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-   -   7/15: Belmont ($63k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=30747)

Kasept 07-15-2009 07:30 AM

7/15: Belmont ($63k C/O)
 
Vacationing, but couldn't resist look at $63k+ Carryover at Belmont on a Wednesday, despite cheapish events in two thirds of the sequence.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Je Ne Sais Quoi 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Dattts Echo 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Genuine Charm 5-2 7th
Super Add: #2 Taboo 6-1 6th


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Roll the Di 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Fort Carillon 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Wonderwho'sbest 4-1 WON
Super Add: #7 Blue Hill Bay 6-1 3rd


6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Chief Export 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 All in No Outs 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Banking Holiday 6-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Fregata 12-1 7th


7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #11 Interference 10-1 7th
Most Likely: #9 Straight Flush 3-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Lil Birnie 7-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Speciale Giorno 15-1 8th


8th: Jersey Girl, 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Slam the Cat 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Union City 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Dattts Lady Di 7-2 5th


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #1 SCR
Next Best: #5 SCR
Best Value: #8 Joaquin Memphis 10-1 WON
Super Add: #11 Lizard 15-1

SCR Adding: 3-10


<$200 P6 Play:

Using Formulator TicketMaker:
http://www.drf.com/formulator/ticketmakerhelp.html

Core (Backups)

4: 3-6 (A: 1-2)
5: 10 (B: 3-11)
6: 1-3 (C: 5)
7: 11 (D: 8-9)
8: 2-5 (E: 3-4)
9: 8 (F: 3-4-10-11)

Core: 2x1x2x1x2x1 = 8 x $2 = $16

Backups:

A (4th): 1-2/10/1-3/11/2-5/8 = $16
B (5th): 3-6/3-11/1-3/11/2-5/8 = $32
C (6th): 3-6/10/5/11/2-5/8 = $8
D (7th): 3-6/10/1-3/8-9/2-5/8 = $32
E (8th): 3-6/10/1-3/11/3-4/8 = $16
F (9th): 3-6/10/1-3/11/2-5/3-4-10-11 = $64

Total = $184


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-3 (B: 5)
7: 11 (C: 8-9)
8: 2-5 (D: 3-4)
9: 8 (E: 3-4-10-11)

A: 2x1x2x1 = 4 (x $3) = $12
B: 1x1x2x1 = $2
C: 2x2x2x1 = $8
D: 2x1x2x1 = $4
E: 2x1x2x4 = $16

Total = $42


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 07-15-2009 10:28 AM

Silver Ferrari and Indian Hawke both out of nightcap... Forces some re-thinking

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp

Unstable 07-15-2009 12:03 PM

Oh, oh...

I remember what happened the last time they scratched your top two choices in a Pick 6 race... :$: :eek: :$:

I think I'm going to have to head out to the track this afternoon...

No pressure, though.... ;)

tdtony 07-15-2009 12:52 PM

hi steve

i think the 2 is scratched in the 9th at belmont

Kasept 07-15-2009 01:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tdtony
hi steve

i think the 2 is scratched in the 9th at belmont

Tony,

Yup.. Thx. Made a final change...

Note McLaughlin DEAD on board here in the 4th. Hmmm...

viscount26 07-15-2009 03:55 PM

looks like maybe 1 ticket alive to the 8 for the pick 6

pmacdaddy 07-15-2009 03:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by viscount26
looks like maybe 1 ticket alive to the 8 for the pick 6

I can't beleive that...

I have a little DD live to the 3 and 8. And I thought I was smart.... Damn, that is some sequence to have navigated.

smuthg 07-15-2009 05:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by viscount26
looks like maybe 1 ticket alive to the 8 for the pick 6

nice little $114,000 payday...


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