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-   -   5/9: Belmont/Hollywood (P4's) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=29598)

Kasept 05-09-2009 06:16 AM

5/9: Belmont/Hollywood (P4's)
 
Another rotten weather day washed Churchill's late races away entirely, and might as well have done the same at Belmont. Off the turf demolished the late quad, though improbable $30 Contessa horse in the 7th, longest number of 5 running, boosted the P4 into a more generous $170.

Back to Belmont today with good Peter Pan the highlight within the $350k guaranteed P4, and glance at Hollywood 4 as well where intriguing LeRoy is the feature.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Cabaret Cowboy 3-1: Away since fall; 2nd in Musket Man's maidenbreaker.. WON
Best Value: #1e Frankel entry 10-1: Both make real dirt debuts here.. 5th/7th
Next Best: #3 Ricoriatoa 6-1: Moves to organic surface and adds hood.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Abu Racer 30-1: Big number gets blinks: 21% W move for Assaf.. 9th


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) SCR
Best Value: #7 Captain Backfire 6-1: Circling back to good effort.. 5th
Next Best: #10 Millirock 9-2: Telegraphs intent by recalling Ramon.. 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Come Soon 10-1: DiPrima wheels turf/dirt in 10 days.. 3rd


9th: 56th Peter Pan (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Brave Victory 8-1: Toss poly run; Value if one turn 9f suits.. 3rd
Most Likely: #6 Imperial Council 2-1: Underlay number on bad paddock actor.. 2nd
Next Best: #3 Charitable Man 3-1: Blue Grass ill-advised; Obvious if back to 2yo form..
Exotics Use: #1 Stately Character 15-1: Seems certain to pick up pieces late.. 7th


10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #3 Longing for Malibu 5-1 8th
Most Likely: #5 SCR
Next Best: #10 John Wyatt 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Monastir 12-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-5-9
8: 1-7-10
9: 3-4-6
10: 3-10

4x3x3x2 = $72



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: S/ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Pretty damn good starter ALW.. After the top pick, it's a grab bag...

Most Likely: #12 Deluxe Cat 3-1 WON
Best Value: #11 My Man Sumo 10-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Turkish Victory 6-1 9th
Super Add: #2 My King 8-1 7th


7th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Wild Diplomat 5-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Victory Pete 2-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Indian Sun 6-1 6th


8th: 30th Mervyn Leroy H. (Gr. II), 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Rail Trip 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Aggie Engineer 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Ball Four 6-1 WON


9th: MSW, 3+, 9f-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #6 Hidden Trail 3-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Egypt 4-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Holladay Road 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Caspian 6-1 7th
High 5 Play: #10 Kumiva 6-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 10-11-12
7: 5-6
8: ALL
9: 6-8

3x2x6x2 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (12--6-3-8) Paid $811.90


Good luck!
Steve

Holland Hacker 05-09-2009 07:32 AM

Is it safe to assume that they'll be OFF THE TURF today? We had overnight rain and i assume that it also hit Belmont.

docicu3 05-09-2009 07:37 AM

Is the weather holding enough for turf racing?

MaTH716 05-09-2009 07:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by docicu3
Is the weather holding enough for turf racing?

Probably not, looks like another damp one here on the Tri state area.
Did you get any sleep last night?

gales0678 05-09-2009 08:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Cabaret Cowboy 3-1: Away since fall; 2nd in Musket Man's maidenbreaker..
Best Value: #1e Frankel entry 10-1: Both make real dirt debuts here..
Next Best: #3 Ricoriatoa 6-1: Moves to organic surface and adds hood..
Exotics Use: #9 Abu Racer 30-1: Big number gets blinks: 21% W move for Assaf..


steve - i asked the old guy at the beverly hills hotel about these 2 and he told me they were a bunch of crows:D :D i told him i wasn't buying it ...they'll be on my ticket too

Bigsmc 05-09-2009 09:39 AM

Am I wasting my time looking at these turf races?

VOL JACK 05-09-2009 10:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Another rotten weather day washed Churchill's late races away entirely, and might as well have done the same at Belmont. Off the turf demolished the late quad, though improbable $30 Contessa horse in the 7th, longest number of 5 running, boosted the P4 into a more generous $170.

Back to Belmont today with good Peter Pan the highlight within the $350k guaranteed P4, and glance at Hollywood 4 as well where intriguing LeRoy is the feature.


BELMONT PARK


Congrats to Contessa for getting off the duck....Great Trainer.:rolleyes:

Kasept 05-09-2009 10:18 AM

BELMONT P4 SCR'S

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp

7

4 Big Stack Early


10

1 Pernice Early
5 Burnished Copper Early
8 Mind Boggling Early
12 Winloc's Saint Ray Early
13 Orient Song Early
14 Compliance Officer Early

asudevil 05-09-2009 10:37 AM

Stevie B. cappin The Wood!!!!

atolunch 05-09-2009 12:08 PM

Steve,

In the 7th at Belmont, you use the #9 Abu Race in your write ups and as an exotic add, but use the #8 Bimini (7-2) with Prado in the P4. Just curious if this was intentional or accident.

Thanks as always for your insights and plays, and belated congrats on your great P4 score the other day!

Here's to cashing again today, BOL.

Kasept 05-09-2009 12:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by atolunch
Steve,

In the 7th at Belmont, you use the #9 Abu Race in your write ups and as an exotic add, but use the #8 Bimini (7-2) with Prado in the P4. Just curious if this was intentional or accident.

Thanks as always for your insights and plays, and belated congrats on your great P4 score the other day!

Here's to cashing again today, BOL.

The 9.. Thx! And thx re: Thurs.

G/L today...

Derby Barbie is dragging me out on Garden Center run... :rolleyes:

pointman 05-09-2009 02:33 PM

Belmont 6th:

$20EXB 2,12
$1 super 2,12/2,11,12/2,3,8,11,12/2,3,8,11,12

Good Luck!

XIIPointStables 05-09-2009 02:58 PM

Jumping into the Belmont P4:

1,5,6,8
1,9 - the 8 as PTF
3,6
3,10,15

Good luck!

$48 play
$110 winner

Lucky hit getting the 8...get chalky! Kept me out of the race to race trouble I would have been in.

hi_im_god 05-09-2009 04:34 PM

is it possible someone might not be alive in this p4?

i'm praying i get my $54 back.

dagolfer33 05-09-2009 05:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by XIIPointStables
Jumping into the Belmont P4:

1,5,6,8
1,9
3,6
3,10,15

Good luck!

Winner:tro:

Rudeboyelvis 05-09-2009 05:29 PM

Holly P4

9,10,12//5,6//1,3,4,6//6,8,10

72.00 811.90

TitanSooner 05-09-2009 05:36 PM

hol late p4

6: 6,9,12
7: 6
8: 1,4
9: 1,5,6,7,8

$30.. GL

Ronnie 05-09-2009 06:42 PM

Nice play in the 8th, Steve. Good luck in the 9th at Hollywood.

3kings 05-09-2009 06:46 PM

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 10-11-12
7: 5-6
8: ALL
9: 6-8

3x2x6x2 = $72





Steve,
Great use of the all button, good luck in the nite cap.


edit........congrats Steve

Rudeboyelvis 05-09-2009 07:14 PM

NICE!!! 811.00 great job Steve!!!


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