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ML Odds for Saratoga leading rider
Dominguez (4/5)
Velazquez (4/1) Prado (5/1) Desormeaux (6/1) Garcia (12/1) Coa (15/1) Velasquez (20/1) Lezcano (20/1) Maragh (30/1) Leparoux (40/1) Alberado (50/1) Castellano (60/1) Borel (100/1) Field (150/1) |
Top 4:
Desormeaux (2/1) Leparoux (5/2) Garcia (4/1) Dominguez (4/1) |
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Garcia and Maragh look like the overlays to me.
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Dominguez is probably a cinch.
Back-to-back top 5 finishes in his only two years riding this meet full time - and both times - he came into the meet from Delaware instead of riding Belmont.. which put him at a tremendous disadvantage. Not only is he coming in from riding Belmont this time - but he dominated the standings there. He came up 12 wins short last year .. and that only amounts to an extra win every 3 racing days. There is no way this year shouldn't be light years better for him. |
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I think Leparoux could surprise this meet. Esp if he can pick up some mounts on the Assmu babies since SB is hurt. |
Prado is riding 4 of the 5 Asmussen horses on opening day ... he seems to have landed that barn with SB injured.
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There aren't enough two turn dirt routes or Graded Stakes for Borel at Saratoga.
2007 was the only other year he rode full time at Saratoga in his career - and he went 6-for-14 with a $4.32 ROI in dirt routes. Problem was that he was 3-for-86 in all other races at that meet. He's 16-5-3-2 with a $4.48 ROI in all Graded Stakes at Saratoga over the last 4 years. Including a 2nd beaten less than a length with Social Probation at 24/1 odds. |
What clinches the riding title may be who gets to ride all of Eddie Kenneally's 2yos.
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That's a very deep question.
His mortal flesh is in West Virgina. |
Can we actually bet on this or is this just fantasyland odds
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I hate the way Prado is riding right now, I'm not sure what is wrong with him but from what I have observed he is not the same rider he was a few yrs ago.
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No love for my man Castellano? *sniff*
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lezcano is ultra bad..he will have a higher roi than any of these. and ramon d at 4/5 is a huge bet against. imo
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