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-   -   5/17: Belmont ($47k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=29745)

Kasept 05-17-2009 09:27 AM

5/17: Belmont ($47k C/O)
 
Can't figure out how Saturday could have been a much better day for players, fans and racing in general... Pimlico card had more than enough quirky results to make the mutuels zing, and the 134th Preakness will turn out to be one that all enthusiasts will fondly recall. Anyone that hoped for historic and exciting got all that and more.

The best part of Rachel Alexandra's win is that it quashes the wild-eyed, ill-informed zealots who gleefully seek to destroy the game due to their inability to comprehend what the horseplayer, fan and industry stakeholder all love about it: the fact that it induces genuine and unfettered emotion.

The types that spew vitriol at racing and eagerly claim the sport is dying, which unfortunately includes some within the sport itself, are jealous misanthropes who seek validation for their own sad lives. Because they are completely desensitized to experiences like the thrall of Baltimore Saturday, or too frightened to feel the despair of Louisville a year ago, they try to diminish the experience for those intrepid enough to brave racing's natural highs and lows. Too bad for them. They don't know what they're missing.

Window work went well too Saturday, catching some excellent 'Best Value' runners including $40.20 Motown Shuffle in the ALW 5th and $28.40 No Advantage in the Schaefer. Offered up the Preakness triple as well, with Musket/Mine inversed behind Rachel on top. Hit 3 of the 4 Pick 4's Friday-Saturday, but lost money on the short-priced sequences. Hope you did well on the Black-Eyed Susan-Preakness Weekend... Belmont carryover to try today.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 More to the Story 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Strike the Bell 10-1 WON
Next Best: #10 Miss Catalyst 2-1 4th


6th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 SCR
Best Value: #8 Proud Diva 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Selene's Delight 12-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Allrightsreserved 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Country Trick 10-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Empirior 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1a Eye on Jacob 5-2 WON


8th: Lure, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Prince Rahy 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 SCR
Next Best: #6 Ballast 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Our Friend Harvey 3-1 WON


9th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Optimer 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Thunder Minister 10-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Bon Marie 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 (POE) Akebono 8-1 5th


10th: 31st Mount Vernon, NYB F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #6 I Lost My Choo 2-1 WON
Best Value: #7 You Go West Girl 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Love Cove 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Chestoria 6-1 6th


<$300 P6 Play:

5: 4-7-10
6: 4-8
7: 1-2-6-7
8: 2
9: 2-6-7
10: 6-7

3x2x4x1x3x2 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-6-7
8: 2
9: 1-2-6-7
10: 3-4-6-7

4x1x4x4 = $64


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 05-17-2009 10:35 AM

BELMONT SCR'S


http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp


5

1A Empire West Early
2B Catoosa Early


6

1 (poe) Officer Flirt Early


7

1 (poe) Hoopoe Early


8

4 Elusive Gift Early NO SUPERFECTA
9 Formal King Early


9

1A Windication Early NO SUPERFECTA
4 Oedipus O'Neal Early
5 Kick Up Your Heels Early
8 Raynicks Fan Early


10

11 Southside Babe Early
12 Bella Attrice Early
13 One in a Romp Early
14 Raffie's Treasure Early
15 Sapphire Sky Early
16 Point Me to It Early

Rudeboyelvis 05-17-2009 11:08 AM

Powder Burn just scratched out of the 6th - makes this a lot tougher

Kasept 05-17-2009 11:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Powder Burn just scratched out of the 6th - makes this a lot tougher

Very tiring chasing down SCR's after deadline...

Dan.. Am hoping Proud Diva and Selene cover it.

pointman 05-17-2009 02:16 PM

Nice job with Strike the Bell, Steve, I am kicking myself for not using him in the double with the 7 in the last!

I think this 3 is dangerous on the drop in the 6th and the price is looking right at the moment.

Kasept 05-17-2009 02:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
Nice job with Strike the Bell, Steve, I am kicking myself for not using him in the double with the 7 in the last!

THX!! That was nice... Donk was biding his time with her till the grass season. Has been working great and that try in January on the inner was much faster on Thoro-Graph.

pointman 05-17-2009 02:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
THX!! That was nice... Donk was biding his time with her till the grass season. Has been working great and that try in January on the inner was much faster on Thoro-Graph.

It didn't hurt that Donk was 9/35, 26% with $4.07 ROI Dirt to Turf off a layoff in the last 5 years either, hence, why I am kicking myself!

6th

$20W 3
$20 DD 3/5,6

Good Luck on the pk6 Steve, think this is a tricky race.

pointman 05-17-2009 03:03 PM

Late pk4 stabs:

7- 1,3,5,6,7
8- 2
9- 2,3,7
10- 2,3,6,7

7- 5,6,7
8- 2,3,5
9- 2,3,7
10- 2,3,6,7

$20 W7 (hoping lucky 7's continue here)

$20 DD 7/2

Good Luck

Rudeboyelvis 05-17-2009 03:09 PM

Late P4
 
1,2,3,5,6,7//2//2,7//2,3,4,6,7

60.00

the_fat_man 05-17-2009 03:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
It didn't hurt that Donk was 9/35, 26% with $4.07 ROI Dirt to Turf off a layoff in the last 5 years either, hence, why I am kicking myself!

2 months off is now considered a layoff? Blewitt also made the same observation.;)

pointman 05-17-2009 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
2 months off is now considered a layoff? Blewitt also made the same observation.;)

Obviously where I got the stat from, what can I say, the horse won at a price and I should have used him.

DJARUM 05-17-2009 03:38 PM

BEL Late PK 3

5
2-3-7
3-6-7-9

jms62 05-17-2009 03:40 PM

P3) 3,7/1,2,6,7/1,2,6,7

pointman 05-17-2009 04:15 PM

Belmont 8th

$20W 7
$20 DD 7/3/6

Good Luck!

jms62 05-17-2009 04:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62
P3) 3,7/1,2,6,7/1,2,6,7

This weekend has simply ****ing sucked

Bigsmc 05-17-2009 04:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
$20 W7 (hoping lucky 7's continue here)

$20 DD 7/2

Good Luck

No lucky 7 in the 8th??

pointman 05-17-2009 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
No lucky 7 in the 8th??

No, and Hollywood is not looking that good at the moment, have to bail out in the 9th! Boy did Bon Marie have no excuse there. In fact, its been unlucky 7's for me, it went 7-7-7, then I play the 7 and the 1 wins, I play the 2 and the 7 wins, I play the 7 and the 3 wins. I am not playing the 7 on top in the 9th for those that want to bet the 7!

the_fat_man 05-17-2009 04:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
Boy did Bon Marie have no excuse there.

Terrible ride by Maragh. Very game effort under the circumstances by BM.

pointman 05-17-2009 04:46 PM

Going to try to bail out a bit with the 2 here:

$20W 2.
$20 EXB 2,6

Good Luck!

pointman 05-17-2009 05:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
Going to try to bail out a bit with the 2 here:

$20W 2.
$20 EXB 2,6 - $388.00

Good Luck!

That will work!! :$:


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