BEL Saturday: $118k C/O
 

FYI..

And 5 of 6 had 1 ticket only paying $30,000...

5TH (3:08)

6 Furlongs (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($25,000) | Purse: $22,000

1 1 Pavlov's Dog Casey A J Fisher Linda 1147 $25,000 L 20-1
2 2 Grapple Maragh R Levine Bruce N 121 $25,000 L 7-2
3 3 Sinister Storm Castanon J L Toscano John T Jr 121 $25,000 L 30-1
4 4 Four Star General Castellano J J Contessa Gary C 117 $25,000 L 6-1
5 5 Masterofthehouse Rodriguez R R Ortiz Juan 123 $25,000 L 9-2
6 6 City Sneakers Arroyo N Jr Rice Linda 121 $25,000 L 8-1
7 7 Here Comes Carlie Luzzi M J Imperio Joseph 121 $25,000 L 10-1
8 8 Afleet Fable Morales S Carroll Del W II 121 $25,000 L 5-1
9 9 Close to the Vest Chavez J F Martin Carlos F 121 $25,000 L 3-1
10 MTO Driven by Royal Castellano J J Hull Michael D 117 $25,000 L 6-1
11 MTO Timber Cruise Casey A J Jacobson David 121 $25,000 L 5-1
12 MTO We All Hope Morales S Badgett William Jr 117 $25,000 L 6-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7), Pick 6 Races (5-10) Daily Double Wagers


6TH (3:40)

1 1/8 Miles (Inner turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $46,000

1 1 Rock in Bage (BRZ) Coa E M McLaughlin Kiaran P 119 L 3-1
2 2 North Country Castanon J L Duggan David P 119 L 10-1
3 3 Bad Action Luzzi M J Contessa Gary C 115 L 20-1
4 4 Titan of Industry Samyn J L Violette, Jr. R A 123 L 4-1
5 5 Armstrong Mill Maragh R Clement Christophe 119 L 8-1
6 6 Lemon Cream Pie Arroyo N Jr Jerkens James A 119 L 12-1
7 7 So It Goes Espinoza J L Donk David 119 L 9-2
8 8 Yankee Empire Castellano J J Tagg Barclay 119 L 5-1
9 9 Great Emperor Chavez J F Jacobson David 119 L 8-1
1A MTO Turaath Luzzi M J Peitz Daniel C 119 L 3-1
10 MTO Alexandros Morales S Carroll Del W II 119 L 4-1

A-Coupled: Rock in Bage (BRZ) and Turaath

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8), Grand Slam Races (6-9) Daily Double Wagers


7TH (4:12)

7 Furlongs (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($25,000) | Purse: $22,000

1 1 Royal Vessel Coa E M Martin Frank 117 $25,000 L 15-1
2 2 Judge's Pride Rodriguez R R DiPrima Gregory 121 $25,000 L 8-1
3 3 Sinister Deance Casey A J Reiff Eugene 1147 $25,000 L 30-1
4 4 Justinline Samyn J L Cedano Heriberto 121 $25,000 L 6-1
5 5 Tutti Va Bene Luzzi M J Sciacca Gary 117 $25,000 L 8-1
6 6 Ocala Jorge Espinoza J L DeMola Joseph 121 $25,000 L 30-1
7 7 Bella Cherokee Morales S Ferraro James W 123 $25,000 L 6-1
8 8 Bella Blu Arroyo N Jr Tannuzzo Michael 121 $25,000 L 30-1
9 9 Donna's Sandee Maragh R Hertler John O 121 $25,000 L 6-1
10 10 Small Potatoes Castanon J L Lostritto Joseph A 121 $25,000 L 8-1
11 11 Lady Valiant Chavez J F Contessa Gary C 117 $25,000 L 12-1
12 12 Dressed to Win Castellano J J Brown Chad C 121 $25,000 Blk-Off L 3-1
13 AE A. P. Light Fuentes R D Ribaudo Robert J 117 $25,000 L 8-1
14 MTO Flip the Coin Fuentes R D Dutrow, Jr. R E 117 $25,000 L 5-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Pick 4 Races (7-10) Daily Double Wagers


8TH (4:44)

7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $43,000

1 1 Close Encounter Maragh R Kimmel John C 116 L 5-2
2 2 Her Latest Flame Luzzi M J Carroll Del W II 116 L 15-1
3 3 Fiddlers Afleet Coa E M Hushion Michael E 116 L 8-5
4 4 Chernobyl's Hero Espinoza J L Odintz Jeff 121 L 20-1
5 5 Mickeythepreacher Morales S O'Brien Leo 116 L 30-1
6 6 Justin P Rivera J L Jr Pringle Edmund 121 L 30-1
7 7 Conquer the Fear Castellano J J Morrison John 121 L 6-1
8 8 Fortune Faded Chavez J F Schosberg Richard 121 L 15-1
9 9 Captain Sword Arroyo N Jr Arroyo Enrique 121 Blk-Off L 6-1
10 10 System Restore Rodriguez R R Balsamo Diane 121 L 20-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (8-10), Daily Double Wagers


9TH (5:17) Jaipur S. (G3)

6 Furlongs (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $150,000

1 1 Yield Bogey Samyn J L Kelly Patrick J 118 L 4-1
2 2 True Quality Arroyo N Jr DeMola Joseph 118 L 3-1
3 3 Heros Reward Castellano J J Capuano Dale 124 L 5-2
4 4 Due Date Maragh R Margolis Steve 118 L 6-1
5 5 Silver Timber Coa E M Brown Chad C 118 L 6-1
6 6 Mohegan Sky Chavez J F Rice Linda 117 L 12-1
7 7 Le Grand Cru Luzzi M J Jerkens H Allen 118 L 8-1
8 MTO Premium Wine Maragh R Asmussen Steven M 118 L 4-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Daily Double Wagers


10TH (5:49)

6 Furlongs (Inner turf) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $43,000

1 6 Way to Karakorum Morales S Odintz Jeff 115 L 20-1
1A MTO Chernobyl Princess Morales S Odintz Jeff 120 L 20-1
2 1 Hold the Cruiser Luzzi M J Duggan David P 115 L 8-1
3 2 Hookin the Goods Bermudez J E Pringle Edmund 115 L 50-1
4 3 Cugatcha Casey A J Jablow Michael 1087 L 20-1
5 4 Citifiesta Samyn J L Hertler John O 120 L 20-1
6 5 Rosie's Run Arroyo N Jr DeMasi Kathleen A 115 L 4-1
7 7 Cherry Lady Coa E M Ryan Derek S 118 L 12-1
8 8 Go Go Bar Castellano J J Terranova, II John P 120 L 5-2
9 9 Who Is Lady Espinoza J L Miceli Michael 120 L 15-1
10 10 Private Battle Maragh R Levine Bruce N 120 L 7-2
11 11 Kitty Nip Chavez J F Imperio Joseph 120 L 10-1
12 12 Mercy's Delight Rodriguez R R Prine David 120 L 30-1
13 MTO Top Lass Casey A J Ferraro James W 1137 L 5-1
14 MTO Western Decision Arroyo N Jr Parboo Bisnath 120 L 12-1

A-Coupled: Way to Karakorum and Chernobyl Princess

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10) Wagers

That is crazy.
What is the largest 5 of 6 that you have seen?

The 8th and 9th are singles. Where is the sixth leg?

9th is most definately not a single...Hero's Reward can win and is the horse to beat but Yield Bogey absolutely can win here.

Please tell me who you're singling in these two races. Then tell me if you've looked at the PPs.

NT

I see two in the 5th: Grapple and Close to the Vest

In the 6th, you could use a handful, or get courageous (or stupid) and single So It Goes.

In the 7th, I wasn't impressed with Dressed to Win's last effort, although leaving her out is difficult. I will be using Bella Cherokee, who may be a strong play if she can rate, Tutti Va Bene, and maybe AP Light.

Just two in the 8th, Fiddler's Afleet and Close Encounter.

The Jaiur is interesting, using Heros Reward, Due Date and Le Grand Cru.

The 3 ml fave's look best in the last (although I might be better off just using the 3 slowest horses based on previous last race turf sprint results), Rosies Run, GoGo Bar and Private Battle.

T/F,

That's as big as I can recall. Likely larger ones historically in CA I imagine, but this was obviously as good for the individual as hitting the 6 itself. In some ways, better, because they get paid and have bankroll to attack the $500k+ pot that will be out there today!

Sat pk6 C/O Stab:

R5 - 2,4,9
R6 - 1,2,5,8,9
R7 - 1,5
R8 - 3
R9 - 3
R10 - 7,8,10,11
$240

GL!

Belmont Park - Saturday, July 18th, 2009
 

1 - #1 Dose of Reality
Pace setters are winning at 44% for the meet at this distance and are 6/10 this week. I think the Contessa horse gets it done on the front.

2 - #1A R Fast Favorite
Again he will be on the front end in this race. He is a quitter but I am going to stick with the bias for this week at 6 furlongs. (Coa/Chatterpaul?)

3 - #4 Olive Eye
Looks to be the filly to beat in this small group. The #5 Ciminella will likely get the lead and I think the one moving best late will be the #3 Elaine's Pride but I think she will be too far back to contend. That's why I gave the edge to #4 who should sit just off.

4 - #3 Drift King
I think he has the kick to clear these at 6f. He will be tiring late but I think he hangs on.

5 - #4 Four Star General
Not really super confident in the #9 on the outside as the favorite, so I leaned to the 4. Coming on the MCL25k state bred victory on July 1st. Think he can do it again here.

6 - #8 Yankee Empire
I gave the edge to this one because of the victory over this turf course. Should be the second choice most likely.

7 - #1 Royal Vessel
In a race with some really unsuccessful turfers, I leaned to the longshot on the inside trying for the first time. Breeding is decent for grass (TOM=317)

8 - #3 Fiddler's Afleet
Banking on this one flying from off the pace. As opposed to 6f front runners at 7f are only winning at 15%. Benefits the 3.

9 - #4 Due Date
I think the key with this one will be the speed towards the end of the race. I think the 4 based on some of the intervals on Formulator Web will have a good opportunity to beat the favorite. Added was the Formulator info the Andy and Eric added up Capuano shippers.

10 - #8 Go Go Bar
I think a placing is as close to a safe bet as you can get. She will have to run down a couple but I think she does it easily.

$2 Pick 6 Play

5: ALL (8 horses)
6: 1,8
7: 1,9,12
8: 3
9: ALL (6 horses)
10: 8

$576 Ticket

$1 Pick 4 Play

7: ALL (9 horses)
8: 3
9: ALL (6 horses)
10: 8

$54 Ticket

I'm feeling pretty good about the 5th through the 8th, but those last two races have given me the yips. I'm not sold on Heros Reward as a single, but figuring out who will beat him is giving me a headache. The last is a mess too. Go Go Bar may win easily, or she may run second....again. I am toying with leaving her off completely, but then I have the same problem as I have in the 9th. Who's going to beat her?

Totally agree on the 9th. I was either a single or minimum 3/4 deep...

Ended up going with a pk6 single and take my chances, will cover pretty extensively in the pk4 (1,4,5). If can clear the first 2 legs at least I will save $$ not having to play an AA pk4.

GL

Belmont 4th

$5EXB 4,5
$10DD 4/9

GL!

5: 9-7-2-4
6: 4/SCR-1-2-7/SCR
7: 12-4-11-1
8: 3-1-7
9: 3-5-4-7
10: 8-11-10-5


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 2-7-9
6: 1-2
7: 4
8: 1-3
9: 3-5
10: 5-8-10-11


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-4-11-12
8: 1-3
9: 3-5
10: 5-8-10-11


G/L all..!

Steve, FYI, the 4 and 7 are scratched in the 6th.

Rosie's Run is dead set in the 10th. Absolute lone speed, and ran a 75 BSF first time out for a 23% turf sprint trainer as a 2YO. Toss the last on dirt, don't see anyone who can go with her early...she's long gone here.

Rosie's Run is scratched.

Didn't even get a chance to check, just got computer access about 5 minutes ago.

pic 4

4-9-12/1-2-3-7/1-3-5/5-8-10-11

5 - 9
6 - 1,2,9
7 - 1,5,11
8 - 1,3
9 - 3,7
10 - 8,10

Gl