks 10-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 Out Post LATE SCR
Next Best: #9 Ride On Josephine 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Corbina 10-1 9th


4th: OC/N1X, 3+, 16f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Mr. Again 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 Lord Kipling 2-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Fire Wood 5-2 6th
Super Add: #6 Critical Acclaim 5-1 3rd


5th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Tapaline 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Opus A 8-1 WON
Next Best: #1e Galusco entry 8-1 4th/10th
Exotics Use: #9 Precious Penny 12-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

Tricky sequence..

2: 1-2-5
3: 1-3-9
4: 1-8
5: 1-4-7-9

3x3x2x4 = $72


6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

NOTE: SCR's/draw-ins could change complexion of this race..

Most Likely: #5 Quiet Alice 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Princess Westly 12-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Kaliegh Rose 9-2 10th
Super Add: #1 Beboblues Art 12-1 7th


7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 My Golden Opinion 5-2 WON
Best Value: #8 Distant Point 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Marq of Love 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Vinnies Wild Tale 10-1 11th


8th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Deputyville 12-1 8th
Most Likely: #8 Fairway Drive 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Eldoktori 10-1 9th
Super Add: #1 (POE) Cliff Meadows 6-1 7th


9th: NY Stallion-Cab Caloway (R), 3yo (C&G), 8.5f-T (DD, Super0

Most Likely: #5 Uncle T Seven 5-2 WON
Next Best: #6 Minnie Putt 3-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Livin Large 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Scientist 4-1 3rd


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #10 D' Wildcard 4-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Victory March 12-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Hint 3-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Bold Vindication 5-2 6th

NOTE: Have been waiting for #2 Masterofthehouse (20-1) to break through for three straight (4th, 5th and 6th place finishes). Tries the stretchout and needs to be included on deep exotic tickets.. WON


$100 P6 Play:

5: 4-7
6: 5
7: 6-8-9
8: 1-4-5-8
9: 5-6
10: 10

2x1x3x4x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 6-8-9
8: 1-4-5-8
9: 5-6
10: 5-6-10

3x4x2x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 08-12-2009 11:00 AM

Modest SCR's today, but note #11 Tahoe Warrior (5-1) from Linda Rice draws into the 8th on 5 days rest and is quite possible under Garcia.

pointman 08-12-2009 12:07 PM

Early pk4 stab:

2- 1,5
3- 1,2,3,6
4- 1,2,6,8
5- 4,6,7,11

Good Luck!

jms62 08-12-2009 12:16 PM

Small stab

1,5/2,3/All/7

richard burch 08-12-2009 02:12 PM

my long shot....

watch out for kevazinga in race #6

15-1 morning line...had a bad trip last time out

Last Raced: 07/23/2009 at BELMONT PARK in Race 4
Finish Position: 5th
Last Reported Workouts:
07/17/2009-BELMONT PARK-Four Furlongs-Dirt training Fast-51:23 Breezing
06/13/2009-BELMONT PARK-Four Furlongs-Dirt training Fast-50:12 Breezing
05/26/2009-BELMONT PARK-Four Furlongs-Dirt training Fast-50:45 Breezing

pointman 08-12-2009 02:58 PM

Late stab:

7- 6,9,11
8- 1,2,3,8,11
9- 1,4,5,6
10- 10

7- 6,9,11
8- 1,2,3,8,11
9- 5,6
10- 3,5,10

Good Luck!

South Beach Luv 08-12-2009 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Modest SCR's today, but note #11 Tahoe Warrior (5-1) from Linda Rice draws into the 8th on 5 days rest and is quite possible under Garcia.

Thanks Steve :$:

VOL JACK 08-12-2009 04:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Modest SCR's today, but note #11 Tahoe Warrior (5-1) from Linda Rice draws into the 8th on 5 days rest and is quite possible under Garcia.

Funny listening to Simon and Todd on TVG.
They kept talking about his stretchout potential...How about looking at his lifetime PP's. He ran with the best 3yo Turfers in 2006, going long!

jms62 08-12-2009 05:09 PM

Nice call on Master of the House!!:$:

declansharbor 08-12-2009 05:16 PM

GREAT note on the 2 in the cap. Hope you, and others, took a shot.

EPB 08-12-2009 05:25 PM

Played the hunch!
 
Steve,

Thanks for the tutoring. Paided off in a big way today.

EPB


COMPLETED: 40452862102843
SAR #7 $1 Pick-4 6,8,9,WT,11,WT,5,6,WT,2,3,5,6,10 $30.00 $ 4,636.50 = $ 4606.50

gales0678 08-12-2009 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by EPB
Steve,

Thanks for the tutoring. Paided off in a big way today.

EPB


COMPLETED: 40452862102843
SAR #7 $1 Pick-4 6,8,9,WT,11,WT,5,6,WT,2,3,5,6,10 $30.00 $ 4,636.50 = $ 4606.50


nice score

Heels1989 08-12-2009 05:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by EPB
Steve,

Thanks for the tutoring. Paided off in a big way today.

EPB


COMPLETED: 40452862102843
SAR #7 $1 Pick-4 6,8,9,WT,11,WT,5,6,WT,2,3,5,6,10 $30.00 $ 4,636.50 = $ 4606.50


OUTSTANDING. CONGRATS :$: :$:

philcski 08-12-2009 05:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Modest SCR's today, but note #11 Tahoe Warrior (5-1) from Linda Rice draws into the 8th on 5 days rest and is quite possible under Garcia.

Great job today, hope you used 'em both and hit that P4...

tigerfan 08-12-2009 06:13 PM

I can't thank you enough, Steve. I added Masterofthehouse to my P4 ticket just because of the comment you made. Resulted in a huge $4,600+ score.
Since my big payday wouldn't have happened without your unbelievable longshot tip, I'm going to send a gift to Old Friends Equine in Kentucky. Your knowledge benefits more than just the bettors today. Thanks again!

randallscott35 08-12-2009 06:24 PM

That's great:)

arizonadave 08-12-2009 06:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tigerfan
I can't thank you enough, Steve. I added Masterofthehouse to my P4 ticket just because of the comment you made. Resulted in a huge $4,600+ score.
Since my big payday wouldn't have happened without your unbelievable longshot tip, I'm going to send a gift to Old Friends Equine in Kentucky. Your knowledge benefits more than just the bettors today. Thanks again!

i too used Steves comment on the 2 horse in the last race for a $2 P3 and win and place on both the 11 tahoe warrior and the 2 in the last. Also everyone at the OTB in Scottsdale had the 2 horse( ten folks) in the last race and will be following your picks from now on. i too will send a check to the same place for retired horses. again thanks from arizona.

Kasept 08-12-2009 08:19 PM

Thanks for the kind comments. Was my pleasure to share the thoughts and am thrilled so many capitalized. Heard from a third who hit the Quad as well. And what a nice gesture it is to send some of the winnings toward retirement.

herkhorse 08-12-2009 08:45 PM

Just got home from a long day at the track, Masterofthehouse!:tro: Remembered you liked him last time Steve. Had a nice WP bet on him., and my bro in law and my nephew both hit the late double!

Thanks Byk!, How you muster up the energy to do this every day is beyond me:tro:

... and how do you get all that sap out of your clothes?

SilkySullivan 08-12-2009 09:10 PM

MasteoftheHouse
 
Thanks Steve. I looked at TG's and saw your point. I missed Linda Rice for the P4 but not unhappy with a $292 DD. Excellent call and way to stick to your guns.


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