Derby Trail Forums - 7/22: BEL ($50k C/O); DMR (7th-10th)

Enjoyed vacation away (somewhat) from 'the game', and three week stint in Florida, but that special time of the year for Upstate New Yorkers and all horseplayers/race fans is upon us. Saratoga opens a week from today, and broadcasts from Carolina Barbecue in the Spa backyard commence Monday, so back to the 'foothills' I go later this morning. Final days of excellent Belmont Spring Meet kick off with a $50k carryover on a fun card, and Del Mar opens with a tough late P4 that features a deep single division of the Oceanside.

BELMONT PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Broman entry 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 SCR
Next Best: #7 SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Freud's Notebook 6-1 3rd

5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 10f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Have You Ever 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Propensity 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Winner Jack 5-2 7th

6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3D, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Tapaline 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Screen Saviour 8-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Australis Princess 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 We Got Heat 8-1 4th

7th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Es Mia 5-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Elegant Bess 5-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Won Token 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Deonzion 20-1 8th

8th: The Donor, F&M-3+, 10f-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Bella Allure 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Sunshine for Life 10-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Bubbly Jane 4-1 WON
Super Add: #7 Nehantic Kat 7-2 4th

9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Enduro 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Ajustabull 5-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Unbridled Cardinal 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Triple Glory 2-1 6th

$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-8/SCR (4-7/SCR)
5: 6-7-9
6: 7 (2)
7: 2-8
8: 2
9: 4-9

2x3x2x2x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-7
7: 2-5-7-8-9-10
8: 2-4-6
9: 4-9

2x6x3x2 = $72

DEL MAR

7th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super0

Most Likely: #5 Seminole Native 6-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Capt. Sparrow 12-1 8th
Next Best: #8 SCR
Super Add: #3 Acclamation 5-1 2nd

8th: 63rd Oceanside, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Meteore 5-2 5th
Best Value: #12 SCR
Next Best: #3 Rendezvous 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 SCR

Note: If #12-AE Nashoba's Express does NOT draw in, add #10 Backbackbackgone (6-1) to your exotics play as a sub..

9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Well-matched and utterly imposible group..

Most Likely: #7 Wickednwackyingrid 5-1 WON
Best Value: #6 No Ka Oi 8-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Kneeling's Pride 8-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Perfect Hostess 8-1 6th

10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #9 Saintly Spirit 9-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Prophetize 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Sure Tiz 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Afleet's Picasso 6-1 7th
High 5 Play: #8 Hannah's Moment 6-1 9th

$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-5-8
8: 9
9: 2-5-6-7-9
10: 1-5-8-9-12

3x1x5x5 = $75

Good luck!
Steve