6/13 (PHA): Jostle S.
 

8th (3:22) Jostle S.

6 1/2 Furlongs | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $200,000

1 Mani Bhavan Napravnik A R Klesaris Steve 124 L 8-1
2 Cinderella's Wish Lynch F Shuman Mark 117 L 5-1
3 She's a Wow Lynch F Ritchey Tim F 117 L 15-1
4 Missunitednations Pennington F Reid Robert E Jr 119 L 12-1
5 Saarlight Migliore R McLaughlin Kiaran P 124 L 3-1
6 Trusty Temper Shepherd J Werner Ronny 119 L 20-1
7 Bold Union Elliott S Breen Kelly J 124 L 6-1
8 Northern Belle Carmouche K Margolis Steve 119 L 12-1
9 Key Lime Baby Flores J L Curry Dee 117 L 20-1
10 Union City Cohen D Dutrow Anthony W 119 L 8-1
11 On the Menu Saez G Jones J Larry 124 L 9-2
12 Bandora Hampshire J F Jr Werner Ronny 117 L 20-1

Exacta / Trifecta / Double

How was the winner 45 to 1?

I wonder the same thing. PHA bettors completely oblivious to the fact that Warner and Margolis shipped up for this $200k ungraded race. How could that not have factored into it at all? Not to mention their figs looked strong.

How was Mine That Bird 50-1 in the Derby?! Didn't people know Chip Wooley drove the horse left footed all the way from New Mexico himself?

So...you are comparing a $2,000,000 G1 to a $200,000 ungraded race.

Yes. That is EXACTLY what I'm doing. :rolleyes:

Did you look at the race?

I bet the other Werner who ran 3rd at 37-1 but the winner was coming off a strong effort against older horses where she earned a Beyer of 86. That figure was better than or equal to everyone in the field except Union City and the eventual 2-3 finishers.

Whatever your rationale, she shouldn't have been 45-1.

NT

I was mocking the pseudo redboard and the talk about Werner shipping in for "only" a $200K race when he has a string at Delaware and only two starters in the race last ran at Pha. I made a small action bet on the second place finisher. . .

Maybe 45:1 was an overlay.....but she was a hard horse to like.