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-   -   ML Odds for Saratoga leading rider (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=30902)

The Indomitable DrugS 07-25-2009 12:52 PM

ML Odds for Saratoga leading rider
 
Dominguez (4/5)
Velazquez (4/1)
Prado (5/1)
Desormeaux (6/1)
Garcia (12/1)
Coa (15/1)
Velasquez (20/1)
Lezcano (20/1)
Maragh (30/1)
Leparoux (40/1)
Alberado (50/1)
Castellano (60/1)
Borel (100/1)
Field (150/1)

alphanumeric1 07-25-2009 12:57 PM

Top 4:
Desormeaux (2/1)
Leparoux (5/2)
Garcia (4/1)
Dominguez (4/1)

jballscalls 07-25-2009 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Dominguez (4/5)
Velazquez (4/1)
Prado (5/1)
Desormeaux (6/1)
Garcia (12/1)
Coa (15/1)
Velasquez (20/1)
Lezcano (20/1)
Maragh (30/1)
Leparoux (40/1)
Alberado (50/1)
Castellano (60/1)
Borel (100/1)
Field (150/1)

I'll box Cornelio, Ramon D. and Johnny V. for the tri

hockey2315 07-25-2009 01:13 PM

Garcia and Maragh look like the overlays to me.

The Indomitable DrugS 07-25-2009 01:30 PM

Dominguez is probably a cinch.

Back-to-back top 5 finishes in his only two years riding this meet full time - and both times - he came into the meet from Delaware instead of riding Belmont.. which put him at a tremendous disadvantage.

Not only is he coming in from riding Belmont this time - but he dominated the standings there. He came up 12 wins short last year .. and that only amounts to an extra win every 3 racing days. There is no way this year shouldn't be light years better for him.

VOL JACK 07-25-2009 01:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Dominguez (4/5)
Velazquez (4/1)
Prado (5/1)
Desormeaux (6/1)
Garcia (12/1)
Coa (15/1)
Velasquez (20/1)
Lezcano (20/1)
Maragh (30/1)
Leparoux (40/1)
Alberado (50/1)
Castellano (60/1)
Borel (100/1)
Field (150/1)

I'll book any :$: for Prado at 5-1.

I think Leparoux could surprise this meet. Esp if he can pick up some mounts on the Assmu babies since SB is hurt.

The Indomitable DrugS 07-25-2009 01:48 PM

Prado is riding 4 of the 5 Asmussen horses on opening day ... he seems to have landed that barn with SB injured.

VOL JACK 07-25-2009 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Prado is riding 4 of the 5 Asmussen horses on opening day ... he seems to have landed that barn with SB injured.

I thought Robbie would.

The Indomitable DrugS 07-25-2009 02:52 PM

There aren't enough two turn dirt routes or Graded Stakes for Borel at Saratoga.

2007 was the only other year he rode full time at Saratoga in his career - and he went 6-for-14 with a $4.32 ROI in dirt routes.

Problem was that he was 3-for-86 in all other races at that meet.


He's 16-5-3-2 with a $4.48 ROI in all Graded Stakes at Saratoga over the last 4 years. Including a 2nd beaten less than a length with Social Probation at 24/1 odds.

DaTruth 07-25-2009 03:39 PM

What clinches the riding title may be who gets to ride all of Eddie Kenneally's 2yos.

Bigsmc 07-25-2009 04:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaTruth
What clinches the riding title may be who gets to ride all of Eddie Kenneally's 2yos.

:tro:

10 pnt move up 07-25-2009 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Dominguez (4/5)
Velazquez (4/1)
Prado (5/1)
Desormeaux (6/1)
Garcia (12/1)
Coa (15/1)
Velasquez (20/1)
Lezcano (20/1)
Maragh (30/1)
Leparoux (40/1)
Alberado (50/1)
Castellano (60/1)
Borel (100/1)
Field (150/1)

where is Jason Lumpkins?

The Indomitable DrugS 07-25-2009 04:35 PM

That's a very deep question.

His mortal flesh is in West Virgina.

eajinabi 07-25-2009 04:43 PM

Can we actually bet on this or is this just fantasyland odds

CSC 07-25-2009 05:11 PM

I hate the way Prado is riding right now, I'm not sure what is wrong with him but from what I have observed he is not the same rider he was a few yrs ago.

Ronnie 07-25-2009 05:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
I hate the way Prado is riding right now, I'm not sure what is wrong with him but from what I have observed he is not the same rider he was a few yrs ago.

Ever since he went down on at Saratoga two years ago? Was that closing day?

CSC 07-25-2009 06:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ronnie
Ever since he went down on at Saratoga two years ago? Was that closing day?

I don't remember him falling recently, however I do remember him being injuried before and coming back strongly. I don't know maybe it's me but he looks passive out there, he was never a busy rider as a Gomez is, or even a Kent D is at times, he looks like he is riding in slow motion compared to those 2. Still if he ever gets it back he was a pretty reliable rider at one time.

Sightseek 07-25-2009 11:45 PM

No love for my man Castellano? *sniff*

pgiaco 07-26-2009 09:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
No love for my man Castellano? *sniff*

Tough to win a riding title when all you do is scrape the paint. (From the outside rail, that is.)

hoovesupsideyourhead 07-26-2009 06:49 PM

lezcano is ultra bad..he will have a higher roi than any of these. and ramon d at 4/5 is a huge bet against. imo


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